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NSW cases out of control. (Read 38957 times)
SadKangaroo
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #285 - Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:03pm
 
Gordon wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:21pm:
SadKangaroo wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 6:42pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 6:38pm:
Carl D wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 6:27pm:
Covid might also be heading north shortly...

COME HOME NOW: Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk calls for Queenslanders to retreat north


https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/health-wellbeing/qld-to-ease-restrictions-stay-op...

Quote:
Queenslanders in regional NSW have been told to return home now to avoid being locked out if the coronavirus spreads beyond Greater Sydney.

Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has opted to keep the border open to regional NSW but has also warned that could change very quickly if the virus escapes from greater Sydney’s lockdown zone.

“My message to Queenslanders is if you are in those areas, come home. I can’t be any clearer,” she said on Monday.


I'm prepared to bet that's already happened which means Annastacia could soon be in the same Covid mess as Gladys is at the moment.



Annasatcia isn't as dumb as Gladys ... first sign of covid and we'll immediately lock down so they can get on top of it before it spreads. Same thing they did a couple of weeks ago


We were so incredibly lucky with how well that went and how little exposure there was.

But I wonder if that means we'll be a victim of our success.

We already have enough people saying things like "it's nothing to worry about" simply because we have been worrying about it and keeping it under control.  That mentality, that selfish me me me poorly disguised as "oh won't someone think of the children" is what defeats us from within.

And fate can be a real bitch sometimes and these people rarely face the consequences of their actions.

But I digress.

We all need to continue to do the right thing now more than ever, but if this forum is in any way representative of the community as a whole, that's too much to ask it seems.


Says he who hasn't been vaccinated. Did you get in today?


Gold Coast hospital turned us away, no Pfizer left for walk ins.

It's not for lack of trying Gordon. They're keeping shots with shelf life for those who need their second jab, or so they told us.
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Dnarever
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #286 - Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:15pm
 
aquascoot wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 7:36pm:
meh

covid will eventually be another disease just like the flu in terms of how we view it.

already the sensible singaporeans are stopping the data on cases and contact tracing and just reporting hospital presentations (which is what we have done with the flu for 50 years).

delta seems about 4 times as transmissable as the flu and about 3 times as deadly.
(12x)
fluvax is usually only about 60 % effective.

the current vaxes seem about that good or better.

so , crunching the numbers with my focused brain.

i think covid in 2023, 2024,2025 and in perpetuity should be killing about 12 x the flu tally.

flu kills about 1000 a yr, covid should knock off about 12,000.

not species ending .

diabetes, cancer, heart disease and strokes all kill more.

we will learn to live with it.

we certainly wont have premiers holding news conferences describing each death
unless they think the public want 12,000 politician delivered eulogies per year (which they dont/wont).

we'll look back on this in 4 or 5 years and think

WTF were people doing in 2021, filling every moment of every news cycle with covid.

we are going to have to learn to live (and die ) with it.

why not make a start now.
you are only putting off the inevitable  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes


Quote:
flu kills about 1000 a yr, covid should knock off about 12,000


Flu Kills about 2,500 a year.

The transmission rate of flu drops to a R0 of 0.2 in the summer from a R0 of about 1 in winter at its most contagious.

Coved has a R0 (rate of contagion) of about 2.5 for The original virus 3 for the European strain and the delta variant may be as high as 8 . This means that covid is a really big number of times more contagious.

A preventative rate of 60% which is effective against the flu I suspect would be about as effective as pissing in the wind against an R0 of 4+.

The other point to consider is the the r0 if the flu drops to something like 0.2 in the warm weather. Corona drops for the original virus from about r0 of 2.5 to something like r0 of 1.2 i.e when the flu goes away in the summer Corona in its mild form drops to be only substantially more contagious than the Flu at its most contagious.

This is the basis of Trumps claim that it would magically just go away when it gets warm and the very predictable reason that it just didn't.

If the delta version really has an r0 of 8 as some people are saying its summer drop would still be devastating as seems to be what is happening in the US where we see the largely un vaxed republican states in big trouble. Yes in the US in summer there are unvaxed states that have run out of ventilators.

1 person gives it to 8 , 8 give it to 64, 64 give it to 512, 512 to 4096 etc. You can see why this would blow straight through a 60% effective vaccine.

It's a bit like trumps fence where they put the fence up but corruptly diverted the money to pay for the gates. Pretty funny all this secure fence with gaps where the gates are meant to go yep it's 60% secure.

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57431420
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« Last Edit: Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:44pm by Dnarever »  
 
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Karnal
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #287 - Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:41pm
 
Gordon wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:39pm:
Our low vaccination rates are due to complacency from us being largely virus-free.

We have a few complacent ones on this forum too.

The drink driver
Sad Kanga
Aussie
Anyone else?

I'm up for my 2nd dose of Pizzer tomorrow.



So? Aquascoot threw his in the Indus River. He hopes it reaches a family of "noble Gurkhas", who feed their kids a bowl of dirt a day.

Yes, Aquascoot is a believer in change at the micro level. Forget Covax, WHO and all that multilateral leftard rubbish. Global change happens when we all, one chap at a time, signal our virtue to the leftards.

You people are so selfish, crowing your 1st world superiority like that. Who cares?

Aquascoot plans to catch this virus. God willing, he'll reach herd mentality in no time.

You'll see. It may not happen overnight, leftards, but it will happen.
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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #288 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 5:32am
 
SadKangaroo wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:00pm:
aquascoot wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 7:36pm:
meh

covid will eventually be another disease just like the flu in terms of how we view it.

already the sensible singaporeans are stopping the data on cases and contact tracing and just reporting hospital presentations (which is what we have done with the flu for 50 years).

delta seems about 4 times as transmissable as the flu and about 3 times as deadly.
(12x)
fluvax is usually only about 60 % effective.

the current vaxes seem about that good or better.

so , crunching the numbers with my focused brain.

i think covid in 2023, 2024,2025 and in perpetuity should be killing about 12 x the flu tally.

flu kills about 1000 a yr, covid should knock off about 12,000.

not species ending .

diabetes, cancer, heart disease and strokes all kill more.

we will learn to live with it.

we certainly wont have premiers holding news conferences describing each death
unless they think the public want 12,000 politician delivered eulogies per year (which they dont/wont).

we'll look back on this in 4 or 5 years and think

WTF were people doing in 2021, filling every moment of every news cycle with covid.

we are going to have to learn to live (and die ) with it.

why not make a start now.
you are only putting off the inevitable  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes


Most of my family now live in Singapore and you know what scoot, you smacking piece of poo, I'm sick and tired of your smacking lies.

Singapore are not doing anything of the sort.

I'll reply properly in the morning but bugger me you're a lying sick of poo.  Nothing is off limits for you to cherry pick and bullshit about to make your bullshit backwards buggerwitted points.


well well,

skippy caught lying again


SINGAPORE - The Ministry of Health (MOH) will no longer disclose details of each new Covid-19 case detected in the community as the country moves towards a new phase of battling the pandemic, it said in a statement on Tuesday (June 29).

Information on individuals' ages and occupations, as well as the places they visited and the dates on which they tested positive, will not be provided.

skippy "spoke to a friend" Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

i provide an article.

people can judge for themselves your lies  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/health/moh-to-stop-giving-details-of-covi...

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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #289 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 5:35am
 
Dnarever wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:15pm:
aquascoot wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 7:36pm:
meh

covid will eventually be another disease just like the flu in terms of how we view it.

already the sensible singaporeans are stopping the data on cases and contact tracing and just reporting hospital presentations (which is what we have done with the flu for 50 years).

delta seems about 4 times as transmissable as the flu and about 3 times as deadly.
(12x)
fluvax is usually only about 60 % effective.

the current vaxes seem about that good or better.

so , crunching the numbers with my focused brain.

i think covid in 2023, 2024,2025 and in perpetuity should be killing about 12 x the flu tally.

flu kills about 1000 a yr, covid should knock off about 12,000.

not species ending .

diabetes, cancer, heart disease and strokes all kill more.

we will learn to live with it.

we certainly wont have premiers holding news conferences describing each death
unless they think the public want 12,000 politician delivered eulogies per year (which they dont/wont).

we'll look back on this in 4 or 5 years and think

WTF were people doing in 2021, filling every moment of every news cycle with covid.

we are going to have to learn to live (and die ) with it.

why not make a start now.
you are only putting off the inevitable  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes


Quote:
flu kills about 1000 a yr, covid should knock off about 12,000


Flu Kills about 2,500 a year.

The transmission rate of flu drops to a R0 of 0.2 in the summer from a R0 of about 1 in winter at its most contagious.

Coved has a R0 (rate of contagion) of about 2.5 for The original virus 3 for the European strain and the delta variant may be as high as 8 . This means that covid is a really big number of times more contagious.

A preventative rate of 60% which is effective against the flu I suspect would be about as effective as pissing in the wind against an R0 of 4+.

The other point to consider is the the r0 if the flu drops to something like 0.2 in the warm weather. Corona drops for the original virus from about r0 of 2.5 to something like r0 of 1.2 i.e when the flu goes away in the summer Corona in its mild form drops to be only substantially more contagious than the Flu at its most contagious.

This is the basis of Trumps claim that it would magically just go away when it gets warm and the very predictable reason that it just didn't.

If the delta version really has an r0 of 8 as some people are saying its summer drop would still be devastating as seems to be what is happening in the US where we see the largely un vaxed republican states in big trouble. Yes in the US in summer there are unvaxed states that have run out of ventilators.

1 person gives it to 8 , 8 give it to 64, 64 give it to 512, 512 to 4096 etc. You can see why this would blow straight through a 60% effective vaccine.

It's a bit like trumps fence where they put the fence up but corruptly diverted the money to pay for the gates. Pretty funny all this secure fence with gaps where the gates are meant to go yep it's 60% secure.

https://www.bbc.com/news/health-57431420



thanks for that.

so we can now say FOR SURE that we will need to learn to live with 1000's of deaths a year in future years.

so , considering we have a catastrophic fear pandemic when deaths are at 2 or 3 for 2021, dont you think we should keep some of our panic in reserve for 2022 2023 2024 and on into perpetuity ?
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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #290 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 5:38am
 
Karnal wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:41pm:
Gordon wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:39pm:
Our low vaccination rates are due to complacency from us being largely virus-free.

We have a few complacent ones on this forum too.

The drink driver
Sad Kanga
Aussie
Anyone else?

I'm up for my 2nd dose of Pizzer tomorrow.



So? Aquascoot threw his in the Indus River. He hopes it reaches a family of "noble Gurkhas", who feed their kids a bowl of dirt a day.

Yes, Aquascoot is a believer in change at the micro level. Forget Covax, WHO and all that multilateral leftard rubbish. Global change happens when we all, one chap at a time, signal our virtue to the leftards.

You people are so selfish, crowing your 1st world superiority like that. Who cares?

Aquascoot plans to catch this virus. God willing, he'll reach herd mentality in no time.

You'll see. It may not happen overnight, leftards, but it will happen.



aquascoot plans to teach his grandchildren some prespective.
he plans to get vaccinated (already has) and then teach them that living in fear is a destructive mode of being.

ever feel like the grandchildren have been cheated
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Bobby.
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #291 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:19am
 
aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 5:38am:
Karnal wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 11:41pm:
Gordon wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:39pm:
Our low vaccination rates are due to complacency from us being largely virus-free.

We have a few complacent ones on this forum too.

The drink driver
Sad Kanga
Aussie
Anyone else?

I'm up for my 2nd dose of Pizzer tomorrow.



So? Aquascoot threw his in the Indus River. He hopes it reaches a family of "noble Gurkhas", who feed their kids a bowl of dirt a day.

Yes, Aquascoot is a believer in change at the micro level. Forget Covax, WHO and all that multilateral leftard rubbish. Global change happens when we all, one chap at a time, signal our virtue to the leftards.

You people are so selfish, crowing your 1st world superiority like that. Who cares?

Aquascoot plans to catch this virus. God willing, he'll reach herd mentality in no time.

You'll see. It may not happen overnight, leftards, but it will happen.



aquascoot plans to teach his grandchildren some prespective.
he plans to get vaccinated (already has) and then teach them that living in fear is a destructive mode of being.

ever feel like the grandchildren have been cheated



Hi Aqua,
I had my first dose of AZ vax 11 days ago but
I thought you were so tough that you wouldn't need a vax?
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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #292 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:29am
 
Not at all bobby.

As I have said from day 1

This is a highly infectious respiratory virus
Many many people are going to catch it
Most of us will be fine
But we can help by taking individual responsibility
And getting vaccinated

Once we all do that
We need two except that this virus will be with us forever
And some people will die from it

But as all farmers realise
Death is inevitable
Death is natural
You do what you can but you just accept it
And you don't spend your entire life worrying about it

And what you definitely don't do is allow cowardly adults
To transfer their own personal fears
On to the younger generation

The younger generation are now the victims of catastrophic thinking about climate
About war with China
About running out of food and fuel
And now we are showing them ads of young people suffocating in hospital

Disgraceful stuff

Could you imagine our grandparents in 1942
Running ads on television terrifying children about the imminent arrival of the Japanese army
Your job as an adult is to take that anxiety on board
Deal with it on a personal level

And never ever ever ever ever pass it on to vulnerable young people
That is the exact opposite of what is happening at the moment
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Bobby.
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #293 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:41am
 
aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:29am:
Not at all bobby.

As I have said from day 1

This is a highly infectious respiratory virus
Many many people are going to catch it
Most of us will be fine
But we can help by taking individual responsibility
And getting vaccinated

Once we all do that
We need two except that this virus will be with us forever
And some people will die from it

But as all farmers realise
Death is inevitable
Death is natural
You do what you can but you just accept it
And you don't spend your entire life worrying about it

And what you definitely don't do is allow cowardly adults
To transfer their own personal fears
On to the younger generation

The younger generation are now the victims of catastrophic thinking about climate
About war with China
About running out of food and fuel
And now we are showing them ads of young people suffocating in hospital

Disgraceful stuff

Could you imagine our grandparents in 1942
Running ads on television terrifying children about the imminent arrival of the Japanese army
Your job as an adult is to take that anxiety on board
Deal with it on a personal level

And never ever ever ever ever pass it on to vulnerable young people
That is the exact opposite of what is happening at the moment




Aqua,
your story has changed,
didn't you talk once about taking your vitamins and getting fresh air
and that was all you needed to fight the virus off?
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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #294 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 7:18am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:41am:
aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:29am:
Not at all bobby.

As I have said from day 1

This is a highly infectious respiratory virus
Many many people are going to catch it
Most of us will be fine
But we can help by taking individual responsibility
And getting vaccinated

Once we all do that
We need two except that this virus will be with us forever
And some people will die from it

But as all farmers realise
Death is inevitable
Death is natural
You do what you can but you just accept it
And you don't spend your entire life worrying about it

And what you definitely don't do is allow cowardly adults
To transfer their own personal fears
On to the younger generation

The younger generation are now the victims of catastrophic thinking about climate
About war with China
About running out of food and fuel
And now we are showing them ads of young people suffocating in hospital

Disgraceful stuff

Could you imagine our grandparents in 1942
Running ads on television terrifying children about the imminent arrival of the Japanese army
Your job as an adult is to take that anxiety on board
Deal with it on a personal level

And never ever ever ever ever pass it on to vulnerable young people
That is the exact opposite of what is happening at the moment




Aqua,
your story has changed,
didn't you talk once about taking your vitamins and getting fresh air
and that was all you needed to fight the virus off?



Bobby

You absolutely should have those things

I am fairly certain that had I caught the virus
I would have fought it off just fine
People were wetting themselves about the side effects of the vaccine
So I thought I would make a statement to people about not being bedwetters and get the damn thing
Add to that I do believe in science
Add to that there is absolutely no possiblilty this vaccine could possibly hurt anyone
I understand risk assessment
Two people dying from a vaccination amongst 4 million vaccines
Is not even worth reporting
In fact it should not have been reported

As a result of reporting that tiny tiny tiny tiny tiny number of clots
Literally millions of people will now not get vaccinated
And you will have thousands of deaths instead of a couple

The whole thing has been completely mismanaged

People should have just rolled along and got their vaccinations
And taken personal responsibility

Exactly what they did in Sweden

As DNA has quite rightly pointed out
We are going to face thousands of deaths next year and in subsequent years from this

The fine people of Sweden have learnt how to live with it and have minimal deaths
We have done nothing of the sort
In fact about 9 million people appear resentful and are not going to do the right thing no matter what
So now you are going to face many many more deaths as a result of the ineptitud off the message

Health is always a personal matter
It's on You to look after your health

It's not on Scott Morrison or Anastasia palashay
They're not your mummy and you're not a little baby with a temperature

People are adults and should assess the risk for themselves and act like god damn adults
And adults with a spine never ever frighten children
They shield and nurture children
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Bobby.
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #295 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 7:31am
 
aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 7:18am:
Bobby

You absolutely should have those things

I am fairly certain that had I caught the virus
I would have fought it off just fine
People were wetting themselves about the side effects of the vaccine
So I thought I would make a statement to people about not being bedwetters and get the damn thing
Add to that I do believe in science
Add to that there is absolutely no possiblilty this vaccine could possibly hurt anyone
I understand risk assessment
Two people dying from a vaccination amongst 4 million vaccines
Is not even worth reporting
In fact it should not have been reported

As a result of reporting that tiny tiny tiny tiny tiny number of clots
Literally millions of people will now not get vaccinated
And you will have thousands of deaths instead of a couple

The whole thing has been completely mismanaged

People should have just rolled along and got their vaccinations
And taken personal responsibility

Exactly what they did in Sweden

As DNA has quite rightly pointed out
We are going to face thousands of deaths next year and in subsequent years from this

The fine people of Sweden have learnt how to live with it and have minimal deaths
We have done nothing of the sort
In fact about 9 million people appear resentful and are not going to do the right thing no matter what
So now you are going to face many many more deaths as a result of the ineptitud off the message

Health is always a personal matter
It's on You to look after your health

It's not on Scott Morrison or Anastasia palashay
They're not your mummy and you're not a little baby with a temperature

People are adults and should assess the risk for themselves and act like god damn adults
And adults with a spine never ever frighten children
They shield and nurture children



If you are 60 years old there is a 1 chance in 50 of dying and a 30% chance
of getting very sick and even long Covid to think about -
where you are left with permanent medical trouble.

The vax should give you some protection.
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Bobby.
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #296 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 7:33am
 
Dnarever wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 10:33pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:42pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:36pm:
Setanta wrote on Jul 12th, 2021 at 8:35pm:
I would have to wonder if they are at a higher percentage than the general population. All things considered, the different things people are nutty about, I suspect not. We have a good selection of nuttiness, Rightwing nuttiness, PC nuttiness, conspiracy nuttiness, we have it all. Even you are a part of that nuttiness.



I'm the only sane one here  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy



You're not very bright.


Watch this:
The Truth Why Stupid People Think They're Smart

2,414,858 views
May 18, 2019




Do you have one for people who think (hope) they are somewhere around average?



That is discussed at the end of the video -
a quote from George Carlin.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #297 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 9:29am
 
Bobby. wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:41am:
aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 6:29am:
Not at all bobby.

As I have said from day 1

This is a highly infectious respiratory virus
Many many people are going to catch it
Most of us will be fine
But we can help by taking individual responsibility
And getting vaccinated

Once we all do that
We need two except that this virus will be with us forever
And some people will die from it

But as all farmers realise
Death is inevitable
Death is natural
You do what you can but you just accept it
And you don't spend your entire life worrying about it

And what you definitely don't do is allow cowardly adults
To transfer their own personal fears
On to the younger generation

The younger generation are now the victims of catastrophic thinking about climate
About war with China
About running out of food and fuel
And now we are showing them ads of young people suffocating in hospital

Disgraceful stuff

Could you imagine our grandparents in 1942
Running ads on television terrifying children about the imminent arrival of the Japanese army
Your job as an adult is to take that anxiety on board
Deal with it on a personal level

And never ever ever ever ever pass it on to vulnerable young people
That is the exact opposite of what is happening at the moment




Aqua,
your story has changed,
didn't you talk once about taking your vitamins and getting fresh air
and that was all you needed to fight the virus off?


Lol   Grin

That's aqua's M.O. - his story sometimes changes mid-sentence.

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Carl D
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #298 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 9:37am
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 9:29am:
Lol   Grin

That's aqua's M.O. - his story sometimes changes mid-sentence.



I'm also impressed by his definition of minimal.

aquascoot wrote on Jul 13th, 2021 at 7:18am:
The fine people of Sweden have learnt how to live with it and have minimal deaths


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/

Quote:
Deaths:
14,604



Wonder what his definition of minimal deaths will be for Australia?
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** Repeat Covid infections exercise our immune system in the same way that repeat concussions exercise our brain **
 
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aquascoot
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Re: NSW cases out of control.
Reply #299 - Jul 13th, 2021 at 10:09am
 
Sweden is a similar population to Australia
14000 deaths over a year and a half

The very sensible DNA has already posted the scientific evidence that we should expect a similar number of deaths
Bearing in mind the very high infective rate of the Delta variant
The lack of total coverage by the vaccine
And the fact that a large number of Australians will not be vaccinated

I put the figure at about 12000 by my calculations

So that is totally in line with what Sweden is experiencing

The only difference is we have made this an enormous monster in our minds
And we now have to deal with these deaths as if they are catastrophic events

Where is the swedes have just accepted that this is the cost of leaving your house


You need to face facts Carl

2021 will see a miniscule number of deaths in Australia from covid compared to future years
Covert is a tiny tiny problem this year in terms of deaths and that is all about to change

You can run but you can't hide Wink
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