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The coming world recession (Read 4051 times)
rhino
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The coming world recession
Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:36am
 
Its here now, those who have their heads in the sand and dont prepare will be victims. When America sneezes the world catches a cold.
Quote:
Here are 5 reasons that the market is falling:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-dow-just-logged-its-worst-2-day-point-slid...
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Gordon
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #1 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:37am
 
When Chinese eat bats..... Smiley
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IBI
 
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rhino
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #2 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:41am
 
My super is in cash anyway, I expect this recession to be as bad as the 80s one which effectively lasted 5 years..
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Sophia
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #3 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:14am
 
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:41am:
My super is in cash anyway, I expect this recession to be as bad as the 80s one which effectively lasted 5 years..

Correction, was the 90’s our “recession we had to have” (quoting Paul Keating)

I remember that year it really took hold in 1990z
Interest rates were up to 16-18% at June and by December went down to 8%
Too late for the drastic interest rate drop, a lot of people lost their shirt off their backs already.
Businesses suffered, many were merely working just to pay the interest in loans, , shops were empty by the scores, and every 2nd house was “mortgagee auction” !

Many that survived said they will never trust Banks or loans again.
But alas, that was my generation that learnt to be careful, there’s always new generations to bamboozle along the way.
Oh let me look, yep, last time I see interest rates below 4% and property prices are ridiculously high!
It worries me for many of those that have huge borrowings.

We have booms and busts all along history, think it won’t again?
Look what a little invisible virus can do!

My parents gen were known as the frugal generation, and any wonder, they went through “the depression” and war.
They learnt to be wary.
One had to go through it to understand it.
Hubby and I are too frightened to get into debt now.
We would rather hold back and that, is the way a lot of baby boomers must feel, we make up for a almost quarter of our Aussie population, and if we hold back, what happens to the financial state of affairs for all?

That’s why car plants close down, shops such as big w closing down etc etc
We got enough stuff, and the newer gens like minimalism.
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Fuzzball
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #4 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:30am
 
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:36am:
Here are 5 reasons that the market is falling:

1. Covid-19
2. Covid-19
3. Covid-19
4. Covid-19
5. Covid-19

Wink
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"Holy Sh!t ... What a Ride!"
 
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Sir lastnail
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #5 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:35am
 
What can will scumo kick down the road again to stop house prices from collapsing ? This I got to see Cheesy LOL
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In August 2021, Newcastle Coroner Karen Dilks recorded that Lisa Shaw had died “due to complications of an AstraZeneca COVID vaccination”.
 
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Captain Caveman
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #6 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:19pm
 
On the other hand....if you're not trying to keep up with the jones' this could turn out to be life changing in a positive way.
I feel sorry for anyone with a mortgage over 400k, two cars on hock, furniture on hock, boat on hock. They own nothing and will be stripped of it all if shyte really hits the fan. I know of at least five people in this situation. They love showing you what they have too. 
Very silly people IMO. They didn't research what a bank is and does and how they are run...and by who.
"The friendly girl at the counter was so nice to us" or "our bank is great"....gets em every time.
Tell them this though and they snarl at you.

People with investment properties paying interest only....farrkkking suicidal but again, you can't tell them.


Anyway....We're ready to snap up some bargains soon, maybe.
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cods
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #7 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:36pm
 
Sir lastnail wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:35am:
What can will scumo kick down the road again to stop house prices from collapsing ? This I got to see :D LOL




oh look rusty has found something to smile about!
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rhino
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #8 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:40pm
 
Sophia wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:14am:
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:41am:
My super is in cash anyway, I expect this recession to be as bad as the 80s one which effectively lasted 5 years..

Correction, was the 90’s our “recession we had to have” (quoting Paul Keating)

I remember that year it really took hold in 1990z
Interest rates were up to 16-18% at June and by December went down to 8%
Too late for the drastic interest rate drop, a lot of people lost their shirt off their backs already.
Businesses suffered, many were merely working just to pay the interest in loans, , shops were empty by the scores, and every 2nd house was “mortgagee auction” !

Many that survived said they will never trust Banks or loans again.
But alas, that was my generation that learnt to be careful, there’s always new generations to bamboozle along the way.
Oh let me look, yep, last time I see interest rates below 4% and property prices are ridiculously high!
It worries me for many of those that have huge borrowings.

We have booms and busts all along history, think it won’t again?
Look what a little invisible virus can do!

My parents gen were known as the frugal generation, and any wonder, they went through “the depression” and war.
They learnt to be wary.
One had to go through it to understand it.
Hubby and I are too frightened to get into debt now.
We would rather hold back and that, is the way a lot of baby boomers must feel, we make up for a almost quarter of our Aussie population, and if we hold back, what happens to the financial state of affairs for all?

That’s why car plants close down, shops such as big w closing down etc etc
We got enough stuff, and the newer gens like minimalism.
87 everything crashed and didnt really recover until 92. yes interest rates were highest in 90 but that was just the icing on the cake if you were one of the 12 percent unemployed. Then qwe had a technical recession but if most people knew the economy had been fkd since 87. I can tell you right now though that unemployment is going to be huge as lots of people are losing there jobs, this is a casual workforce now and people are getting laid off immediately with no entitlements to even get them through. Morrison needs to forget about a surplus and spend to get this country through because it looks like its gonna be huge. I know people who borrowed against the little equity they had in their house to go contracting on big money, now the equity has gone leaving them owing more than the house is worth and they have lost their income.
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rhino
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #9 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:43pm
 
Captain Caveman wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:19pm:
On the other hand....if you're not trying to keep up with the jones' this could turn out to be life changing in a positive way.
I feel sorry for anyone with a mortgage over 400k, two cars on hock, furniture on hock, boat on hock. They own nothing and will be stripped of it all if shyte really hits the fan. I know of at least five people in this situation. They love showing you what they have too. 
Very silly people IMO. They didn't research what a bank is and does and how they are run...and by who.
"The friendly girl at the counter was so nice to us" or "our bank is great"....gets em every time.
Tell them this though and they snarl at you.

People with investment properties paying interest only....farrkkking suicidal but again, you can't tell them.


Anyway....We're ready to snap up some bargains soon, maybe.
The problem is these people borrowing are who kept the economy afloat.
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rhino
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #10 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:45pm
 
Fuzzball wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:30am:
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:36am:
Here are 5 reasons that the market is falling:

1. Covid-19
2. Covid-19
3. Covid-19
4. Covid-19
5. Covid-19

Wink
Corona is just the trigger. Trumps been spending like a drunken sailor to try and pretend the US economy is booming but borrowed money has to be paid back sometime.
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Captain Caveman
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #11 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:53pm
 
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:43pm:
Captain Caveman wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:19pm:
On the other hand....if you're not trying to keep up with the jones' this could turn out to be life changing in a positive way.
I feel sorry for anyone with a mortgage over 400k, two cars on hock, furniture on hock, boat on hock. They own nothing and will be stripped of it all if shyte really hits the fan. I know of at least five people in this situation. They love showing you what they have too. 
Very silly people IMO. They didn't research what a bank is and does and how they are run...and by who.
"The friendly girl at the counter was so nice to us" or "our bank is great"....gets em every time.
Tell them this though and they snarl at you.

People with investment properties paying interest only....farrkkking suicidal but again, you can't tell them.


Anyway....We're ready to snap up some bargains soon, maybe.
The problem is these people borrowing are who kept the economy afloat.




That is why I feel for them. I have friends that stand to lose the lot because they wouldn't listen to some simple methods. My wife is a money person. She advised one couple and now they don't talk to us. All she was saying is "pay your house an investment unit off as quick as you can"...not the full term  And definitely not interest only.


We purchased our house. Went without everything and smashed out the mortgage. We have done the hard yards for fear of another looming 90's. I hate borrowing. I spend but I have a healthy income. If I lose that income, we will not lose.

What got us however was the interest rates dropping so far. While they are down so low is the time to wack that mortgage.....but people aren't doing this. Instead they borrow more. That is not good.


I have always distrusted the banks. They are evil.
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Bam
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #12 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 6:09pm
 
Captain Caveman wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:53pm:
What got us however was the interest rates dropping so far. While they are down so low is the time to wack that mortgage.....but people aren't doing this. Instead they borrow more. That is not good.

Too many people have become complacent. Anyone under 45 has not known the pain of recession.
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You are not entitled to your opinion. You are only entitled to hold opinions that you can defend through sound, reasoned argument.
 
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Sophia
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #13 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 6:48pm
 
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:40pm:
Sophia wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 10:14am:
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 9:41am:
My super is in cash anyway, I expect this recession to be as bad as the 80s one which effectively lasted 5 years..

Correction, was the 90’s our “recession we had to have” (quoting Paul Keating)

I remember that year it really took hold in 1990z
Interest rates were up to 16-18% at June and by December went down to 8%
Too late for the drastic interest rate drop, a lot of people lost their shirt off their backs already.
Businesses suffered, many were merely working just to pay the interest in loans, , shops were empty by the scores, and every 2nd house was “mortgagee auction” !

Many that survived said they will never trust Banks or loans again.
But alas, that was my generation that learnt to be careful, there’s always new generations to bamboozle along the way.
Oh let me look, yep, last time I see interest rates below 4% and property prices are ridiculously high!
It worries me for many of those that have huge borrowings.

We have booms and busts all along history, think it won’t again?
Look what a little invisible virus can do!

My parents gen were known as the frugal generation, and any wonder, they went through “the depression” and war.
They learnt to be wary.
One had to go through it to understand it.
Hubby and I are too frightened to get into debt now.
We would rather hold back and that, is the way a lot of baby boomers must feel, we make up for a almost quarter of our Aussie population, and if we hold back, what happens to the financial state of affairs for all?

That’s why car plants close down, shops such as big w closing down etc etc
We got enough stuff, and the newer gens like minimalism.
87 everything crashed and didnt really recover until 92. yes interest rates were highest in 90 but that was just the icing on the cake if you were one of the 12 percent unemployed. Then qwe had a technical recession but if most people knew the economy had been fkd since 87. I can tell you right now though that unemployment is going to be huge as lots of people are losing there jobs, this is a casual workforce now and people are getting laid off immediately with no entitlements to even get them through. Morrison needs to forget about a surplus and spend to get this country through because it looks like its gonna be huge. I know people who borrowed against the little equity they had in their house to go contracting on big money, now the equity has gone leaving them owing more than the house is worth and they have lost their income.


The 80s is an interesting era, early 80s property prices boomed or doubled.
By later 80s it became a boom time for lending and people were warned not to borrow, not to go into it too deep. But many didn’t take heed of that advice.
Remember this...

"By 1990, no Australian child will be living in poverty," the then-prime minister told Labor's election campaign launch on June 23, 1987.

1987 global share market crashed down 40% but not real estate at that point in time.
It was late 89 the variable interest hit an all time high @ 17%.

Then the shyte started to hit the fan by 1990 and was awful for a long time during the 1990s.
The 80s were up and down but the 90s were just down. I think Victoria was hit hard because people from NSW come down to buy stuff and says to us “everything in Victoria seems to be for sale”.

Banks lending money was still easy, as we found out.
We went the opposite of everyone and borrowed to buy houses to fix, rent and create our income. It was positive gearing at that point.
I had a formula worked out. We easily borrowed over that course, $1,020,000 @ 6% interest only.
If it wasn’t for easy lending in the 1990s to mid 2000s we could not have done it.
Now, we can’t borrow even though we have equity, the banks have really tightened up.
So if anyone thinks there will be bargain houses coming up due to some impending recession because of this virus, think again, the banks won’t lend you money to buy, unless you are earning big money and have job security and equity with no other debts you may be currently paying.




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rhino
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Re: The coming world recession
Reply #14 - Feb 28th, 2020 at 6:58pm
 
Captain Caveman wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:53pm:
rhino wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:43pm:
Captain Caveman wrote on Feb 28th, 2020 at 5:19pm:
On the other hand....if you're not trying to keep up with the jones' this could turn out to be life changing in a positive way.
I feel sorry for anyone with a mortgage over 400k, two cars on hock, furniture on hock, boat on hock. They own nothing and will be stripped of it all if shyte really hits the fan. I know of at least five people in this situation. They love showing you what they have too. 
Very silly people IMO. They didn't research what a bank is and does and how they are run...and by who.
"The friendly girl at the counter was so nice to us" or "our bank is great"....gets em every time.
Tell them this though and they snarl at you.

People with investment properties paying interest only....farrkkking suicidal but again, you can't tell them.


Anyway....We're ready to snap up some bargains soon, maybe.
The problem is these people borrowing are who kept the economy afloat.




That is why I feel for them. I have friends that stand to lose the lot because they wouldn't listen to some simple methods. My wife is a money person. She advised one couple and now they don't talk to us. All she was saying is "pay your house an investment unit off as quick as you can"...not the full term  And definitely not interest only.


We purchased our house. Went without everything and smashed out the mortgage. We have done the hard yards for fear of another looming 90's. I hate borrowing. I spend but I have a healthy income. If I lose that income, we will not lose.

What got us however was the interest rates dropping so far. While they are down so low is the time to wack that mortgage.....but people aren't doing this. Instead they borrow more. That is not good.


I have always distrusted the banks. They are evil.
yes, I agree but what i am saying is that our current economy with no recession for 30 years is based on these idiots borrowing, really the idiots have been supporting the economy and by default all of us. I have always said thank god for idiots because they let the smart people make money. What causes recessions is when people stop spending which is happening right now. Our economy has been based on a house of cards of borrowing and now its crashing. Retail is fkd, shopping centres are empty. I cant forecast the future but I get the same feeling now that I had before the last recession hit big time. And to be quite honest to paraphrase Keating, this may be the recession we have to have. Too much borrowing, it has to stop.
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