Forum

 
  Back to OzPolitic.com   Welcome, Guest. Please Login or Register
  Forum Home Album HelpSearch Recent Rules LoginRegister  
 

Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print
Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting (Read 744 times)
Redmond Neck
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 21466
ACT
Gender: male
Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Nov 1st, 2016 at 12:07pm
 
With 11 days to go before the US presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project.

Though data is not available for all early voting states, Clinton enjoys an edge in swing states such as Ohio and Arizona and in Republican Party strongholds such as Georgia and Texas.

An estimated 19 million Americans have voted so far in the election, according to the University of Florida's United States Election Project, accounting for as much as 20 per cent of the electorate.

Overall, Clinton remained on track to win a majority of votes in the Electoral College, the Reuters/Ipsos survey showed on Saturday.

Having so many ballots locked down before the November 8 election is good news for the Clinton campaign.

On Friday, the Federal Bureau of Investigation announced that it is examining newly discovered emails belonging to Clinton's close aide, Huma Abedin. Those emails were found on a computer belonging to Anthony Weiner, Abedin's estranged husband, during an unrelated investigation into illicit messages he is alleged to have sent to a teenage girl.

The Reuters/Ipsos survey was conducted before the news emerged on Friday afternoon.

It remains unclear whether the FBI inquiry will upset the balance in the race. The bureau disclosed nothing about the Abedin emails, including whether any of the messages were sent by or to Clinton.

Over the summer, the FBI said it was closing its investigation into Clinton's use of a private email system while secretary of state. Until Friday, her campaign seemed to have weathered the initial FBI email probe.

Clinton has held a lead averaging four to seven percentage points in polls in recent weeks as the Trump campaign wrestled with accusations by women of groping and other sexual advances. Trump has said none of the accusations are true. He also struggled in the recent presidential debates and faced questions about his taxes.

As of Thursday, Clinton's odds of receiving the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win the presidency remained at greater than 95 per cent, according to State of the Nation polling results released on Saturday. The project estimated she would win by 320 votes to 218, with 278 votes solidly for the Democrat.

Clinton's lead among early voters is similar to the lead enjoyed by President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney at this point of the 2012 race, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken at the time. Obama won the election by 332 electoral votes to Romney's 206.

Trump's path to a victory is narrow, and any realistic chance rests on his winning Ohio, North Carolina and Florida. As of Thursday, Ohio remained a toss- up. Florida and North Carolina were still tilting toward Clinton, according to the States of the Nation results.

The States of the Nation project is a survey of about 15,000 people every week in all 50 states plus Washington DC.

Reuters
Back to top
 

BAN ALL THESE ABO SITES RECOGNITIONS.

ALL AUSTRALIA IS FOR ALL AUSTRALIANS!
 
IP Logged
 
Marla
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Weed is my Jesus

Posts: 13490
Colorado
Gender: female
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #1 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 12:32pm
 
Oh, but it's "rigged"

RIGGED

Rigged like a BP oil well in the Gulf of Mexico
Back to top
 

I know progress has no patience but something's got to give
 
IP Logged
 
Sprintcyclist
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 40667
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #2 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 12:40pm
 

Apparently the early votes are traditionally democratic ones.
Back to top
 

Modern Classic Right Wing
 
IP Logged
 
longweekend58
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 45675
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #3 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 3:08pm
 
Sprintcyclist wrote on Nov 1st, 2016 at 12:40pm:
Apparently the early votes are traditionally democratic ones.


Why cant you just accept that Trump is going to lose. It is one thing to support Trump or his policies. It is another thing altogther to be in denial.
Back to top
 

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
IP Logged
 
red baron
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 10204
Blue Mountains
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #4 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 3:49pm
 
Those votes mostly would have been cast prior to the EMAIL scandal breaking. They have no bearing on what it is going to be like when the Country turns out to vote.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
longweekend58
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 45675
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #5 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:01pm
 
red baron wrote on Nov 1st, 2016 at 3:49pm:
Those votes mostly would have been cast prior to the EMAIL scandal breaking. They have no bearing on what it is going to be like when the Country turns out to vote.


sorry to burst your bubble, but it has scarcely changed the polls. AS it should given that the FBI havent even read the emails yet to determine if there is anything in them.

In the meantime, the fact that Russia is openly supporting Trump and trying to hack the DNC should deeply concern you so why doesnt it?
Back to top
 

AUSSIE: "Speaking for myself, I could not care less about 298 human beings having their life snuffed out in a nano-second, or what impact that loss has on Members of their family, their parents..."
 
IP Logged
 
red baron
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 10204
Blue Mountains
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #6 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:23pm
 
Hillary Clinton should have been criminally charged in the first place for what she did with those 30,000 emails

She is corrupt and finally the week kneed F.B.I. has got off its arse and reopened something that is far bigger than Watergate.

If she is charged or loses the election as a result of her criminal actions then you should get down on your knees and thank God.

Because if anyone is going to lead the world in WW3 it is Hillary Clinton.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Karnal
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 95157
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #7 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:39pm
 
red baron wrote on Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:23pm:
Hillary Clinton should have been criminally charged in the first place for what she did with those 30,000 emails


The FBI said they found no evidence of any crimes, Red.

What should Hillary have been criminally charged with?
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Karnal
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 95157
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #8 - Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:41pm
 
Quote:
She is corrupt and finally the week kneed F.B.I. has got off its arse and reopened something that is far bigger than Watergate.


I don't want to give you any clues, Red, but Wiener's alleged dick pics are bigger than Watergate?Where did you get this from?

Oh, that's right. Trump said it.
Back to top
 
 
IP Logged
 
Sprintcyclist
Gold Member
*****
Offline


OzPolitic

Posts: 40667
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #9 - Nov 2nd, 2016 at 8:03am
 

Quote:
Raleigh, N.C. — With a week to go until Election Day, Republican Donald Trump has seized control of a tight presidential race in North Carolina, according to an exclusive WRAL News poll released Tuesday.

SurveyUSA polled 659 people statewide Friday through Monday who have already cast their ballots or are likely to vote in the election and found Trump with a 51 to 44 percent lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

In a WRAL News poll released three weeks ago, Clinton led Trump 46 to 44 percent.

The latest poll was conducted after the FBI notified members of Congress that it was reopening an investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server while secretary of state. Meanwhile, an Elon University Poll released Tuesday that was conducted before the FBI announcement found Clinton and Trump in a dead heat in North Carolina.

Almost a third of respondents in the WRAL News poll ranked trustworthiness as the most important consideration in voting for president. Positions on issues were rated most important by 40 percent, while experience and character were far behind at 17 and 8 percent, respectively.


Of those ranking trustworthiness most important, 83 percent favor Trump. He also wins among those most concerned about issues, 52 to 43 percent. Clinton was favored by 93 percent of those most concerned with experience, and she doubled up Trump among voters concerned about character, 58 to 26 percent.

Still, many people aren't enthusiastic about either candidate.

Among those voting for either Clinton or Trump, two in five said their ballot was or would be cast simply to oppose the other candidate rather than in support of their candidate, according to the poll. Thirty-eight percent of Trump voters and 32 percent of Clinton backers said they were voting "with reservations" about their candidate.

Breaking down the results, Trump has flipped the gender gap in recent weeks, cutting Clinton's 12-point lead among women down to 7 points while widening his dominance among male voters from 9 points to 23 points. He also has erased her lead among voters 50 and older, moving from a 5-point deficit to an 11-point advantage, while maintaining his slight lead among voters ages 18 to 49.

Clinton's sizable lead in North Carolina's metro areas also has eroded since early October. Her 64 to 27 percent lead among urban voters three weeks ago is down to 53 to 43 percent, and her 9-point lead in the suburbs is now a 2-point deficit. Meanwhile, Trump has extended his lead among rural voters from 18 to 26 points.

The economy continues to be the most important national issue among voters, according to the poll, and Clinton continues to hold the lead over Trump among people ranking it their top concern. But Trump has widened his lead among voters most concerned with national security – the No. 2 overall issue – moving from a 20-point to a 43-point advantage. He also cut into Clinton's lead among voters most concerned with health care – the No. 3 overall issue – narrowing a 39-point deficit in early October to 13 points.

Trump has railed against the Affordable Care Act recently after the government notified people that premiums would go up an average of 24 percent nationwide next year. He also has repeatedly criticized the Obama administration's handling of the fight against Islamic State forces in the Middle East.

The WRAL News poll also questioned people about the potential for voter fraud, given North Carolina's voter ID law that has been overturned in the federal courts and Trump's claims that the election will be rigged in Clinton's favor.

Thirteen percent of respondents said in-person voter fraud occurs often at their particular polling site, and another 32 percent said it sometimes happens. Those people overwhelmingly favor Trump for president, while people who said voter fraud is rare or never occurs at their polling site back Clinton more frequently.



http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/
Back to top
 

Modern Classic Right Wing
 
IP Logged
 
John Smith
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 74195
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #10 - Nov 2nd, 2016 at 8:05am
 
red baron wrote on Nov 1st, 2016 at 3:49pm:
Those votes mostly would have been cast prior to the EMAIL scandal breaking. They have no bearing on what it is going to be like when the Country turns out to vote.



email scandal won't change a thing ... it's not like it's new. It's a repeat of the same scandal they've been whinging about for almost a year. The majority of people have already made up their minds about how they feel about it and the latest resurgence of it won't change a thing.
Back to top
 

Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
IP Logged
 
John Smith
Gold Member
*****
Offline


Australian Politics

Posts: 74195
Gender: male
Re: Poll shows Clinton has lead in early voting
Reply #11 - Nov 2nd, 2016 at 8:06am
 
Karnal wrote on Nov 1st, 2016 at 4:39pm:
What should Hillary have been criminally charged with?


not being a right wing nut case .... seems anyone who isn't should go to jail
Back to top
 

Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
IP Logged
 
Page Index Toggle Pages: 1
Send Topic Print