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Re: The sun
Reply #135 - Mar 16^th, 2023 at 7:30am

Quote:

Keith Strong
@drkstrong
·
10h
THE SUN TODAY:

1) SSN stable at 100.

2) No significant flares in the last day.

3) A new region just behind the NE limb.

4) No shortage of sunspot regions but no big spots or complex groups. Note the huge prominence off the NE limb. 2 New NOAA numbered regions

5) 9 CMEs yesterday.

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
9h

Gorgeous jet off SE limb: There seems to be some activity developing on the SE limb of the Sun. The sequence ends with large jet from a small region behind / on the limb. Also note a tiny eruption just to its south at the end.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1635968193998069764

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Jovial Monk Moderator Offline Dogs not cats! Posts: 45888 Gender:	Re: The sun Reply #136 - Mar 16^th, 2023 at 3:04pm Quote: Keith Strong@drkstrong 3h TWO DOOMED COMETS CRASH INTO THE SUN. Suggest you use full screen to see this one clearly. A comet heading towards the Sun from the southeast breaks into two and both parts disintegrate just after they enter the C2 field of view (red). https://twitter.com/i/status/1636180745281495042
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Re: The sun
Reply #137 - Mar 16^th, 2023 at 3:06pm

Hmmmm

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong

Repeat performance: Another geomagnetic storm is in progress. As with the last one it is a G2 (Kp=6) event - a moderate. The main effect will be auroa[sic] at higher latitudes with some disruption to high-frequency communications and possible grid problems.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrUCgBTWIAAxt_5?format=png&name=small

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Re: The sun
Reply #138 - Mar 17^th, 2023 at 3:50am

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
51m

CORONAL HOLE WARNING: There is a dark coronal hole near Sun center and will shortly rotate west to be connected magnetically to the Earth. It is small so probably will not have much of an effect on Earth but high-speed solar winds from them can cause geomagnetic disturbances.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrWy3w7XwAMjUlf?format=jpg&name=small

More aurora?

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Jovial Monk Moderator Offline Dogs not cats! Posts: 45888 Gender:	Re: The sun Reply #139 - Mar 17^th, 2023 at 10:31am Quote: Keith Strong@drkstrong 5h HUGE SUNSPOT [region] COMING OVER SOUTHEAST LIMB. It is probably the return of AR3236. The X-ray background is increasing (good sign!). https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FrXKksCWwAcpUFf?format=png&name=small
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Re: The sun
Reply #140 - Mar 18^th, 2023 at 9:16am

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
10h

THE SUN TODAY:

1) SSN down to 85.
2) Double C6 flares form the new region in SE (see earlier tweet).
3) Still more to come over east limb.
4) A host of small new spot region (white) but apart from the large one on the SE limb they are unlikely amount to much.
5) 4 CMEs yesterday.

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong

A TOWERING PROMINCE: Seen here in He II 304A light (50,000K) a prominence on the NW limb over 100,000 km high (compare to size of the Earth - inset). It has been steadily growing for several days but is showing no signs of erupting. Remarkable that it remains stable for so long.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Frbd7mtWIAEKFdI?format=png&name=small

If that ever erupts—hope it ain’t pointing at Earth! 100,000Km high!

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Re: The sun
Reply #141 - Mar 18^th, 2023 at 12:43pm

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
1h

CME WATCH - 2023.03.17: In contrast with the last few days some spectacular events. The first significant event is on the E limb associated with the double flare. Then a classic CME off the SW limb and a fainter one off the east limb. Last a large "bubble" CME off the SW limb.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1636903834248265731

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong

A BRIGHT ERUPTION: Loops start shedding mass onto the surface of the Sun in the south. A previously invisible structure lights up and blasts away from the Sun. The was what caused the larger CME off the SE limb. The plasma is in bright emission. In contrast to this next event ...

https://twitter.com/i/status/1636907254917070849

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
39m

A DARK ERUPTION: This time a dark (cold and dense) filament slowly becomes unstable and gently lifts off. This is what caused the first of the two west limb large-scale eruptions (see previous tweets).

https://twitter.com/i/status/1636910731936296961

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong
17m

SHATTERED: This bright prominence seems pretty stable until an influx of plasma comes in from the north. It seems to shatter into many different structures, a few of which escape but most falls slowly back onto the Sun.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1636913559195078656

Our sun is pretty active!

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Jovial Monk

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Re: The sun
Reply #142 - Mar 19^th, 2023 at 7:36am

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong 8h

THE SUN TODAY:

1) SSN down to 45.

2) An M flare, the first in 10 days. A couple of high Cs as well all from the newly numbered region AR 3256.

3) Seems more regions to come over SE limb.

4) The Sun has simplified with the loss of several regions due to decay.

5) 8 CMEs yesterday.

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong 7h

EVENTUALLY! Three days ago, I predicted that a prominence near the north pole of the Sun would erupt. Finally, today, it did so. The amazing thing is that it grew in height to over 100,000 km which would be impossible with the normal scale height physics at temperatures of ~50K.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637089403465093120

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Re: The sun
Reply #143 - Mar 19^th, 2023 at 2:25pm

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong

CME WATCH - 2023.03.18: Hyperactive! Starting at 0:10 a very violent eruption off the SW limb with bright ejecta. Then a slower one off the NE limb. Two follow: one from the N. Polar region and another off the NE limb. Lastly a broad CME off the SE limb. All go tonight!

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637280156652896256

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong 1h

NEW REGIONS PUTTING ON A DISPLAY. A group of sunspot regions coming over the SE limb are putting on quite a show of eruptions and jets. This is likely the return of AR3244 in the south and AR3243 in the north. We see here several eruptions stretching over 70 degrees in latitude.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637287327578959873

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Jovial Monk Moderator Offline Dogs not cats! Posts: 45888 Gender:	Re: The sun Reply #144 - Mar 20^th, 2023 at 5:49am Quote: Keith Strong@drkstrong·6h THE SUN TODAY: 1) The SSN jumps to 75. 2) No significant flares in the last day. 3) Looks like more regions to come over both the NE and SE limb. 4) All the activity seems now to be in the eastern half of the Sun. With new large spots both north and south. 5) 11 CMEs yesterday.
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Re: The sun
Reply #145 - Mar 20^th, 2023 at 6:03am

Quote:

Keith Strong
@drkstrong
·
6h
A NEW SUNSPOT REGION SURGING: The region on/behind the NE limb of the Sun has produced a series of bright surges. They are notable in that they reveal the twisted structure of the magnetic fields. It also means that the fields are strong enough to prevent a big eruption, so far.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637440015490863106

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Jovial Monk Moderator Offline Dogs not cats! Posts: 45888 Gender:	Re: The sun Reply #146 - Mar 20^th, 2023 at 8:49am A really detailed look at the sun today:
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Re: The sun
Reply #147 - Mar 20^th, 2023 at 2:23pm

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong·3h

A VIOLENT ERUPTION FROM BEHIND SW LIMB: Note the size of this event compared to our puny Earth (inset). This CME must be from several days on the far side. First we see a bright filament erupt but as the event continues it spreads eastward towards the southern Pole of the Sun.

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637617456742125568

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong· 2h

CME WATCH - 2023.03.19: Very active tonight. We have a lot of activity in the south today (see earlier tweet). There is a nice bubble CME off the SE limb about halfway through. Note how bright the SW steamer is becoming and note the very bright CME there near the end of the movie

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637632410257899521

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong·20m

CORONAL HOLE ALERT: A large coronal hole is rotating into the western hemisphere of the Sun where it can potentially affect the Earth by sending high-speed solar wind streams our way. They can cause geomagnetic storms. This coronal hole is well south so may pass beneath the Earth

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FronLxEWwAE1T84?format=jpg&name=medium

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Re: The sun
Reply #148 - Mar 21^st, 2023 at 4:51am

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong·6h

THE SUN TODAY:
1) SSN increased to 80.

2) An M1 flare and 2 C5 events, all from AR3256.

3) Some regions still about to come over the east limb but will they be spots or merely plage?

4) About to lose AR3251 over the west limb. Not many new regions emerging.

5) 10 CMEs yesterday.

Some still-hopeful GSM believers think the decline from over 100 spots to under 100 spots meant a “weak” peak had been reached. Idiots! If they look at the record of Cycle 24, the preceding cycle, they would see bigger declines followed by rises—when you believe crap all fluctuations that suit your erroneous belief take on huge significance and the faith is not destroyed when numbers rise to new heights. Weird but there you go.

Overall tho, believers in a GSM have given up, acknowledging implicitly that the sun is not cooperating with the belief of the GSM = Ice Age cult.

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Re: The sun
Reply #149 - Mar 21^st, 2023 at 6:32pm

Quote:

Keith Strong@drkstrong·8h

CME WATCH - 2023.03.20: Note the bright streamer at about 5 o'clock, erupts (see yesterday's report) but then a few hours later does so again but more slowly and less violently. Right at the end we get two spectacular CMEs off the NE and SW limbs simultaneously - the same event?

https://twitter.com/i/status/1637974353127022592

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