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Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday (Read 5122 times)
juliar
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #45 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 12:39pm
 
About all the Greeny type hexspurts do is create CO2 as they gasp and burp their inarticulate uninformed downright wrong rubbish about essential to life on earth CO2.

CO2 is greening the deserts and making food crops around the world grow like crazy.

Do the murky blood thirsty Greenies want these people to starve ?
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minarchist
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #46 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 4:03pm
 
Bam wrote on Oct 1st, 2018 at 11:59pm:
lee wrote on Oct 1st, 2018 at 7:48pm:
BTW - New paper

"Earth’s outgoing longwave radiation linear due to H2O greenhouse effect"

"The team found this linear relationship breaks down when Earth’s global average surface temperatures go much beyond 300 K, or 80 F. In such a scenario, it would be much more difficult for the Earth to shed heat at roughly the same rate as its surface warms. For now, that number is hovering around 285 K, or 53 F. "

http://news.mit.edu/2018/how-earth-sheds-heat-space-0924

Only 26F before it breaks down. Apparently .

And H2O controls temp? oh dear.

That's why it's called a "runaway greenhouse." Once the water vapour starts making a critical contribution, it is game over because it accelerates in a positive feedback. It won't stop until the oceans boil away and are lost to space. When does that happen? Nobody knows for sure but it could be closer than we think.

Do you want to see the future of this planet? Look at Venus. Earth will be like that one day. If human activity wasn't contributing, Earth will become uninhabitable between one and two billion years from now due to increased solar activity. That cannot be stopped. However, it can be accelerated, and that's what is happening right now. That's why we need to turn down the thermostat.

The worst part is not what we know. It's what we don't know. What happens when we warm up the permafrost where a lot of methane is trapped? What happens if the methane clathrates in the oceans start escaping? How much warming before it becomes irreversible?


The thing I don't like about both sides on the MMGW debate is when they make outlandish claims about how bad the earth's climate will become. Whether you're on the anti MMGW side claiming the earth will enter a new ice age and become a giant popsicle due to the expectations of a prolonged solar minimum after Solar Cycle 25, or whether you're on the pro MMGW side claiming average global temperatures will be similar to Venus, you are not doing your side justice by making claims that have no basis based on the current data available. All you do is turn people away from your hypothesis and any chance to enact policies to mitigate the probable effects of the change in climate will diminish.

Based on current data, if we burnt all of the fossil fuels on earth, which based on current rates of consumption will take a few hundred years at the earliest, it is estimated that average global temperatures will rise by about 10 degrees C, which will raise ocean levels by about 50 metres. Given that within the next 30 - 40 year we will have developed energy technologies that will dramatically reduce, even eliminate, our reliance on carbon based fuels, I doubt that such a scenario will be achieved.

However, I am unsure whether or not this factors in the effects of melted Arctic Permafrost. There is still a degree of debate as to what effect this melted permafrost will have. Again, if energy technologies develop that will reduce or eliminate our reliance on carbon based fuels this will stop further increases of CO2 in the atmosphere, which will reduce the possibility of the Arctic Permafrost melting.
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People accuse Capitalism of being a "dog eat dog" system, yet it was the Communists who ate each other when they were starving!
 
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lee
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #47 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 4:21pm
 
minarchist wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 4:03pm:
However, I am unsure whether or not this factors in the effects of melted Arctic Permafrost.



The Arctic Permafrost didn't cause a problem in the MWP when it was apparently warmer than today.
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Bam
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #48 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:39pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 12:19pm:
Sir lastnail wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 9:46am:
yeh but you don't understand, we are still a carbon sink according to lees 101 skeptics excuse manual



So you disbelieve the satellite data? Are you a Luddite?

But since you disbelieve that how about this?

"Australia has 149 million hectares of forest.  Of this, 147 million hectares is native forest, dominated by eucalypt (79%) and acacia (7%), and 1.82 million hectares is in plantations[i]. Grassland covers around 440 million hectares of land in Australia[ii]. "

" Science tells us that the range for forests with continuous canopies is about 0.5-2 tonnes of carbon per year for each hectare.  Grasslands may have a similar annual rate of net carbon uptake[i], but the long-term storage of carbon per hectare of grasslands is less than that over an average hectare in woody trees. "

https://www.chiefscientist.gov.au/2009/12/which-plants-store-more-carbon-in-aust...

Australia's Mountain Ash can store up to 10 times more.

"In the past 12 months the annual level of emissions reached a record level of 559m tonnes CO2-e if we exclude the controversial component of “land use, land use change and forestry” (LULUCF), which includes a measure for the amount of forest and grasslands and the amounts of those cut down or converted to other uses."

https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2018/oct/01/australias-emission...

Although he doesn't seem to understand the word "record". Even his graph shows 2006 being higher.

So if we were to take a conservative 1 t/hectare and there are 589 million hectares of forest and grassland (149 +  440); then we have covered our emissions.

You're cherrypicking again, I see.

Ignoring land clearing, ignoring bushfires, ignoring fugitive emissions, ignoring everything else, but cherrypicking something you like and beating it for all it's worth. If you think the scientists who know more on this topic than you are wrong, why don't you write to them a letter explaining this and then post it here?
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« Last Edit: Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:52pm by Bam »  

You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.
 
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Bam
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #49 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:49pm
 
minarchist wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 4:03pm:
Bam wrote on Oct 1st, 2018 at 11:59pm:
lee wrote on Oct 1st, 2018 at 7:48pm:
BTW - New paper

"Earth’s outgoing longwave radiation linear due to H2O greenhouse effect"

"The team found this linear relationship breaks down when Earth’s global average surface temperatures go much beyond 300 K, or 80 F. In such a scenario, it would be much more difficult for the Earth to shed heat at roughly the same rate as its surface warms. For now, that number is hovering around 285 K, or 53 F. "

http://news.mit.edu/2018/how-earth-sheds-heat-space-0924

Only 26F before it breaks down. Apparently .

And H2O controls temp? oh dear.

That's why it's called a "runaway greenhouse." Once the water vapour starts making a critical contribution, it is game over because it accelerates in a positive feedback. It won't stop until the oceans boil away and are lost to space. When does that happen? Nobody knows for sure but it could be closer than we think.

Do you want to see the future of this planet? Look at Venus. Earth will be like that one day. If human activity wasn't contributing, Earth will become uninhabitable between one and two billion years from now due to increased solar activity. That cannot be stopped. However, it can be accelerated, and that's what is happening right now. That's why we need to turn down the thermostat.

The worst part is not what we know. It's what we don't know. What happens when we warm up the permafrost where a lot of methane is trapped? What happens if the methane clathrates in the oceans start escaping? How much warming before it becomes irreversible?


The thing I don't like about both sides on the MMGW debate is when they make outlandish claims about how bad the earth's climate will become. Whether you're on the anti MMGW side claiming the earth will enter a new ice age and become a giant popsicle due to the expectations of a prolonged solar minimum after Solar Cycle 25, or whether you're on the pro MMGW side claiming average global temperatures will be similar to Venus, you are not doing your side justice by making claims that have no basis based on the current data available. All you do is turn people away from your hypothesis and any chance to enact policies to mitigate the probable effects of the change in climate will diminish.

Based on current data, if we burnt all of the fossil fuels on earth, which based on current rates of consumption will take a few hundred years at the earliest, it is estimated that average global temperatures will rise by about 10 degrees C, which will raise ocean levels by about 50 metres. Given that within the next 30 - 40 year we will have developed energy technologies that will dramatically reduce, even eliminate, our reliance on carbon based fuels, I doubt that such a scenario will be achieved.

However, I am unsure whether or not this factors in the effects of melted Arctic Permafrost. There is still a degree of debate as to what effect this melted permafrost will have. Again, if energy technologies develop that will reduce or eliminate our reliance on carbon based fuels this will stop further increases of CO2 in the atmosphere, which will reduce the possibility of the Arctic Permafrost melting.

The big problem here: we just don't know.
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lee
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #50 - Oct 4th, 2018 at 8:04pm
 
Bam wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:39pm:
Ignoring land clearing, ignoring bushfires, ignoring fugitive emissions, ignoring everything else, but cherrypicking something you like and beating it for all it's worth.



if you actually looked at the graph the 559Mt CO2e is actually the maximum amount. By including them the emissions are lower.

But that would be much too hard for you.

Do try harder.

Of course it only helps if you can read a graph.
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« Last Edit: Oct 4th, 2018 at 8:18pm by lee »  
 
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #51 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 10:21am
 
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Bam
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #52 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 10:22am
 
lee wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 8:04pm:
Bam wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:39pm:
Ignoring land clearing, ignoring bushfires, ignoring fugitive emissions, ignoring everything else, but cherrypicking something you like and beating it for all it's worth.

if you actually looked at the graph the 559Mt CO2e is actually the maximum amount. By including them the emissions are lower.

But that would be much too hard for you.

Do try harder.

Of course it only helps if you can read a graph.

You're making sht up again ...
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lee
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #53 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 12:32pm
 
Bam wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 10:22am:
lee wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 8:04pm:
Bam wrote on Oct 4th, 2018 at 6:39pm:
Ignoring land clearing, ignoring bushfires, ignoring fugitive emissions, ignoring everything else, but cherrypicking something you like and beating it for all it's worth.

if you actually looked at the graph the 559Mt CO2e is actually the maximum amount. By including them the emissions are lower.

But that would be much too hard for you.

Do try harder.

Of course it only helps if you can read a graph.

You're making sht up again ...




Oh? You mean you can read a graph? If you have any doubts, seeing as Greg Jericho, the writer at the Guardian who did that graph, can probably help you.

"Chart: Greg Jericho Source: Depot of Environment, Table 1A, derived Get the data Created with Datawrapper "

If however you mean something else you need to be more specific. Because the graph exists.
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philperth2010
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #54 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 8:14pm
 
From the OP....

Quote:
The Morrison government stands accused of trying to sneak-release the latest greenhouse gas emission figures – they’ve gone up, again – by making them public on the eve of the footy grand finals.

The figures are the latest evidence that Australia will fail to meet its Paris Agreement targets, despite the government’s claims to the contrary.


The fact is this Government is lying to the Australian people over climate change policy which sees the Coalition fall way short of the mark with no policies to address the situation of rising emissions....Despite their complete capitulation to the climate change deniers they continue to claim all is good and fiddle whilst Rome is burning....We need leadership and environment policies that protect the environment not fossil fuels and the Mineral lobby....This complete rabble must go!!!

Angry Angry Angry
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If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
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lee
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #55 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 8:45pm
 
philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 8:14pm:
.Despite their complete capitulation to the climate change deniers they continue to claim all is good and fiddle whilst Rome is burning..



I haven't seen anybody who denies climate changes.

I see you haven't come up with any empirical evidence.

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philperth2010
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #56 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm
 
lee wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 8:45pm:
I haven't seen anybody who denies climate changes.


Typical deflection....The Government signed up to Paris targets and are responsible for Australia's emissions under that agreement....The Coalition claims we will meet those targets whilst doing nothing which is a lie....The Government released the report on the eave of the AFL Grand final to bury the embarrassing data....There is no certainty and no leadership....Address the issue and stop deflecting with denialist bullshit....The Government is lying to the Australian people and you have never addressed the issue or it's implications....You are a flake mate!!!

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

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If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
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lee
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #57 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 10:03pm
 
philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm:
Typical deflection....



You were the one raised the topic of climate change denial. So how can it be deflection?

philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm:
The Coalition claims we will meet those targets whilst doing nothing which is a lie...


Do you have any evidence for that, that we will not "meet these targets".

philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm:
Address the issue and stop deflecting with denialist bullshit..



See there you go again. Raising the spectre of people who deny the climate changes. Just can't help yourself.

It's the only arrow in your quiver and you have a broken bow.

philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm:
The Government is lying to the Australian people and you have never addressed the issue or it's implications..



So tell us the implications that you think are not being addressed.

Drought? Nah. Been evidenced many times before.

You must have something other than a "the sky is falling" mentality.

But perhaps you can tell us why we should trust NASA. They couldn't even get their 97% reference right.


Perhaps you have heard of the phrase "Falsus in uno, falsus in omnibus "?

philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 9:00pm:
You are a flake mate!!



Ah the old ad hom when you don't have a logical argument. It is always the other person's fault.
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philperth2010
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #58 - Oct 5th, 2018 at 11:32pm
 
The Government is responsible for policies and reducing emissions....They are failing and need to be held to account on their commitments to the Australian people at the next election....This rabble must go!!!

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
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If knowledge can create problems, it is not through ignorance that we can solve them.
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Bam
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Re: Muppets release bad CO₂ news late on GF Friday
Reply #59 - Oct 6th, 2018 at 12:00am
 
philperth2010 wrote on Oct 5th, 2018 at 11:32pm:
The Government is responsible for policies and reducing emissions....They are failing and need to be held to account on their commitments to the Australian people at the next election....This rabble must go!!!

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

And go they will, leaving a mess for Labor to clean up. Again.
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