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Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now! (Read 21951 times)
Term Dog
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #60 - Dec 19th, 2018 at 7:40am
 
Should Gandalf be on an FBI watch list or are we trying to reason him around from his inevitable path of destruction, only time will tell.


Admire you guy's patience trying to reason with the unreasonable.
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #61 - Dec 19th, 2018 at 9:46am
 
freediver wrote on Dec 18th, 2018 at 7:57pm:
Gandalf, you are basically trying the "Nazis made the trains run on time" argument with the Taliban, in order to justify your preference for the Taliban's brutal Islamofascism over establishing democracy.


No I'm not, but you are definitely trying the tired old "not supporting bombing a country into smitherenes and ushering in untold years of chaos and instability = prefering brutal Islamofascism over establishing democracy" argument. Its a shame, but not really surprising given how well your other attempts at argument went down - like quoting doctors attesting to how effective taliban control was as somehow proof of a failed state.

I've made a few points, none of which relates remotely to saying the taliban were awesome and definitely preferable to establishing democracy. These include pointing out that you really couldn't imagine a worse outcome for both Afghanistan and western security - than the course that the US took in 2001. I pointed out that a viable diplomatic alternative to slaughtering Afghanis and allowing bin Laden to get away - was available to the US, which almost certainly would have been more effective in terms of meting out justice on the perpetrators of the 9/11 attacks. I refuted your baseless and illogical argument that the US couldn't possibly have worked with the taliban because they were somehow a failed state - a claim for which you no valid or logical evidence to support.
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #62 - Dec 19th, 2018 at 12:27pm
 
Quote:
I've made a few points, none of which relates remotely to saying the taliban were awesome and definitely preferable to establishing democracy.


You are yet to explain how the longevity of the Taliban's rule is irrelevant to whether their rule was stable, or if you would indeed make the same argument about stability if they only ruled for two days.

You are yet to explain how explain how invoking a war with a far more powerful nation is irrelevant to whether they provided security.

You are yet to explain how Al Quaida setting foreign policy and starting wars is consistent with the Taliban being in effective control of the country.

Quote:
I pointed out that a viable diplomatic alternative to slaughtering Afghanis and allowing bin Laden to get away - was available to the US, which almost certainly would have been more effective in terms of meting out justice on the perpetrators of the 9/11 attacks.


You have only revealed how naive you are. The Taliban had neither the ability nor the inclination to hand over Bin Laden. They were only willing to string the US along for as long as possible. They were given the opportunity. They passed it up.

Can you explain why non-Muslims are still expected to attempt negotiations after Muslims have declared war and repeatedly attacked them? Isn't it a bit late then?
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #63 - Dec 19th, 2018 at 1:01pm
 
freediver wrote on Dec 19th, 2018 at 12:27pm:
You are yet to explain how the longevity of the Taliban's rule is irrelevant to whether their rule was stable, or if you would indeed make the same argument about stability if they only ruled for two days.


And you are yet to explain how 5 years of stability can't possibly be 5 years of stability - other than making the nonsensical non-argument that 'its not long enough'. And by the way, 5 years is a little bit more than 2 days - and we are not talking about ruling for 2 days, because the taliban didn't rule for just 2 days. These are incredibly difficult concepts to get your head around, I know, but do try to keep up.

freediver wrote on Dec 19th, 2018 at 12:27pm:
You are yet to explain how explain how invoking a war with a far more powerful nation is irrelevant to whether they provided security.


Ok, I get your point that following a course of action, or not following a course of action as the case may be - that provokes hostile foreign intervention is inherently destabilising for the country. But to make the connection between this and actually not having a properly functioning state is quite illogical and completely nonsensical IMO. If you were consistent you would have to say that Nazi Germany in the 30s was a 'failed state' because it had a foreign policy that made war with the allies (and therefore its eventual destruction) inevitable. And that idea is plainly ridiculous - surely even to you. As you said, the Nazis make the trains run on time.

freediver wrote on Dec 19th, 2018 at 12:27pm:
You have only revealed how naive you are. The Taliban had neither the ability nor the inclination to hand over Bin Laden. They were only willing to string the US along for as long as possible. They were given the opportunity. They passed it up.


This is naivity on stilts. Nothing but regurgitated, mindless US war propaganda.

The taliban may not have been able to hand over Bin Laden by themselves, but they certainly had the ability to cooperate with a US-led international law enforcement team to capture him. And don't give me nonsense about the taliban 'only willing to string the US along'. They were not suicidal like AQ, they could have been bargained with. Yes, of course, bargaining with a fundamentalist Islamist outfit that had harboured even worse fundamentalists who killed thousands of Americans - would leave a bad taste in your mouth-  but you have to decide whether you are interested in actual practical outcomes, or simply claiming the moral high ground while achieving nothing. The US decided the latter, and got the worst imaginable outcome for all involved - except bin Laden.
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Frank
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #64 - Dec 19th, 2018 at 10:57pm
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Dec 15th, 2018 at 8:42pm:
freediver wrote on Dec 15th, 2018 at 5:03pm:
A state is an entirely human construct. They exist only by convention. If no-one else thinks your state does not exist, then by definition it does not exist.


Again, how does it make it a "failed state"? - and by that I mean the definition that we actually use on planet earth - ie:

A failed state is a political body that has disintegrated to a point where basic conditions and responsibilities of a sovereign government no longer function properly
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Failed_state

freediver wrote on Dec 15th, 2018 at 5:03pm:
Quote:
By 1996 the front lines had stabilised


Crap.


Good point FD, the taliban consolidated their power even more after 1996 - right up until the US bombed them out of existence.

Well at least you're no longer arguing that the taliban was a 'failed state' because of what was happening in Afghanistan when it didn't even exist!

freediver wrote on Dec 15th, 2018 at 5:03pm:
What previous regime?


I'm not spoonfeeding you basic facts of history again FD. If you can't even be bothered to understand the most basic facts of a history debate, then I suggest you don't waste our time by trying to engage in that debate.

The Taliban is back because the Afghans are the Taliban. There will never be anything but tribal war in the hindu kush. You cannot civilise them. It's a barren land with barren minds.

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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #65 - Dec 20th, 2018 at 7:54am
 
oh look, good ol' 'never ever' pops in for a visit again.
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #66 - Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm
 
Term Dog wrote on Nov 27th, 2018 at 6:26am:
I could never figure out those videos of US marines assigned to protecting opium / Poppy fields.


What is the terminology? "Long con"? The United States has had interest in Afghanistan collapsing to the point that they can come in and reorganise the country to suit their needs. Americans are generally hero-homicidalists in the world community. They can only look good if everyone else looks bad.

I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #67 - Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:29pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm:
Term Dog wrote on Nov 27th, 2018 at 6:26am:
I could never figure out those videos of US marines assigned to protecting opium / Poppy fields.


What is the terminology? "Long con"? The United States has had interest in Afghanistan collapsing to the point that they can come in and reorganise the country to suit their needs. Americans are generally hero-homicidalists in the world community. They can only look good if everyone else looks bad.

I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.



What does that have to do with marines protecting opium fields?
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #68 - Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:55pm
 
Term Dog wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:29pm:
UnSubRocky wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm:
Term Dog wrote on Nov 27th, 2018 at 6:26am:
I could never figure out those videos of US marines assigned to protecting opium / Poppy fields.


What is the terminology? "Long con"? The United States has had interest in Afghanistan collapsing to the point that they can come in and reorganise the country to suit their needs. Americans are generally hero-homicidalists in the world community. They can only look good if everyone else looks bad.

I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.



What does that have to do with marines protecting opium fields?


Oh, I was meaning that I disagree with you about the reason why the Americans were there.
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #69 - Dec 21st, 2018 at 10:23am
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm:
I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.


Funny thing, the Americans seemed to lose their faux moral outrage over the taliban's treatment of women when they invited them to the White House early in 2001 to discuss that very pipeline.

If not for 9/11, its probable the Americans would have established diplomatic relations lasting to this day with that regime - something akin to their alliance with the morally reprehensible Saudi regime.
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Karnal
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #70 - Dec 21st, 2018 at 11:32am
 
polite_gandalf wrote on Dec 21st, 2018 at 10:23am:
UnSubRocky wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm:
I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.


Funny thing, the Americans seemed to lose their faux moral outrage over the taliban's treatment of women when they invited them to the White House early in 2001 to discuss that very pipeline.

If not for 9/11, its probable the Americans would have established diplomatic relations lasting to this day with that regime - something akin to their alliance with the morally reprehensible Saudi regime.


Indeed. Texan Governor and oilman's son, George W Bush, invited them over for a barbecue during his time as governor.

He must have changed his mind, no?
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #71 - Dec 21st, 2018 at 3:03pm
 
Karnal wrote on Dec 21st, 2018 at 11:32am:
polite_gandalf wrote on Dec 21st, 2018 at 10:23am:
UnSubRocky wrote on Dec 20th, 2018 at 3:26pm:
I think a pipeline for oil getting built through Afghanistan is what the Americans want. The thing is, the Americans have overestimated their ability to conquer a warring region with plenty of experience.


Funny thing, the Americans seemed to lose their faux moral outrage over the taliban's treatment of women when they invited them to the White House early in 2001 to discuss that very pipeline.

If not for 9/11, its probable the Americans would have established diplomatic relations lasting to this day with that regime - something akin to their alliance with the morally reprehensible Saudi regime.


Indeed. Texan Governor and oilman's son, George W Bush, invited them over for a barbecue during his time as governor.

He must have changed his mind, no?


He found it was just easier to install his old oil buddy Hamid Karzai, and rig the elections for him.
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A resident Islam critic who claims to represent western values said:
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Outlawing the enemy's uniform - hijab, islamic beard - is not depriving one's own people of their freedoms.
 
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #72 - Dec 22nd, 2018 at 9:26am
 
Quote:
And you are yet to explain how 5 years of stability can't possibly be 5 years of stability


Earth to Gandalf: it was not stable, and the maps show that. Though I admire your valiant efforts to spin that expansion into mere "consolidation".

Quote:
And by the way, 5 years is a little bit more than 2 days - and we are not talking about ruling for 2 days, because the taliban didn't rule for just 2 days. These are incredibly difficult concepts to get your head around, I know, but do try to keep up.


You are the one who argued that the fact they were only in power for 5 years is irrelevant to whether they were stable. Have you changed your mind? But do try to answer the question. Would you actually try to spin two days of rule into stability?

Quote:
Ok, I get your point that following a course of action, or not following a course of action as the case may be - that provokes hostile foreign intervention is inherently destabilising for the country.


Heleluja!

Quote:
But to make the connection between this and actually not having a properly functioning state is quite illogical and completely nonsensical IMO.


But it was not a functioning state. Who was in charge? The Taliban or Al Quaida?

Quote:
If you were consistent you would have to say that Nazi Germany in the 30s was a 'failed state' because it had a foreign policy that made war with the allies


It is my understanding that the people who were nominally in charge were the same ones who made war. It's not like some other fascist party was claiming to be in charge, but in a "marriage of convenience with Nazis who wer doing their own thing and starting WWII.

Just to be clear, I am not arguing that going to war means you are a failed state. I am claiming that having no control over whether your own state starts that war means you are a failed state. And this was precisely the argument made by the US - the world is shrinking and failed states like this are a threat far beyond their borders.

Quote:
This is naivity on stilts. Nothing but regurgitated, mindless US war propaganda.


But they were in a "marriage of convenience" with Al Quaida right? Perhaps I am confused by your terminology. When people in the west use the term marriage, it does not imply authority and control over someone. Did the Taliban have effective authority over Al Quaida or not?

Quote:
The taliban may not have been able to hand over Bin Laden by themselves, but they certainly had the ability to cooperate with a US-led international law enforcement team to capture him.


Were the taliban  in control of the situation or not? You just said they responded to US demands to hand him over by offering instead to hand him over to some other country. Now you say they could offer nother more than "cooperation" - with the US presumably being forced to invade either way. Would you like to get your story straight on how you will defend one of the most brutal and oppressive Muslim organisations in modern history before you respond? How is "not being a failed state" consistent with being incapable of handing over a "citizen" of that state who committed one of the worst crimes from the perspective of maintaining functioning statehood.

Why could they not hand him over? Is it because they were retarded inbreds? Or because Afghanistan was a failed state?
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #73 - Dec 22nd, 2018 at 11:43am
 
Winter, Kabul. From his compound behind the Presidential Palace, Karzai looks out over his once proud city. Where is Gary now? Where are the Americans? The British? The German engineers?

Was it all a dream?

An icy wind blows through the city, whistling. When the sun rises, there will be fog.

The telephone rings, breaking through the darkness.

"Hamid?"

It is Ghani, damn him. He calls anytime. He is now Karzai's president. Once, he was a friend.

"Hamid? The Americans are taking more troops. What to do? It is giving me insomnia already."

"Ah, Ashraf, this is no longer our world. The wind, the fog, this is now our lot, insh'allah."

"But Hamid, we must act! You must do something! Call Gary, call Mr Trump, call anyone!"

"Gary no longer takes my calls, effende, but anyhow, he is gone too. Retired, living in Maine."

"And Trump?"

"Forget it, Ashraf, he's pretty much retired too. Putin, he will talk to. Me? I am yesterday. I am the past. I am no longer on the Fox News."

"But Mother said..."

"Ah. She talks to you? Me also, in my time. She is a goodly spirit."

"She is my only hope! The Americans will no longer help. The Taliban are giving me heart problems already. My blood pressure..."

Health has always been one of Karzai's obsessions, but like all hypochondriacs, he can't bear to listen to the health problems of others.

"Insh'allah, the Angel will guide you, Ashraf. Listen to her. She is always right."

"Ah, Hamid, she tells me to kill - some men with my own bare hands. My conscience..."

"Forget conscience, effende, the Angel speaks the word of God. This is the price we must pay. I also, in my time. Men like us cannot afford a conscience."

Karzai can hear the presidential hubbly bubbly on the other end of the line. Ghani must be onto his first bong of the day. Karzai is on the last bong of the night. Hashish and opium. It is the only thing that holds back the pain of the conscience. Also, it often brings a visit from the Angel, who gives advice. Karzai, after all, is still the president, just not in name. Today, he can relax and let Ashraf settle the blood. It is a part of the job no president likes.

In many ways, Karzai is like the Angel herself, directing Afghanistan from behind the scenes. Karzai's presidential terms expired, he can now rule without accountability. It is a good place to be, but then again, all in Afghanistan know Karzai stands behind the throne.

"Hamid, try Mr Trump again, I know he can help. Maybe there will be a new Gary soon."

"Insh'allah, there are no more Garys, Ashraf. It is the price we must pay. It is - how to say - independence."

"Oh Hamid, listen to who you are talking to. Independence? It's a sad joke. Afghanistan will never be independent. Britain, Russia, America, all. Let the Taliban dream of independence. We are pragmatic fellows."

"This may be, effende, but we must pretend. We are like an actor on the stage - an actor in the play of life. All countries want independence, isn't it. None may have it, not even America. But we pretend, we speak to the crowds, we go on TV. Then, when all is quiet, we listen to the Angel of Darkness, Mother of the Night. This is our lot, insh'allah. It is what we must do. Speak of independence, Ashraf, but act on dependence. It is all we can do."

"Yes, it is so. Can you just try Trump?"

"Okay! I will try again, Ashraf. Insh'allah, I will succeed. But let us wait until the day."

"Ah, Hamid, peace be upon you."

"Now go do your work. You have a meeting with the Pashtun Council today, no?"

"They never help. All they do is complain."

"But we must pretend, Ashraf. Be an actor. Listen and speak the lines I have given you. It is like chess. On their own, no piece can win, and yes, many must be sacrificed. But together - like the fingers in a hand - we may act, fingers that may form a fist or a caress."

Karzai takes a drag on his pipe then blows out its smoke, a long blue dragon of opium and hashish. With it, Karzai let's out a prayer.

"Mother of Darkness, Angel of Death, bring light to our friend Ashraf Ghani, president of all the tribes of Afghanistan! Bring him glory, bring him peace!"

"Blood pressure, Hamid..."

"Bring him health! Lower his blood pressure, insh'allah. Get him on a low cholesterol diet, he is putting on too much weight."

"It is Winter, Hamid. I'm not getting out much."

"Then get out! Go to Florida. It is sunny all year round. Gary gave me a compound there. Finally."

"Really?"

"Really. But it was not cheap. It cost much oil and gas. Still, it is not my oil and gas."

"It belongs to the people of Afghanistan."

"It belongs to God! He who sees all, hears all, owns all. I should go to Florida myself, get some sun."

"This might work, Hamid. Listen, Mr Trump has a palace there. You can buy a ticket and meet with him."

"Maybe. What is this Trump palace?"

"Mar a' Lago. Apparently you can play golf there. You can drive around in these little buggies."

"Well, it would be good to see the retirement compound again... Alright, I will visit this Mar a Lago. I will play some golf, drink cocktails. Insh'allah, I shall meet with Trump himself!"

"As God wills it, Hamid."

"Now go. Meet with the Pashtuns. Tell them to hold tight. Insh'allah, we will bring back America!"

A thin dawn breaks over Kabul. As always, the sun's fog creeps in from the east. Blue-grey, like the smoke from a hubbly bubbly.

Karzai and Trump? What to do? Stay reading, friends, and you will see.
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« Last Edit: Dec 22nd, 2018 at 8:50pm by Karnal »  
 
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Re: Afghanistan is Collapsing. Get Out: Now!
Reply #74 - Dec 22nd, 2018 at 2:40pm
 
From the compound behind the Presidential Palace in the mind of Afghanistan.

"Yesterday's man, effende."
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