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Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) (Read 85438 times)
thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #600 - Aug 12th, 2023 at 11:09am
 
Tweet from Stephanie Kelton:

"Just saw reference to Clinton’s fiscal surpluses & low unemployment rate compared against today’s large fiscal deficit & low unemployment rate. It’s important to remember that back then, *private sector* deficits were driving growth and employment.

....in line with the MMT insight that public sector deficits are private sector surpluses.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #601 - Aug 12th, 2023 at 11:32am
 
A warning to Oz Labor, from NZ Labour:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/youthquake-rumbles-to-a-stop-support-fo...

Failure to deliver

The (NZ) youth vote’s swing away from the centre left could partly be an incumbency effect, says the Green party’s Chlöe Swarbrick – parliament’s youngest sitting MP at 29. It may also reflect disillusionment with the initial promise and perceived lack of follow-through on radical change during the Ardern years, she says. “Reflecting on the last five, six years, a lot of people were initially really excited by the rhetoric of transformation, but it feels like what has largely been delivered is tinkering,” Swarbrick says. While the Labour government made strong commitments to take action on climate change, housing and child poverty, progress on those central issues – particularly housing and emissions reduction – has been achingly slow.


Hmmm...and Albo wants to pay himself an extra 5K a year (via stage 3 tax cuts) while young people are facing unaffordable housing in Oz.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #602 - Aug 13th, 2023 at 2:49pm
 
Comparing Oz with Argentina; and a graphic depiction of what happens when:

1. A popularly elected  'socialist' leader doesn't understand the implications of fiat money.

2. the  nation borrows in a foreign currency

2. the nation doesn't take account of its own productivity and available resources.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/argentina-and-australia-once-had-eerily-...

Argentina and Australia once had eerily similar economies. How did one end up with 100 per cent inflation?
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #603 - Aug 14th, 2023 at 11:34am
 
https://profstevekeen.substack.com/p/brics-wouldnt-be-silly-enough-to?utm_source...

BRICs wouldn’t be silly enough to develop a gold-backed currency, would they?
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #604 - Aug 15th, 2023 at 9:04am
 
The confusion of the mainstream, apart from not addressing the economy churning out billionaires while these same economists are urging governments to cut spending.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/analysis-us-loss-of-aaa-badge-a-reminder...

Analysis-US loss of AAA badge a reminder of 'regime shift' for government debt

It expects policy steps that will make ageing-related costs more manageable. Not taking them would see creditworthiness deteriorate and half the governments it rates would have metrics associated with junk credit ratings while even top-rated governments would lose the highest ratings, S&P said.

For the European Union and the euro area, where public pensions and healthcare play a major role, the European Commission and European Central Bank have also flagged costs related to ageing as a key risk to debt sustainability.

Japan is one major economy where financing costs remain low even as its debt exceeds 260% of GDP and it has one of the world's oldest populations. But that reflects high domestic ownership of government debt and ultra loose monetary policy - a hard act to follow with higher inflation.

On the environmental front, a study last week showed a failure to curb carbon emissions will raise debt-servicing costs for 59 nations within the next decade.

"These long-term risks may not possess a well-established historical precedent, making reliance solely on historical data for risk assessment a challenge," said Gael Fichan, head of fixed income at Swiss private bank Syz Group.

Greater focus on longer-term risks should bring scrutiny of government policies.

Policy "is going to matter more especially in terms of the fiscal side of things about how the governments are reacting to the various promises to the electorate and what they're trying to achieve," said Kshitij Sinha, a fund manager at Canada Life Asset Management.

It will be crucial whether governments can bring down relative debt levels by boosting economic growth, and here climate change is both a challenge and opportunity.

"The green transition will require quite some investments... that will also increase the overall debt levels further, but down the road… you will profit from it," said Martin Lenz, senior portfolio manager at Union Investment, which manages 424 billion euros.

Still, with higher debt an economic reality, few governments are left with the coveted AAA rating.

"Can there be a world without AAA sovereigns? Yeah, I think there can be, We've seen this happening in the corporate space, for example," LBBW's Kraemer said, adding that out of dozens of AAA-rated U.S. companies in 1980s now there were only two left.


Only two left, while billionaires are hoovering up an ever greater share of private wealth.

It's time for the public sector to fund itself, when the necessary resources are available for purchase.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #605 - Aug 16th, 2023 at 11:12am
 
From James Galbraith, (son of the famous John Galbraith), on the madness of government 'austerity'.

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/us-soft-landing-not-the-feds-doing-...

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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #606 - Aug 20th, 2023 at 2:57pm
 
https://mem.ai/p/COUPAuA78WJ1ttiO0bvB

Exploring the Interactions of the Fed, Treasury, and Private Financial Institutions: A Look at Interest Rates and Fiscal Sustainability

Neoclassicists take note; the socalled 'debt ceiling' problem in the US is nonsense.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #607 - Aug 23rd, 2023 at 8:28am
 
'Nothing to see here' according to the Right:

https://thenextrecession.wordpress.com/2023/08/22/1-2-of-adults-have-47-8-of-the...

1.2% of adults have 47.8% of the world’s wealth while 53.2% have just 1.1%

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Frank
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #608 - Aug 24th, 2023 at 4:18pm
 
MMT - old hat.  As is neoliberalism.


The current truth is NEOFEUDALISM, don't you know. Oh yes.

https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/philosopherszone/neofeudalism-techno-lord...


Getitindiya.


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Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #609 - Aug 26th, 2023 at 2:24pm
 
Frank links to this gem from the ABC's 'The Philosopher's Zone', and claims MMT has nothing to offer in the current global debt malaise.  You can trust Frank to get it wrong on anything to do with economics.

...........

Guest: Francis Russell, Lecturer in Humanities, Curtin University, Perth WA

https://www.abc.net.au/listen/programs/philosopherszone/neofeudalism-techno-lord...

"For many on the political left, the end of capitalism is a cherished ideal - but what if capitalism ended and we found ourselves with something worse? This week we're exploring the possibility that Western liberal democracies could be sliding in the direction of "neofeudalism" and devolving into a much nastier set of economic and social structures than the ones we presently have."
.......

Well, at least Russell is aware something is wrong with the current neoliberal orthodoxy...but he should stick to pontificating in the faculty he is trained in.

He is no doubt driven by the mainstream delusion currency-issuing governments can run out of money and have to balance their budgets - like he has to balance his own household budget, ie, he is just another prize dummy talking about ecocomics, not wanting to upset the apple cart despite the fact homelessness, and indebtedness are increasing, and home ownership rates are falling - a disastrous long-term trend which will indeed result in "neo-feudalism".

If Russell wants to make himself useful, he could explore ideas for controlling inflation, OTHER than by Central Banks' raising interest rates.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #610 - Aug 26th, 2023 at 2:31pm
 
https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61089

With central banks chasing shadows, many nations are now plunging towards or into recession
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #611 - Aug 27th, 2023 at 11:17am
 
Miserable mainstream economists with their faux debt concerns.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/no-real-fix-to-the-sharp-rise-in-public-...

No real fix to the sharp rise in public debt loads, economists say

"High public debts are here to stay," they wrote. "Like it or not, then, governments are going to have to live with high inherited debts."

Doing so will require limits on spending, consideration of tax hikes, and improved regulation of banks to avoid costly blow-ups, they wrote."

..........

"Economists"?

No - charlatans.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #612 - Aug 28th, 2023 at 1:21pm
 
The solution to the OZ housing crisis:

The federal government subcontracts most of the building industry, until sufficient public housing is rebuilt, to be let by the governement at affordable rents. 

All at no expense to the public.

Even Senator McKim is refusing to spell it out....he thinks the government will have to increase taxes, to pay for it.
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Frank
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #613 - Aug 28th, 2023 at 7:17pm
 
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Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #614 - Aug 29th, 2023 at 12:19pm
 
An informative look at the history of the IGR:

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61097

Another mythical intergenerational report from the Australian Treasury
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