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The Heavy Legacies of Our Past (Read 32059 times)
freediver
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #60 - May 4th, 2016 at 8:58pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Is anyone disagreeing with me that elections made them more inclusive than competing nations?

I just wrote an 8000 word article on it Gandalf. Is that not enough?
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #61 - May 4th, 2016 at 9:02pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Yes, but South Korea must have got the message.

Not to mention cute and cuddly Malaysia, axis of evil Iran, Saddam’s Iraq, our friends the Saudis, etc, etc, etc.

Erections set the Roman republic apart - from empires half a millenium later.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #62 - May 4th, 2016 at 9:05pm
 
Kissfreediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:58pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Is anyone disagreeing with me that elections made them more inclusive than competing nations?


The Islamic caliphate?
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #63 - May 4th, 2016 at 9:17pm
 
freediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:58pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Is anyone disagreeing with me that elections made them more inclusive than competing nations?

I just wrote an 8000 word article on it Gandalf. Is that not enough?


We're all trying to work out what you even mean by 'inclusive' fd, for some reason you wont say.

An 8000 word article on Roman Republican elections? Gosh i must have missed that one. Silly me.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #64 - May 4th, 2016 at 9:36pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 9:17pm:
freediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:58pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Is anyone disagreeing with me that elections made them more inclusive than competing nations?

I just wrote an 8000 word article on it Gandalf. Is that not enough?


We're all trying to work out what you even mean by 'inclusive' fd, for some reason you wont say.

An 8000 word article on Roman Republican elections? Gosh i must have missed that one. Silly me.


Yes, but ancient Rome covered a very long time span. The details are mostly lost. FD’s just filling us in on the important parts.

You know, they once had erections. For some. They were "inclusive".

Unlike your despicable Muslim.caliphate.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #65 - May 4th, 2016 at 10:21pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 9:17pm:
freediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:58pm:
polite_gandalf wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 8:46pm:
I also once tried to engage FD on the details of this so-called "inclusiveness" of the Roman Republic, and how it led to greater prosperity. Like in this thread, he also couldn't elaborate any more than the one word response "elections".


Is anyone disagreeing with me that elections made them more inclusive than competing nations?

I just wrote an 8000 word article on it Gandalf. Is that not enough?


We're all trying to work out what you even mean by 'inclusive' fd, for some reason you wont say.

An 8000 word article on Roman Republican elections? Gosh i must have missed that one. Silly me.


http://www.ozpolitic.com/articles/heavy-legacies-our-past.html#inclusiveness

It has become popular among socialists and other groups with an axe to grind against capitalism, economic freedom, democracy or even white people in general, to insist that the rise of western Europe and its colonies is a result of slavery. This can be an attractive fallacy, given that the recent rise of European powers coincided with their involvement in the global slave trade. However, it is a correlation, not a causation. I argue here the opposite – that freedom and democracy are the cause of Europe’s rise.

The historian Daron Acemoglu uses the broader terms of political and economic inclusiveness to describe this theory. This is in part to avoid inevitable arguments about what constitutes true freedom, democracy or capitalism. Furthermore, his argument is (rightly) that these are opposite extremes on a spectrum, and more significantly, that this is a naturally polarising spectrum. That is, countries tend to drift towards the nearest end of the spectrum. In his book, Why Nations Fail, he explores the positive feedback loops (ie, self-reinforcing mechanisms) that make this happen.

To summarise his (expansive) thesis: Political and economic inclusiveness are self reinforcing, and reinforce each other. They also create wealth. The opposite (oppression and exclusion) are also self reinforcing. Thus societies tend to drift towards one extreme and the middle ground is unstable. In transitioning to liberal democracy, the theory does not demand one to come first, but predicts that one inevitably follows the other. Likewise, loss of democracy leads inevitably to loss of freedom, and democracy cannot function without freedom of the press, free speech etc. Political and economic inclusiveness refer to institutions that pervade all levels of society and are very resilient at either extreme. The consequence of this is that liberal democracy and dictatorship are very resilient, as institutions. Dictatorship is far harder to get rid of than merely toppling a dictator. A dictator may fall, but no matter what promises his usurper makes, the existing institutions will almost certainly cause him to become corrupt and dictatorial in order to cling to power. Thus, chopping the head off a corrupt regime and putting democracy there is unlikely to work, because the whole body is corrupt. Likewise, the Nazis may do away with democracy, but if it is institutionalised through society, it will spring back to life if given the chance. Countries between these extremes are at a historical crossroads, but even here intervention is fraught, as the corrupting elements of society are ingrained in the culture. I suspect this is why the US insisted on rooting out the Baathists in Iraq and abandoning much of Iraq's beuracracy. Likewise, the French were more succesful in continental Europe because they were there to stay, intended to turn society on its head, and were not afriad to shed some blood in the process.

In the context of the arguments regarding slavery under recent European imperialism, I would phrase it thus: only a small advantage was needed for European nations to have the upper hand and take over the world. The historical tendency for corrupt nations to reinforce their oppressive social institutions meant that Europe’s competitors were at the opposte end of the spectrum and easy to overtake. This, combined with Islam’s grip on the bulk of western civilisation, meant that European countries did not have far to go to get that upper hand. Although Europe was rapidly transitioning towards liberal democracy, history would not wait for perfection, and so a society recently risen from barbarity found itself ruling the world. Thus Europeans ramped up the slave trade, as they ramped up all global trade. But they also brought their liberal morals in whatever form they took at the time, and as the path to liberalism continued they wound down the global slave trade, while continuing to ramp up the free global market.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #66 - May 4th, 2016 at 10:21pm
 
During the Roman Republic, the relative advantage took the form of political inclusiveness – a rough, messy form of democracy that was eventually abandoned, to Rome’s detriment. Later, this advantage took the form of economic inclusiveness. Slavery turned into serfdom, which turned into a free market in human labour every time a plague increased the value of labour and decreased the relative value of capital. Entrepreneurs were more free in western Europe than elsewhere to invest in the industrial revolution and take advantage of the mobile workforce (and profit from it). Political inclusiveness came later – a sudden upheaval in mainland Eruope, a gradual transition in Britain. This was a long incubation period. The seeds of democracy lay dormant as little more than a memory of Rome, while the absence of slavery was of little value while people were starving in a Malthusian backwater.

In modern China, the communist party is transitioning the country to capitalism. However, the explosive economic growth that is still unfolding owes just as much to the one child policy as it does to economic inclusiveness. The Chinese were literally living and dying a Malthusian hell a generation ago, and those recipes for locust soup are not just a culinary quirk. The one child policy was a plague on steroids, and the guided transition to capitalism is China's parallel to the industrial revolution. Critics of this suggestion often argue that population actually went up in an absolute sense, however it is the relative balance between population, technology and sustainability that affects affluence, and there was no shortage of technology available to China, once they could look past their next meal. Look for the rising Chinese middle class demanding greater political rights (and hopefully sustainability also) in the near future. Here too there is cause for hope. In a parallel to Europe's 'citizen's assemblies', the Chinese communist party has democratic internal mechanisms. This familarity with and acceptance of (and hopefully, appreciation for) democracy will no doubt ease the burden of the interesting times that lay ahead.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #67 - May 5th, 2016 at 4:08pm
 
freediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 10:21pm:
During the Roman Republic, the relative advantage took the form of political inclusiveness – a rough, messy form of democracy


Thanks FD, that clears everything up.

Is that the 8000 words on Roman republican political inclusiveness you were talking about?
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #68 - May 5th, 2016 at 4:15pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 5th, 2016 at 4:08pm:
freediver wrote on May 4th, 2016 at 10:21pm:
During the Roman Republic, the relative advantage took the form of political inclusiveness – a rough, messy form of democracy


Thanks FD, that clears everything up.

Is that the 8000 words on Roman republican political inclusiveness you were talking about?


FD wasn't talking about the Roman republic, G, he just meant Rome.

freediver wrote on May 1st, 2016 at 5:58pm:
Rome was more politically inclusive than its competitors Karnal. Do you concede that?


He then clarified and said he was actually referring to the Roman empire, but the details are lost to history.

freediver wrote on May 2nd, 2016 at 10:21am:
Karnal, much of the details are lost to history, the the political institutions changed multiple times throughout the history of the Roman Empire, which is over 1000 years if you count the bits on each end.


He then said, okay, I now mean the Roman republic.

freediver wrote on May 2nd, 2016 at 3:03pm:
Elections. In the republic. Even if they did not achieve whatever your version of pure democracy is.


It's a bit of a work in progress. Still, it makes up 8000 words, no?
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« Last Edit: May 5th, 2016 at 4:29pm by Karnal »  
 
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #69 - May 5th, 2016 at 4:33pm
 
If this routine sounds familiar its because we've been through this before. This is the most detail FD has ever managed to come up with on Rome's alleged 'inclusiveness':

freediver wrote on Jan 29th, 2015 at 8:20am:
There was a large number of people involved, including representatives of the plebs. There was no religious or ideological barrier to what they could decide on.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #70 - May 5th, 2016 at 4:54pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on May 5th, 2016 at 4:33pm:
If this routine sounds familiar its because we've been through this before.


Well yes, but you know me. I'm a bit of a stickler for details. Here's another tricky detail in FD's thesis, where he refers to Morris' index:

freediver wrote on May 2nd, 2016 at 7:03pm:
Quote:
We've seen how the whole erection thing was done away with in Rome, which expanded its wealth.


Morris' index peaks at roughly the same time then starts going back down.


I've looked through FD's maps and charts and can't find one that shows Roman wealth contracting with the transition to imperial rule. FD's maps show the Roman empire steadily expanding - but most importantly capturing the Nile,  the future Roman bread basket - directly after the Triumvirate's clampdown on the republic.

Alas, no more erections, but plenty more bread, and it was the capture of Egypt that gave Julius Caesar his crowning victory.

The arguments used at the time were that imperial rule would deliver the goods - the very opposite of FD's proposal that erections create wealth. This, it was argued, was the very point of empires, which would provide security and bread - an argument that endured in the West until the post-war decline of the British empire. It was certainly an argument used by Shakespeare when he dramatized Julius Caesar, Antony & Cleopatra, etc, to back up Elizabethan imperial rule.

And it's a haunting argument. Security and economic stability versus the rule of the mob. It was used after the French Revolution - particularly by the Tories in Britain. It was used to bring back the French monarchy. Imperial Rome was referenced by Napoleonic propaganda, particularly after the capture of Egypt, and again by Mussolini, Hitler, and other map enthusiasts. 

Morris' map and time-line backs their case up. Rome massively expanded after the rise of the Caesars - straight after it abandoned erections. Once, when people talked about civilization, they meant empires. The idea that democracy could deliver such a thing was ludicrous in most places until the 20th century, which not coincidentally, corresponded with the economic (and military) rise of a new republic: the US of A.

I haven't asked what FD means by "Morris' index peaks at roughly the same time then starts going back down." But I do wonder if it's another of those little porkies FD refuses to rule out in his crusade against the Muselman.

I'd ask FD about this, but he always clams up.
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« Last Edit: May 5th, 2016 at 5:25pm by Karnal »  
 
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #71 - May 5th, 2016 at 6:29pm
 
Quote:
I haven't asked what FD means by "Morris' index peaks at roughly the same time then starts going back down." But I do wonder if it's another of those little porkies FD refuses to rule out in his crusade against the Muselman.


It is the very first figure in the article - the plot of Morris' human development index vs time. This is not the same thing as size or stability of an empire - as the Islamic example demonstrates. This index clearly shows trouble developing within the empire long before the symptoms that are more visible to us.
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #72 - May 5th, 2016 at 8:47pm
 
freediver wrote on May 5th, 2016 at 6:29pm:
Quote:
I haven't asked what FD means by "Morris' index peaks at roughly the same time then starts going back down." But I do wonder if it's another of those little porkies FD refuses to rule out in his crusade against the Muselman.


It is the very first figure in the article - the plot of Morris' human development index vs time. This is not the same thing as size or stability of an empire - as the Islamic example demonstrates. This index clearly shows trouble developing within the empire long before the symptoms that are more visible to us.


In what way? What does this graph measure?
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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #73 - May 5th, 2016 at 9:58pm
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Measure_of_Civilization

I have added the following paragraphs:

To clarify the meaning of these terms, political and economic inclusiveness are the absence of dictatorship and oppression. They are the absence of artificial barriers to becoming wealthy by your own hand, having a say in your governance and becoming a political leader. They are the social institutions (rules, customs, traditions, values, expectations etc) that enable meaningful participation and capture both the number of people with access and the nature of that access. They are a measure of the extent to which a society meets the higher and more absolute standard of liberal, capitalist democracy, and are intended to invoke a spectrum of possibilities between dictatorship and democracy. Where I have used the terms freedom and democracy too broadly above, it reflects the lack of familiar language to communicate these concepts.

The transition from uncivilised freedom, to oppressive civilisation, to liberal civilisation has always been a blind one. Despite our sense of achieving freedom and equality, there is no absolute end to the spectrum. There was nothing fundamental forcing people to live together in greater numbers, though historians have plenty of reasons why it was almost inevitable. There was nothing forcing people to create oppressive regimes in the first large communities, although it happened in parallel plenty of times through history. There was no limit on how oppressive society could become, and our fiction authors have dreamed up all sorts of plausible scenarios. Likewise there is no limit to how far freedom and democracy can spread across the world, or to how much more liberal and politically engaged we could become. The spectrum of inclusiveness may appear to have solid, fixed ends: at one end, slaves building pyramids and on the other, modern society. However this is merely a reflection of our limited experience. In reality we are blindly pushing the boundaries of inclusiveness into unknown territory, like the Romans before us.

Discover how voting by delegable proxy can combine the best aspects of modern representative democracy and Greek-style direct democracy.

To summarise Acemoglu's (expansive) thesis: Political and economic inclusiveness are self-reinforcing, and reinforce each other. They also create wealth. The opposite (oppression and exclusion) are also self-reinforcing. Thus societies tend to drift towards one extreme and the middle ground is unstable. In transitioning to liberal democracy, the theory does not demand one to come first, but predicts that one inevitably follows the other. Likewise, loss of democracy leads inevitably to loss of freedom, and democracy cannot function without freedom of the press, free speech etc. Political and economic inclusiveness refer to institutions that pervade all levels of society and are very resilient at either extreme. The consequence of this is that liberal democracy and dictatorship are very resilient, as institutions. Dictatorship is far harder to get rid of than merely toppling a dictator. A dictator may fall, but no matter what promises his usurper makes, the existing institutions will almost certainly cause him to become corrupt and dictatorial in order to cling to power. Thus, chopping the head off a corrupt regime and putting democracy there is unlikely to work, because the whole body is corrupt. Likewise, the Nazis may do away with democracy, but if it is institutionalised through society, it will spring back to life if given the chance. Countries between these extremes are at a historical crossroads, but even here intervention is fraught, as the corrupting elements of society are ingrained in the culture. I suspect this is why the US insisted on rooting out the Baathists in Iraq and abandoning much of Iraq's bureaucracy. Likewise, the French were more successful in continental Europe because they were there to stay, intended to turn society on its head, and were not afraid to shed some blood in the process.

Discuss Daron Acemoglu's theory that political and economic inclusiveness are self-reinforcing and the ultimate cause of modern wealth.

Discuss the role of slavery in the rise of western Europe

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Re: The Heavy Legacies of Our Past
Reply #74 - May 5th, 2016 at 10:00pm
 
The rise of the Roman Republic was ultimately driven by an almost unique political concept – that people should have a say in how they are ruled. The Greeks had done impressive things with direct democracy, but this has obvious limitations as the number of people involved grows. Much like Greece, Rome limited voting rights to free adult male citizens. There were additional arrangements that effectively limited the voting power of the poor. They did not have a legislative assembly. New laws were enacted through a form of direct democracy. The Senate had an administrative role and did not propose or pass laws. Two consuls were elected by citizens for an annual term, and had powers similar to previous kings. Beyond this, the Roman constitution gets very complicated. This was in part a deliberate measure designed to achieve a balance of power. The constitution also evolved over time, partly in response to strikes from the poorer citizens demanding greater political rights. The Roman model was significantly inspired by the Greeks, but both Greek and Roman models fell far short of today's standard. Despite this, it contained sufficient democratic mechanisms to set it apart from competing societies and drive its continual rise over half a milennia.

These principles were eventually discarded and Rome came to be a dictatorship – no different to nearly every previous empire, except for the enormous geographical expanse it ruled. This started in 27 BC with Augustus Caesar, or perhaps earlier with the appointment of Julius Caesar to the position of perpetual dictator in 44 BC (he was assassinated the same year). It is no coincidence that Rome peaked on Morris' index of human development at this time. Inevitable decline eventually followed, driven visibly by violent internal competition, and invisibly (to us) by gradual political and economic exclusion and disengagement that weakened the social fabric needed to hold such a behemoth together. If we step back even further, Rome's decline can be traced to its astonishing success. The model of government created so carefully to maintain a balance of power was simply abandoned to accommodate individuals who had achieved great power on the battlefield. Their battlefield success was in turn ultimately driven by Rome's economic success and the (political) willingness of the people to support it. Even more broadly, Rome was undone by the basic strategy of using constitutional complexity rather than popular values to maintain a balance of power. The model was abandoned so easily because people did not value it. It is hard to blame them. There is nothing pure in it. It is a mish-mash of democracy, exclusion and aristocratic privilege held together by complex rule and bureaucracy. And the glory of Rome.
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