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Russia will not invade Ukraine (Read 20247 times)
MeisterEckhart
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #45 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 6:45am
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 11:00pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:33pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:25pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:18pm:
Wait a moment.

You do realise that when we talk about Russians we are talking Russians vs White Russians (Ukrainians who were pro Tsar and Anti Communist Revolution)  yes?

What Putin plays up: 'We're all brother and sisters'.

Ukrainians don't think so.


Exactly.

Read this everyone. NB It's not an easy read 😩

Beginning in the 18th century, Ukrainian territories were divided between the Austrian and Russian Empires. In the aftermath of World War I and the overthrow of the Russian monarchy in February 1917, Ukraine set up a provisional government, declaring itself the independent Ukrainian People's Republic in January 1918. The Ukrainian People's Republic fought the Bolshevik Red Army for three years (1918-1921) but lost its fight for independence.

The bulk of Ukrainian territory was forcibly incorporated into the Soviet Union, or USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics), and by 1922 Ukraine became the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic (UkrSSR). Then the USSR  sanctioned the requisition of all surplus agricultural products from the rural population, resulting in economic collapse.

In 1932 and 1933, millions of Ukrainians were killed in the Holodomor, a man-made famine engineered by the Soviet government of Joseph Stalin. The primary victims of the Holodomor (literally "death inflicted by starvation") were rural farmers and villagers, who made up roughly 80 percent of Ukraine's population in the 1930s. While it is impossible to determine the precise number of victims of the Ukrainian genocide, most estimates by scholars range from roughly 3.5 million to 7 million (with some estimates going higher). The most detailed demographic studies estimate the death toll at 3.9 million. Historians agree that, as with other genocides, the precise number will never be known.

So why do Ukrainians want independence and membership in NATO, you think?


1. Ukraine wants to be left alone. And truly be independent. They've gone through Hell and back and if you study their history they were once a fully independent nation before the Russians came through and totally devastated their land and their people. 

2. Ukraine needs protection from Russia.

3. NATO is going to offer them
that protection. (It's really the US of course).

Exactly.

However, there's no such thing as true independence (at least not in the absolute sense).

The only societies that are close to absolute independence are those yet to be discovered.

Every nation/society has a degree of strategic value - even small pacific island nations - they at least have a vote each in the UN, as Japan exploited over whaling, for example.

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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #46 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 7:44am
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 6:45am:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 11:00pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:37pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:33pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:25pm:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 14th, 2022 at 10:18pm:
Wait a moment.

You do realise that when we talk about Russians we are talking Russians vs White Russians (Ukrainians who were pro Tsar and Anti Communist Revolution)  yes?

What Putin plays up: 'We're all brother and sisters'.

Ukrainians don't think so.


Exactly.

Read this everyone. NB It's not an easy read 😩

Beginning in the 18th century, Ukrainian territories were divided between the Austrian and Russian Empires. In the aftermath of World War I and the overthrow of the Russian monarchy in February 1917, Ukraine set up a provisional government, declaring itself the independent Ukrainian People's Republic in January 1918. The Ukrainian People's Republic fought the Bolshevik Red Army for three years (1918-1921) but lost its fight for independence.

The bulk of Ukrainian territory was forcibly incorporated into the Soviet Union, or USSR (Union of Soviet Socialist Republics), and by 1922 Ukraine became the Ukrainian Soviet Socialist Republic (UkrSSR). Then the USSR  sanctioned the requisition of all surplus agricultural products from the rural population, resulting in economic collapse.

In 1932 and 1933, millions of Ukrainians were killed in the Holodomor, a man-made famine engineered by the Soviet government of Joseph Stalin. The primary victims of the Holodomor (literally "death inflicted by starvation") were rural farmers and villagers, who made up roughly 80 percent of Ukraine's population in the 1930s. While it is impossible to determine the precise number of victims of the Ukrainian genocide, most estimates by scholars range from roughly 3.5 million to 7 million (with some estimates going higher). The most detailed demographic studies estimate the death toll at 3.9 million. Historians agree that, as with other genocides, the precise number will never be known.

So why do Ukrainians want independence and membership in NATO, you think?


1. Ukraine wants to be left alone. And truly be independent. They've gone through Hell and back and if you study their history they were once a fully independent nation before the Russians came through and totally devastated their land and their people. 

2. Ukraine needs protection from Russia.

3. NATO is going to offer them
that protection. (It's really the US of course).

Exactly.

However, there's no such thing as true independence (at least not in the absolute sense).

The only societies that are close to absolute independence are those yet to be discovered.

Every nation/society has a degree of strategic value - even small pacific island nations - they at least have a vote each in the UN, as Japan exploited over whaling, for example.



I totally get your point.

So in essence there is a passive war of sorts going on all the time btwn countries.

Countries are continually looking for allies so as to garner support and get their viewpoints/issues tabled and addressed through entities such as NATO.

This tug of war for the microphone (so to speak : pun fully intended lol) can get violent. Why? Some countries are not able to get close to the microphone eg Russia.

Meantime Ukraine as a provisional NATO member IS being heard (and is therefore more supported than Russia who isn't).

Some of the recent comments from NATO's top dog are tantamount to a headmaster reprimanding a bully. I'll find the comments and post them up for everyone to read.

BTW .... could we meet up in here this evening? I'm only asking because it's one of the few topics left on OzPol where we can chat and get somewhere (irrespective of our political leanings).

Much respect to the person who started such a great topic 👍
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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #47 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 8:09am
 
Timeline Of Recent Events


Note : This was happening while we were busy being blindsided by Delta and Omicron and China and mandated vaccine passports etc

June 2021

At the Brussels Summit, NATO leaders reiterated the decision taken at the 2008 Bucharest Summit that Ukraine would become a member of the Alliance with the Membership Action Plan (MAP) as an integral part of the process and Ukraine's right to determine its own future and foreign policy, of course without outside interference.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg also stressed that Russia will not be able to veto Ukraine's accession to NATO, as we will not return to the era of spheres of interest, when large countries decide what smaller ones should do.

November 2021

Russian President Putin stated that an expansion of NATO's presence in Ukraine, especially the deployment of any long-range missiles capable of striking Russian cities or missile defense systems similar to those in Romania and Poland, would be a "red line" issue for Russia. Putin asked U.S. President Joe Biden for legal guarantees that NATO wouldn’t expand eastward or put "weapons systems that threaten us in close vicinity to Russian territory."According to Putin, "If some kind of strike systems appear on the territory of Ukraine, the flight time to Moscow will be seven to 10 minutes, and five minutes in the case of a hypersonic weapon being deployed."

NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg replied that "It's only Ukraine and 30 NATO allies that decide when Ukraine is ready to join NATO. Russia has no veto, Russia has no say, and Russia has no right to establish a sphere of influence to try to control their neighbours.

December 2021

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he wanted to receive guarantees from the West that Ukraine would not join NATO. On 16 December, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated that the Alliance would not make concessions to Russia on the issue of Ukraine's accession. According to him, Ukraine has the right to protection and together with NATO will determine the issue of membership in the Alliance.

January 2022

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that NATO will not compromise with Russia on Ukraine's membership and that Ukraine's membership in NATO will be decided by Ukraine and its allies. He assured that the Alliance helps Ukraine to meet the criteria necessary for membership in the organization.

The Alliance continues to provide Ukraine with political support for its territorial integrity and sovereignty, as well as practical assistance. It is also a clear signal that Ukraine has the right to defend itself.


* Could you guys please read the above timeline of recent events and tell me what you think?
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MeisterEckhart
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #48 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:07am
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 8:09am:
Timeline Of Recent Events



Yes. Russia, under Putin, is expansionist.

While Putin has derided communism, he has described the dissolution of the Soviet Union as the 'great catastrophe'. His stated political ambition is to reconstitute the boundaries of the old Soviet Union, not as a forced union, but as 'independent' states in line under the Russian sphere of influence.

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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #49 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:39am
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:07am:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 8:09am:
Timeline Of Recent Events



Yes. Russia, under Putin, is expansionist.

While Putin has derided communism, he has described the dissolution of the Soviet Union as the 'great catastrophe'. His stated political ambition is to reconstitute the boundaries of the old Soviet Union, not as a forced union, but as 'independent' states in line under the Russian sphere of influence.



Yes. Hence why I support NATO's stance in essentially calling Putin a BS liar and bully.

Let's take a cursory glance at history. Where? Anywhere in the world. When? Any time you like.

What will you find? 

ANY country which embarks on its own separate expansionist path WILL come undone. Eventually.

You'd think Russia would already know this? Yes? Just grab 2 examples from history's page directly affecting Russia itself. Napoleon and Hitler failed miserably trying to get to Moscow when they saw fit to expand their regimes.

Of course Russia knows. So for me the question is why are they STILL pushing FOR Ukraine in particular?

Russia needs something. What has Ukraine got?

Let's take another look at history for a clue : Russia has dreadfully used/abused the Ukraine for over a century because it has an abundance in natural and mineral resources. And Russia needs those.

What NATO is saying to Putin is essentially this : hands off Ukraine as it's independent and we support its right to autonomy. We are NATO and we are the good guys.

What NATO is NOT saying is this : Ukraine has natural and mineral resources which we need. So let's jump on board Ukraine's mission to remain independent and we'll even invite it into our organisation. There's no doubt in my mind that there will be a lot of strings attached to that support package. And all those strings will favour NATO of course...and by that I mean US and UK etc.

Essentially we're looking at a tug of war for resources worth trillions of dollars and THAT covert tug of war is the real agenda being dressed up as Ukraine's right to freedom and autonomy.

Global politics is all about what's not being said. You have to constantly read btwn the lines.

You know what just occurred to me?

If the issue of depleting natural mineral resources is really that serious then this current tug of war could well blow us all into a shocking new type of warfare.









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MeisterEckhart
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #50 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:57am
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:39am:
What NATO is NOT saying is this : Ukraine has natural and mineral resources which we need. So let's jump on board Ukraine's mission to remain independent and we'll even invite it into our organisation. There's no doubt in my mind that there will be a lot of strings attached to that support package. And all those strings will favour NATO of course...and by that I mean US and UK etc.


All true, but the greatest prize will be NATO's control of the Baltic.

Russian aggression against Ukraine is driving Finland and Sweden towards NATO and that is very likely what Putin is using the threat of invasion for: to deter these nations from joining the alliance.

If that's the case, it's an extremely dangerous gambit; but maybe it's already too late to calm Scandinavian fear of renewed Russian aggression.
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #51 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am
 
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.
The Anglo-Brotherhood would like to fight against the Russians to the last drop of Ukrainian blood.

  Grin
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #52 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am
 
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?

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athos
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #53 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:50am
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?


This is not what I know, but what the Ukrainian and Russian media are objectively saying, unlike the Anglo brotherhood fake news media.
So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for NATO troops build-up along the Russian border?.

Smiley
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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #54 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:21pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:57am:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:39am:
What NATO is NOT saying is this : Ukraine has natural and mineral resources which we need. So let's jump on board Ukraine's mission to remain independent and we'll even invite it into our organisation. There's no doubt in my mind that there will be a lot of strings attached to that support package. And all those strings will favour NATO of course...and by that I mean US and UK etc.


All true, but the greatest prize will be NATO's control of the Baltic.

Russian aggression against Ukraine is driving Finland and Sweden towards NATO and that is very likely what Putin is using the threat of invasion for: to deter these nations from joining the alliance.

If that's the case, it's an extremely dangerous gambit; but maybe it's already too late to calm Scandinavian fear of renewed Russian aggression.


Yes!

Anyone else starting to remember the games that went on over 100 years ago re controlling the Baltic? Well ... those games are back on.

At the very core of this tug of war is control of Baltic access points.

And this :

"Ukraine has extremely rich and complementary mineral resources in high concentrations and close proximity to each other. The country has abundant reserves of coal, iron ore, natural gas, manganese, salt, oil, graphite, sulfur, kaolin, titanium, nickel, magnesium, timber, and mercury."

When will humanity learn from its mistakes?

Is it capable of doing so?

🥺


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If I let myself be bought then I am no longer free.

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MeisterEckhart
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #55 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:31pm
 
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:50am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?


This is not what I know, but what the Ukrainian and Russian media are objectively saying, unlike the Anglo brotherhood fake news media.
So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for NATO troops build-up along the Russian border?.

Smiley

What do you mean by 'objectively' saying?

As I don't presume to know what Russians or Ukrainians think and, more to the point, what Putin is planning, there's a number of options:

Putin is:

- Posturing to warn Sweden, Finland and Ukraine
- Planning to commit minor incursions into Ukraine and ultimately withdraw
- Planning a partial invasion and possible annexation of eastern Ukraine
- Planning a full invasion of Ukraine

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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #56 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 1:11pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:31pm:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:50am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?


This is not what I know, but what the Ukrainian and Russian media are objectively saying, unlike the Anglo brotherhood fake news media.
So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for NATO troops build-up along the Russian border?.

Smiley

What do you mean by 'objectively' saying?

As I don't presume to know what Russians or Ukrainians think and, more to the point, what Putin is planning, there's a number of options:

Putin is:

- Posturing to warn Sweden, Finland and Ukraine
- Planning to commit minor incursions into Ukraine and ultimately withdraw
- Planning a partial invasion and possible annexation of eastern Ukraine
- Planning a full invasion of Ukraine


...

It means Moron those people live there.

Blah, blah, Blah as you say the BBC and CNN bot. I did not know that you live in Ukraine and Russia and that you know best what is happening there.

"The Anglo-Brotherhood would like to fight against the Russians to the last drop of Ukrainian and Russian blood".

Cheesy
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« Last Edit: Feb 15th, 2022 at 1:20pm by athos »  

Do we need to be always politically correct.
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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #57 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 2:41pm
 
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:31pm:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:50am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?


This is not what I know, but what the Ukrainian and Russian media are objectively saying, unlike the Anglo brotherhood fake news media.
So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for NATO troops build-up along the Russian border?.

Smiley

What do you mean by 'objectively' saying?

As I don't presume to know what Russians or Ukrainians think and, more to the point, what Putin is planning, there's a number of options:

Putin is:

- Posturing to warn Sweden, Finland and Ukraine
- Planning to commit minor incursions into Ukraine and ultimately withdraw
- Planning a partial invasion and possible annexation of eastern Ukraine
- Planning a full invasion of Ukraine



You might need to ignore Athos. He's a regular troll /POS who loves interrupting topics with his incompetent driven clueless mumblings.
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If I let myself be bought then I am no longer free.

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athos
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #58 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 6:27pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 2:41pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:31pm:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:50am:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 11:32am:
athos wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 10:58am:
Everyone thinks Russia will invade Ukraine except Russians and Ukrainians.

So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for the Russian troop build-up along Ukraine's border?


This is not what I know, but what the Ukrainian and Russian media are objectively saying, unlike the Anglo brotherhood fake news media.
So, given you seem to know what Russians and Ukrainians think, what is the reason for NATO troops build-up along the Russian border?.

Smiley

What do you mean by 'objectively' saying?

As I don't presume to know what Russians or Ukrainians think and, more to the point, what Putin is planning, there's a number of options:

Putin is:

- Posturing to warn Sweden, Finland and Ukraine
- Planning to commit minor incursions into Ukraine and ultimately withdraw
- Planning a partial invasion and possible annexation of eastern Ukraine
- Planning a full invasion of Ukraine



You might need to ignore Athos. He's a regular troll /POS who loves interrupting topics with his incompetent driven clueless mumblings.


Your ignorance and arrogance wont help you to find out the truth.
Maybe this will help you.

Cheesy
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Do we need to be always politically correct.
In the world of universal deceit telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
 
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Lisa Jones
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Re: Russia will not invade Ukraine
Reply #59 - Feb 15th, 2022 at 7:25pm
 
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 12:21pm:
MeisterEckhart wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:57am:
Lisa Jones wrote on Feb 15th, 2022 at 9:39am:
What NATO is NOT saying is this : Ukraine has natural and mineral resources which we need. So let's jump on board Ukraine's mission to remain independent and we'll even invite it into our organisation. There's no doubt in my mind that there will be a lot of strings attached to that support package. And all those strings will favour NATO of course...and by that I mean US and UK etc.


All true, but the greatest prize will be NATO's control of the Baltic.

Russian aggression against Ukraine is driving Finland and Sweden towards NATO and that is very likely what Putin is using the threat of invasion for: to deter these nations from joining the alliance.

If that's the case, it's an extremely dangerous gambit; but maybe it's already too late to calm Scandinavian fear of renewed Russian aggression.


Yes!

Anyone else starting to remember the games that went on over 100 years ago re controlling the Baltic? Well ... those games are back on.

At the very core of this tug of war is control of Baltic access points.

And this :

"Ukraine has extremely rich and complementary mineral resources in high concentrations and close proximity to each other. The country has abundant reserves of coal, iron ore, natural gas, manganese, salt, oil, graphite, sulfur, kaolin, titanium, nickel, magnesium, timber, and mercury."

When will humanity learn from its mistakes?

Is it capable of doing so?

🥺




The article below confirms our suspicions in this topic. This IS really a geopolitical tug of war over resources.

No one really WANTS war. What will happen unfortunately is that countries will find themselves slipping into war.

The main problem with that is that weaponry has changed. Big time.

Example : Hypersonic missiles - once these are launched by 1 side, the target country may not have time to activate its own (assuming it also has these missiles of course).

The acronym MAD also comes to mind. 😩


https://hir.harvard.edu/ukraine-energy-reserves/
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If I let myself be bought then I am no longer free.

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