And the RBA backs Malcolm all the way to prosperity for Australia.
No surprise the Lefties are stuttering and muttering in despair as they see their Socialist Moon slipping out of sight.Reserve Bank keeps interest rates on hold at historic low of 1.5% in JuneEryk Bagshaw JUNE 6 2017
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the cash rate at a record low 1.5% for the 10th consecutive month.
The decision was unanimously predicted by economists thanks to meager gross domestic product (GDP) growth, stubbornly low wages and soft construction, despite surprisingly strong retail sales figures.
In his statement, Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe highlighted that "slow growth in real wages" was restraining growth in household consumption.
"Employment growth has been stronger over recent months, although growth in total hours worked remains weak," he said.
"Wage growth remains low and this is likely to continue for a while yet."
The last time the central bank adjusted rates was in August when inflation slowed to 1%, but it has since moved back towards the bank's target band of between 2 and 3%.
Dr Lowe said inflation was expected to increase gradually as the economy strengthened.
Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe highlighted "slow growth in real wages" for restraining growth in household consumption. Photo: Bloomberg
5 of 23 forecasters surveyed by Bloomberg are now predicting a cut within the next year, as house prices begin to cool in the overheated eastern housing markets.
During the seasonally weak month of May, property monitor CoreLogic reported a month of house prices going backwards nationally for the first time in 18 months.
The last time the central bank adjusted rates was in August when inflation slowed to 1%. Photo: Peter Braig
Dwelling prices fell 1.7% in Melbourne and 1.3% in Sydney.
Dr Lowe noted the developments in his statement.
NAB chairman Ken Henry said the Reserve Bank has been waiting for years to see non-mining business investment. Photo: Christopher Pearce
"Prices have been rising briskly in some markets, although there are some signs that these conditions are starting to ease," he said. "In other markets, prices are declining."
CoreLogic's head of research, Tim Lawless, said: "If this recent slowing develops into a more sustained trend, the Reserve Bank may be able to consider alternative scenarios to a steady cash rate."
The more house prices calm down, the more room the RBA has to cut rates by minimising the risk of stoking the market.
But Mr Lawless warned the last time rates were cut, in August last year, "the housing market reignited, with capital gains accelerating and investors surging back into the market".
He said recent moves by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority to crack down on investor loans should avoid a repeat scenario if the central bank were to cut within the next year.
Dr Lowe said the recent supervisory measures should help address the risks associated with rising levels of indebtedness.
He noted lenders had announced increases in mortgage rates, particularly those paid by investors and on interest-only loans.
The governor said GDP growth was expected to have slowed in the 3 months to the March quarter, when the statistics are released on Wednesday, reflecting the quarter-to-quarter variation in the growth figures.
"Looking forward, economic growth is still expected to increase gradually over the next couple of years to a little above 3%," he said. "The transition to lower levels of mining investment following the mining investment boom is almost complete."
Former Treasury secretary and NAB chairman Ken Henry said the Reserve Bank has been waiting for years to see non-mining business investment.
"It hasn't really happened," he said. "On average across the economy, non-mining business investment is not as strong as it needs to be to build a sustainable macroeconomic recovery."
Capital Economics' chief Australia & New Zealand economist, Paul Dales, said the forecasting group had revised down its GDP forecast from 0.3% to -0.5%, the second GDP contraction in 9 months, putting Australia on track for a 1.4% annual growth.
"Things would get very tricky for the RBA if GDP fell in the first quarter and fell in the 2nd quarter," he said, referring to the next set of GDP figures due in September.
"Even if the RBA still doesn't want to cut interest rates below 1.5% for fear of stoking the housing market and even if it thinks any such recession is due to temporary factors, it would be very brave for it to sit on its hands when the papers are shouting about the first recession in 26 years."
http://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/reserve-bank-keeps-interest-rates-on-...