Frank wrote on Jul 16
th, 2023 at 11:15am:
The ideological bankruptcy of modern monetary theory
If you can’t explain something, try an abbreviation.
Not much of a start - 'playing the name', not the content.
Quote:The latest in economics is MMT — Modern Monetary Theory or, in other words, a magic money tree.
Nothing magic about the
currency-issuing power which resides in the public sector, to create 'debt-free'
government money via the nation's treasury and reserve bank; or the money creation power which resides in the private banking sector, to create 'debt money' (interest-bearing money) for use by private sector players including you and me.
The thing to know is
money is created out of nothing, in either (or both) sectors.
Quote: It’s a simple idea.
Indeed it is; it only requires knowing how money is created out of nothing as described above.
Quote:That money could be given to the public — either directly or indirectly via the government — to enable people to spend more, so raising output and employment. We are all better off.
Two problems.
1. 'Government money' cannot, and should not EVER be "given to the public"- inflation will be the obvious result.
Free government money is only EVER created to fund specified public social policy,
depending on whether the necessary resources are available for purchase by the government - again, to avoid inflation.
2. So 'free government money' WON'T enable people to spend more, it WILL enable the
government to spend more, provided the resources (including labour) are available for purchase by the governement. Spot the difference?
3. Certainly we are all better off if the government is released from artificial debt and deficit constraints.
Quote:....and the Weimar Republic to present-day Zimbabwe and Venezuela,....
All cases of government trying to buy resources which aren't available, or because government revenue has fallen as a result of a collapse in export revenues - oil, in Venezuela's case, which meant Chavez could no-longer finance his socilaist policies, beause the nation's imports and exports were priced in US dollars.
(That's why China and Russia, and India and UAE have by-passesd the dollar in some trades:
"India has signed an agreement with the United Arab Emirates that will allow it to settle trade in rupees instead of dollars, boosting India's efforts to cut transaction costs by eliminating dollar conversions." and avoid the risk of US dollar exchange rate changes.
In short, if there is a collapse in the nation's domestic supply (Weimar, Zimbabwe), or money received from exports (Venezuelan oil), free government money alone will not be able to fix the problem.
Quote:The problem with the simple idea of MMT is that it belies the context to which it is applied. To be brutally honest, MMT is neither modern, nor monetary, nor a theory.
To be honest, the author of the article knows nothing about MMT.
Quote: how should governments finance their deficits and what are the limits to those deficits?
Outlined above, not by taxing or borrowing from the private sector, which itself often mis-allocates resources in the search for private profits, in the 'invisible hand' free market.
Quote:If deficits can always be financed by the printing of money by a compliant central bank, then we are in a world of ‘fiscal dominance’, to use the modern jargon.
As should be the case: government via the electorate's choices, not by the 'independent' central bank with its one (monetary) tool ie, setting interest rates to control inflation. Free government money as explained above makes the term "deficit" meaningless; the only "deficit" a currency-issuing government faces is a
resources deficit. Quote:Inflation is then determined by government spending decisions.
Correct, but
also private sector spending decisions, inflation potentially arises from BOTH public and private spending.
Quote:It was precisely to convince financial markets of the opposite that led to the independence of the Bank of England.
Private sector speculators usurping the role of government. Insanity. In fact the BofJ has relieved many bond speculators of their money, given its unlimited capacity to defend the yen (so long as the economy remains productive). ...
Quote:the appropriate size of the government budget deficit and how much money to print depend entirely upon the context of the decision.
Context is important, but there is no fix for GIGO.
Quote: MMT advocates are correct in saying that the national budget of a country that can print its own currency is different in nature from the budget of a household (as Keynes pointed out in 1936 and others before him). But it does not follow that there is a magic money tree.
Correct again, but the rest is GIGO again, already addressed above.
Quote: If the government spends more and finances that by borrowing, the additional debt is a liability of the public sector. MMT violates the only iron law of economics — double entry bookkeeping: for every asset there is a corresponding liability
You will learn that the public sector's deficit is the private sector's surplus.
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/money-from-nothing?utm_source=post-email-ti...