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Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) (Read 96760 times)
Bobby.
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #720 - Jan 23rd, 2024 at 10:14pm
 
https://www.justonefocus.org/australian-reserve-bank-declares-its-bust-hoorah-go...

23 September 2022

Australian Reserve Bank Declares It’s BUST! Hoorah! Goodbye Satan.

The RBA began its bond-purchase program in November 2020 as a second stimulus package in response to the pandemic. The first round of measures saw it slash rates to record lows, and set up a term funding facility offering cheap three-year funding to banks. For the bond buying, the central bank bought Australian government bonds and semi-government securities in the secondary market to lower interest rates on bonds maturing between five and 10 years out.

The program was extended, and extended, and extended yet again.
Ultimately, the RBA bought A$281 billion (US$188 billion) in national, state and territory government bonds.

Now the bill has come due.
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #721 - Jan 24th, 2024 at 8:23am
 
https://open.spotify.com/show/50c7tIYpu9mfusoOr2qSrc?utm_campaign=PB-sendgrid-em...


The Levy Institute: "Move beyond conventional approaches. The tertiary economics departments maintain strict separation from other disciplines, resulting in a non-scientific study of economic reality."
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #722 - Jan 28th, 2024 at 5:23pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jan 23rd, 2024 at 10:14pm:
https://www.justonefocus.org/australian-reserve-bank-declares-its-bust-hoorah-go...

23 September 2022

Australian Reserve Bank Declares It’s BUST! Hoorah! Goodbye Satan.

The RBA began its bond-purchase program in November 2020 as a second stimulus package in response to the pandemic.


That was the RBA's 2nd mistake. The economy didn't need "stimulation" in the middle of a pandemic in which many workers  were forcibly stood down.

[The first mistake was to borrow the funds required to support locked-down workers; Treasury could have created the funds ex nihilo necessary to enable the RBA to pay the essential bills of locked-down wokers, thus avoiding govt debt and a build up in purchasing power in the ecocomy which was partly responsible for the ensuing inflation later on (along with supply chain problems due to workers' covid sickness, and war).

Obviously  inflation isn't a problem in a deliberately locked down economy; the supply of essentials and ability to pay for them is.   

Quote:
The first round of measures saw it slash rates to record lows, and set up a term funding facility offering cheap three-year funding to banks. For the bond buying, the central bank bought Australian government bonds and semi-government securities in the secondary market to lower interest rates on bonds maturing between five and 10 years out.

The program was extended, and extended, and extended yet again.
Ultimately, the RBA bought A$281 billion (US$188 billion) in national, state and territory government bonds.

Now the bill has come due.


Yep, a total cockup, courtesy RBA following neoclassical orthodoxy. 

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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #723 - Jan 29th, 2024 at 1:35pm
 
Dispelling the 'taxpayer money funds government' myth, in one university at a time:

[note: the 'uni' is a monetary unit of account, in the following article]. 

https://www.aaup.org/article/stop-trying-find-money%E2%80%94create-it

Throughout the semester, the uni-issuing instructor outlines the currency assignment’s learning experience as well as the broader public purposes it is designed to serve. The power of taxation, students quickly learn, is not wielded as a funding mechanism. It is the source of demand for a monetary instrument, which activates meaningful social labor. No one in the class could pay the uni tax if the instructor did not spend it into existence in the first place. With this, students not only come to appreciate money’s basic structures and potential but also see through the men­dacity of taxpayer-funding narratives and the polarizing politics they regularly naturalize.
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« Last Edit: Jan 29th, 2024 at 1:41pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #724 - Jan 30th, 2024 at 3:07pm
 
The 'taxpayer money funds government' myth is devastating Argentina:

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/argentina-markets-edge-lower-after-mil...

The South American country's libertarian President Javier Milei agreed on Friday to yank changes to taxation and pensions from the mammoth bill that is working its way through Congress, where the government's minority bloc faces stern opposition.

That should make passing the bill easier, but it also removes key reforms aimed at cutting spending and boosting state revenues to help meet a zero-deficit target this year as the government looks to trim high debts and bring down inflation that is running above 200%.


Milei doesn't have the IQ or balls to drop the 'zero deficit target' mythology demanded by greedy private financiers.

And hyperinflation  can be eliminated by price controls, since there is no shortage of the essentials - food production and supply, or house-building resources in Argentina.

Notice it's always orthodox neoclassical economists who urge central banks to raise interest rates, regardless of the egregious effects on the population. 

Milei is headed for a fun time, as long as the taxpayer money myth remains the dominant narrative. 



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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #725 - Jan 31st, 2024 at 8:21am
 
"Anything we can actually do, we can afford"

Keynes' famous remark, in its original context (from a BBC broadcast, in 1942): 

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61537

Keynes: "For some weeks at this hour you have enjoyed the day-dreams of planning. But what about the nightmare of finance? I am sure there have been many listeners who have been muttering: “That’s all very well, but how is it to be paid for?”

Let me begin by telling you how I tried to answer an eminent architect who pushed aside all the grandiose plans to rebuild London with the phrase: “Where’s the money to come from?” “The money?” I said. “But surely, Sir John, you don’t build houses with money? Do you mean that there won’t be enough bricks and mortar and steel and cement?”

“Oh no”, he replied, “of course there will be plenty of all that”.

“Do you mean”, I went on, “that there won’t be enough labour? For what will the builders be doing if they are not building houses?”

“Oh no, that’s all right”, he agreed.

“Then there is only one conclusion. You must be meaning, Sir John, that there won’t be enough architects”. But there I was trespassing on the boundaries of politeness. So I hurried to add: “Well, if there are bricks and mortar and steel and concrete and labour and architects, why not assemble all this good material into houses?”

But he was, I fear, quite unconvinced. “What I want to know”, he repeated, “is where the money is coming from”.

To answer that would have got him and me into deeper water than I cared for, so I replied rather shabbily: “The same place it is coming from now”. He might have countered (but he didn’t): “Of course I know that money is not the slightest use whatever. But, all the same, my dear sir, you will find it a devil of a business not to have any …”

Had I given him a good and convincing answer by saying that we build houses with bricks and mortar, not with money? Or was I only teasing him?



For one thing, he was making the very usual confusion between the problem of finance for an individual and the problem for the community as a whole …

The first task is to make sure that there is enough demand to provide employment for everyone. The second task is to prevent a demand in excess of the physical possibilities of supply, which is the proper meaning of inflation. For the physical possibilities of supply are very far from unlimited. Our building programme must be properly proportioned to the resources which are left after we have met our daily needs and have produced enough exports to pay for what we require to import from overseas …

Where we are using up resources, do not let us submit to the vile doctrine of the nineteenth century that every enterprise must justify itself in pounds, shillings and pence of cash income, with no other denominator of values but this. I should like to see that war memorials of this tragic struggle take the shape of an enrichment of the civic life of every great centre of population …

Assuredly we can afford this and much more. Anything we can actually do we can afford. Once done, it is there. Nothing can take it from us."
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« Last Edit: Jan 31st, 2024 at 10:49am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #726 - Jan 31st, 2024 at 4:48pm
 
But note (following the previous post):  Keynes still believed in balanced govt. budgets,  in 1942. 

It was in 1943 he became aware of Abba Lerner's 'functional finance' principles (the fore-runner of MMT):

https://www.hetwebsite.net/het/profiles/lerner.htm#:~:text=Lerner%27s%20proposit...

"Perhaps of greater lasting impact was Lerner's  development of the principles of "functional finance" (1941, 1943, 1944, 1948, 1951, 1961, 1973), which argued that government policy should be designed to obtain full employment output and price stability regardless of whether it increased or decreased public debt. He was an effective debunker of the the idea of the "burden of the debt" and "crowding out" arguments commonly used against deficit spending.

Lerner's propositions initially shocked even John Maynard Keynes himself - although he eventually embraced them fully.  As Keynes wrote,[b]"[Lerner's] argument is impeccable, but heaven help anyone who tries [to] put it across to the plain man*** at this stage of the evolution of our ideas." (Keynes to Meade, April 1943).


But Keynes only lived for another 3 years, and was occupied with designs re post-WW2 global economic policy (he was a key player at the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944), so did not have time to elucidate and promote Lerner's insights.

*** eg Bobby and Frank, and others who have attempted to debunk MMT here ...you are pitting yourselves against John Maynard Keynes...

More on Keynes himself (from the wiki article):

By the 1950s, Keynesian policies were adopted by almost the entire developed world and similar measures for a mixed economy were used by many developing nations. By then, Keynes's views on the economy had become mainstream in the world's universities. Throughout the 1950s and 1960s, the developed and emerging free capitalist economies enjoyed exceptionally high growth and low unemployment.[71][72] Professor Gordon Fletcher has written that the 1950s and 1960s, when Keynes's influence was at its peak, appear in retrospect as a golden age of capitalism.[54]

In late 1965 Time magazine ran a cover article with a title comment from Milton Friedman (later echoed by US President Richard Nixon), "We are all Keynesians now". The article described the exceptionally favourable economic conditions then prevailing and reported that "Washington's economic managers scaled these heights by their adherence to Keynes's central theme: the modern capitalist economy does not automatically work at top efficiency, but can be raised to that level by the intervention and influence of the government." The article also states that Keynes was one of the three most important economists who ever lived, and that his General Theory was more influential than the magna opera of other famous economists, such as Adam Smith's The Wealth of Nations.[73]


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« Last Edit: Jan 31st, 2024 at 5:17pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #727 - Feb 2nd, 2024 at 9:15am
 
The IMF - mired in the 'taxpayer money' ideology - wants its  $44 billion loans to Argentina repaid, praises Milei for his "strong" policies, despite the risk of increasing poverty already at 40%.

https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/companies/imf-backs-milei-s-reforms-says-risks-t...

"The IMF called Milei's stabilization plan for Argentina's embattled economy "bold" and "far more ambitious" than those put forth by his predecessors in the South American country, citing the reform mandate of his landslide election victory late last year as a positive given the challenges of its implementation.

"The authorities' strong ownership and electoral mandate to eliminate fiscal deficits and long-standing impediments to growth (many benefiting vested interests) mitigate implementation risks," the IMF said in a staff report on Argentina published on Thursday.
Yet the IMF acknowledged that risks to the program's success are high, given the "very difficult inheritance" from failed policies and a "complex political and social backdrop, with a fragmented Congress, falling real wages, and high poverty."


Yes - so much for the "reform mandate of his landslide election victory" ......from the 56% who aren't living in poverty.

Hence the flawed analysis from the IMF money-lending sharks.

..... "Instant Misery Fund", indeed.   




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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #728 - Feb 3rd, 2024 at 11:43am
 
https://twitter.com/wbmosler/status/1753371093937553509/photo/1

"....Musk warns (US) national debt will soon exceed $100 trillion." 
.......

Maybe that is how MMT becomes understood by the electorate; the US economy will keep chugging along in a competition with China, regardless of the national debt.

Japan shows how it's done; national debt there is 250% of GDP, yet the debt is mostly owned by the  BofJ...... who cares, while interest rates, inflation, and unemployment are low (ie, in Japan)?
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« Last Edit: Feb 3rd, 2024 at 1:05pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #729 - Feb 7th, 2024 at 6:19pm
 
Latest news: Argentina's parliament rejects Milei's IMF- endorsed economic policies.

Proving the IMF are irrelevant ideologues, unable to deal with real world problems.

Hint: you have to decrease poverty in the land, not increase it....
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thegreatdivide
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #730 - Feb 8th, 2024 at 1:26pm
 
The World Bank, another useless hangover from the US- brokered  Bretton Woods Conference (1944).

Yesterday they reported poverty in Pakistan has reached 50%, with millions of people still forced to live in the open after the devastating floods two years ago.

Practical fixes?

They don't have a clue.

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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #731 - Feb 9th, 2024 at 11:20am
 
https://www.msn.com/en-au/money/markets/legendary-investor-paul-tudor-jones-says...

Legendary investor Paul Tudor Jones says a 'debt bomb' set to go off in US - economy appears strong but is on 'steroids' masking major problems

...........

Another $billionare complaining about government debt - of course they don't want to pay more tax to reduce the government debt and deficit, they only want to cut public expenditures. 

Political realities mean governments will never be able to raise sufficient tax to pay down government debt, look at the kerfuffle over stage 3 tax cuts in Oz. 

Ignorant fools like Jones and Musk (ignorant re understanding the nature of money, not on how to amass it for themselves.....) are lucky government debt doesn't matter as long as the nation's productivity holds up and workers can keep producing the nation's essential goods and services.

"Balanced US budgets" (or even more idiotically, government surpluses)  - with the wall, Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan, health care, pensions, etc,  all requiring funding, and with tax increases off the table - forget it.

   
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« Last Edit: Feb 9th, 2024 at 5:42pm by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #732 - Feb 10th, 2024 at 9:07am
 
Michelle Bullock showing how out of touch she is with the population suffering under her monetary orthodoxy: when asked why young women should study economics, she said "it's great fun".

Easy to say, when you are paid a million bucks to force people onto the unemployment scrap heap, as per the rotten dogmas of the 'dismal science'.....

https://billmitchell.org/blog/?p=61556

RBA is now a rogue organisation and the Government should act to bring it back into check
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #733 - Feb 12th, 2024 at 9:25am
 
Bobby says currency-issuing governments buy bonds (aka QE, performed during economic downturns);  and sell bonds to fund government, which can cause inflation. 

The point is: a currency-issuer doesn't have to borrow money, and inflation can be checked with price controls.

Stephanie Kelton  explains the meaning of the oddly-named IRA  - "Inflation Reduction Act":

Increasing  US manufacturing capacity in the renewables sector, which increases supply relience, avoiding 'supply -push' inflation (ie due to supply inadequacy).

Similarly for the Chips Act, bringing IC chips manufacture back to the US, subsized by massive government market intervention.

(The biggest contributor to inflation today is the increase in interest rates by central banks). 



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« Last Edit: Feb 12th, 2024 at 10:45am by thegreatdivide »  
 
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Re: Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)
Reply #734 - Feb 12th, 2024 at 9:46am
 
That's the way - stick to something out there in Blue Sky Territory that you can ruminate about all day and nobody cares... you can make out you know it all there... since nobody wants to bother.

Just like John Smith - contribute about what you know ... stick to that... he's OK with industrial relations and a loittle bit about housing - but that's about it.... you're good at mumbling darkly about changing the way we view money as if the world will do that, and how that will solve all the problems ... the rest is just abuse of the ears and eyes... especially when you discuss the UN - about which you know nothing.... and certainly nothing about their efficacy in resolving any disputes, international or national such as Syria etc...

"Oh, I'm sorry - we couldn't run any food relief supplies to you since your town is rebel held, so we let your children and old people first starve to death because we need to keep our negotiating pathways open to the Assad government first and foremost.... you understand that the political aspect is more important....."
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