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More from JM's tripe -IPCC (Read 2634 times)
lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #30 - Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:54pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:27pm:
Australia might contribute a small proportion of the air pollution and CO2 to the atmosphere.


Might? We don't add CO2 to the atmosphere. As for pollution, it is dispersed by wind. The Blue Mountains are actually natural pollution. The terpenes emitted by Gum trees are what give the Blue Mountains the Blue effect, via the prism effect.

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Jasin
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #31 - Apr 8th, 2023 at 6:19pm
 
That 'Blue Haze' is a very subduing narcotic effect.
No wonder Abos didn't feel like building big rubbish to imaginary gods.  Cheesy
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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Re: More from latest IPCC Report.
Reply #32 - Apr 8th, 2023 at 9:37pm
 
Belgarion wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:49pm:
Can any of you climate alarmists tell me what the optimum level of atmospheric CO2 is? 


About 320ppm be good. Milder climate than now, melting of land ice be a lot slower than now. Higher sea levels would help moderate climate—if this happens slowly populations and infrastructure etc could be moved to higher altitudes.
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Get the vaxx! 💉💉

If you don’t like abortions ignore them like you do school shootings.
 
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UnSubRocky
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #33 - Apr 8th, 2023 at 11:00pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:45pm:
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:29pm:
Despite our situation about being a carbon sink area, adding carbon to the atmosphere still adds to the atmosphere.



Not in Australia. Roll Eyes


Yes, in Australia.  Roll Eyes
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At this stage...
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UnSubRocky
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #34 - Apr 8th, 2023 at 11:06pm
 
lee wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:54pm:
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:27pm:
Australia might contribute a small proportion of the air pollution and CO2 to the atmosphere.


Might? We don't add CO2 to the atmosphere. As for pollution, it is dispersed by wind. The Blue Mountains are actually natural pollution. The terpenes emitted by Gum trees are what give the Blue Mountains the Blue effect, via the prism effect.


I don't know where you live. But, in my small town, the cars generate enough pollution as it is to contribute to the air pollution. Cities like Brisbane (at least 25 times the population of where I live) had air pollution levels that I would suggest on par with what I breathed on a day of heavy traffic (perhaps when I rode home from school near the school). We also cut down trees and breathe. Both of which 25 million Australians add to the atmosphere of CO2 concentrations.

I bet those trees in the Blue Mountains do more to reduce CO2 levels than what you realise. If you have been to the rainforests in northeast Australia, you would see how heavy the air feels with oxygen.
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Belgarion
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Re: More from latest IPCC Report.
Reply #35 - Apr 9th, 2023 at 9:45am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 9:37pm:
Belgarion wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 5:49pm:
Can any of you climate alarmists tell me what the optimum level of atmospheric CO2 is? 


About 320ppm be good. Milder climate than now, melting of land ice be a lot slower than now. Higher sea levels would help moderate climate—if this happens slowly populations and infrastructure etc could be moved to higher altitudes.


So 320ppm is good....much better than the current 400ppm...a change of around 80 ppm - 8 thousandths of 1 percent - will change the climate?
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"I may not agree with what you say, but I will defend to the death your right to say it."

Voltaire.....(possibly)
 
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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #36 - Apr 9th, 2023 at 12:34pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 9:37pm:
About 320ppm be good.



Link?

Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 9:37pm:
Higher sea levels would help moderate climate—if this happens slowly populations and infrastructure etc could be moved to higher altitudes.



You mean we have rapid Sea Level Rise? How much and where?

...

Vanuata - shows cycles.
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« Last Edit: Apr 9th, 2023 at 12:42pm by lee »  
 
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #37 - Apr 9th, 2023 at 4:13pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 9th, 2023 at 2:21pm:
Methane in the atmosphere had its fourth-highest annual increase in 2022, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported, part of an overall rise in planet-warming greenhouse gases that the agency called “alarming.”

Though carbon dioxide typically gets more attention for its role in climate change, scientists are particularly concerned about methane because it traps much more heat — about 87 times more than carbon dioxide on a 20-year timescale.


Of course JM comes up with the 87 times figure. Truthfully methane has Global Warming Potential (GWP) of 30. It is measured in parts per BILLION and lasts about 12 years.

https://www.science.org.au/curious/earth-environment/methane

Can you spot the error in this UN publication?

"To be more specific, CO2 concentrations last year reached 415.7 parts per million (ppm), methane 1908 ppm, and nitrous oxide 334.5 ppm."

https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/10/1129887

"Since 2007, global methane concentration has been increasing at an accelerating rate. The annual increases in 2020 and 2021 are the largest since systematic registry began in 1983.

However, scientists still don’t know what the causes of this increase are, but some research indicates that a large amount of this methane is coming from “biogenic sources”, such as wetlands and rice paddies."

ibid

Note: No cows, sheep etc.

"The concentration of methane in the atmosphere has risen sharply—by about 25 teragrams per year — since 2006. "

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/91564/what-is-behind-rising-levels-of-m...

Stock levels have not increased greatly, if at all, since 2006. So it must be something else.
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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #38 - Apr 10th, 2023 at 1:53pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 11:06pm:
Cities like Brisbane (at least 25 times the population of where I live) had air pollution levels that I would suggest on par with what I breathed on a day of heavy traffic (perhaps when I rode home from school near the school).


Yes. Brisbane has a pollution problem. Both Sydney and Brisbane have reasonably low average wind speeds. From 2m/sec or 7.2kmh in Jun to 8kmh in Dec.

UnSubRocky wrote on Apr 8th, 2023 at 11:06pm:
I bet those trees in the Blue Mountains do more to reduce CO2 levels than what you realise. If you have been to the rainforests in northeast Australia, you would see how heavy the air feels with oxygen.


Nope. I am not surprised. According to the Chief Scientist in 2009 we are a carbon sink.

"Which plants store more carbon in Australia: forests or grasses?"

https://www.chiefscientist.gov.au/2009/12/which-plants-store-more-carbon-in-aust...

A later study says grasses are more efficient.

"Grasslands more reliable carbon sink than trees"

https://phys.org/news/2018-07-grasslands-reliable-carbon-trees.html

BTW- I have lived in Brisbane and also PNG. Wink

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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #39 - Apr 11th, 2023 at 11:43am
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 11th, 2023 at 8:44am:
[quote]
More CO2 in the atmosphere hurts key plants and crops more than it helps



. . .you may have heard a myth that nature’s balance doesn’t really matter. After all, CO2 is natural, and it helps plants and crops grow. That’s true. But it’s also misleading in that it’s only part of the story. A widely circulated myth suggests that adding extra CO2 to the atmosphere will fertilize plants and crops and make the world greener and better. Unfortunately, that turns out not to be true. . . .

The myth that CO2 is plant food and that “extra” CO2 therefore can’t be bad is an example of a logical fallacy. It sort of sounds right, but it’s a major oversimplification. It’s appealing because it suggests that it’s okay to emit the pollution that causes climate change. But the myth is not true.
Fertilizer alone does not make a successful garden.

A lot of myths have a grain of truth to them. That’s part of what makes them believable – at first. But it’s up to us to look beyond that single fragment of a fact. In the case of the CO2-as-fertilizer myth, you can test the idea by thinking about your own garden. Is fertilizer alone sufficient to create a healthy garden? Of course not. A garden needs the right amount of water, stable weather conditions, and plants that are suited to the local environment. These are the same factors that have been disrupted by an overload of CO2 in the atmosphere. For example, just adding more fertilizer doesn’t help plants when a garden is getting either too much or not enough water.
It’s all about balance.

Nature is like a recipe, with each ingredient needed in just the right measure. A pinch of nutmeg gives pumpkin pie a rich, warm flavor, but a tablespoon of nutmeg would ruin the pie. A car’s engine runs on a precise blend of air, fuel, and spark. Overloading one element disrupts the whole system. Many aspects of nature operate in a similarly balanced way.

For example, the atmosphere has a specific recipe. CO2 and other greenhouse gases are an essential part of the recipe because they trap heat in the atmosphere. With no CO2 Planet Earth would be in a perpetual ice age. But a small amount of CO2 keeps the planet in the famous “Goldilocks and the Three Bears” condition: not too hot, not too cold, but the “just right” zone that’s ideal for life as we know it. Too much CO2 overheats the planet.

By studying Earth’s history, scientists have learned that when there was a lot of CO2 in the atmosphere, the planet was hot. In fact, the last time the Earth had as much CO2 in the atmosphere as it now does was the Pliocene Epoch, more than 3 million years ago. At that time, Earth’s atmosphere was 3.6 to 7.2 degrees Fahrenheit warmer (2 to 4 degrees Celsius) than it is today. And global sea level was 50 to 80 feet (15 to 25 meters) higher.

Climate change is hard on plants.
The basics of climate change are actually easy to understand. Human activities emit around 100 million tons of CO2 every day, mostly by burning fossil fuels, which causes the atmosphere to trap more heat. As a result of that heat-trapping pollution, the atmosphere, land, and oceans have all become warmer. The added heat triggers side effects like more intense rainstorms, floods, prolonged heat waves, and droughts. In turn, those unpleasant conditions lead to more frequent and severe wildfires, insect outbreaks, and crop failures. Sure, today’s plants have a bit more fertilizer from the extra CO2 in the air, but that additional CO2 causes many other problems, harming many plants and crops. Climate change is disrupting plant growth.

Agricultural experiments show negative effects.

Scientists have performed many experiments to see what happens when plants and agricultural crops receive extra CO2. When supplemental CO2 was pumped into the air around plants, they grew faster. For this reason, CO2 is sometimes piped into enclosed greenhouses to boost production. But greenhouse plants also have optimal amounts of water, excellent soil, and controlled temperatures. It’s usually a different story out in the real world.

To conduct a more “real world” experiment, other studies have given plants extra CO2 plus an increase in temperature. In these conditions, many plants and crops grew poorly. In most cases, the boost from CO2 was overwhelmed by the hotter conditions. These experiments demonstrate that the myth of CO2 fertilization is false, and peer-reviewed reports find that major crops like wheat, rice, corn, and soybeans will become less productive as the world heats up.

Likewise, a landmark study in 2018 found that growing rice in high-CO2 conditions makes it less nutritious. As a basic grain, rice plays a critical role in feeding the world’s population. The extra CO2 caused an imbalance within the crop’s chemical makeup, which resulted in rice that had lower amounts of protein, iron, zinc, and B-vitamins. “The entire elemental balance is out of whack,” explained plant physiologist Lewis Ziska, an author of the study. This result is yet another example of how the recipe of nature is being disrupted by excess CO2.


https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/12/more-co2-in-the-atmosphere-hurts-key-...

Do plant have lower vitamins? Marginally true. Do plants have better water tolerance- true but you won't hear about it.
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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #40 - Apr 11th, 2023 at 12:11pm
 
From the paper (clearly not read by JM)
But spot the weasel words.

"For example, harvests of staple cereal crops, such as rice and maize, could decline by 20 to 40% as a function of increased surface temperatures in tropical and subtropical regions by 2100 without considering the impacts of extreme weather and climate events (3)."

But the tropics is supposed to have the lowest temperature increase.

"As evidenced by over a hundred individual studies and several meta-analyses, projected increases in atmospheric [CO2] can result in an ionomic imbalance for most plant species whereby carbon increases disproportionally to soil-based nutrients (9–11). This imbalance, in turn, may have significant consequences for human nutrition (12, 13) including protein and micronutrients. However, at present, no information is available regarding a key constituent of nutrition, vitamin content; as a result, no integrated assessment (protein, micronutrients, and vitamins) is available."

But that isn't what the headline says.

What is missing from the study is the actual dietary requirement vs any reduction in the crop.

However they do acknowledge that.

"Specific health outcomes of consuming rice with reduced nutritional quality are also difficult to forecast."
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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #41 - Apr 12th, 2023 at 6:30pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 12th, 2023 at 6:10pm:
Cancer-causing pollution
Air pollution causes millions of deaths worldwide each year, including more than 250,000 from a type of lung cancer called adenocarcinoma. But it has been difficult to investigate how air pollution triggers cancer, in part because its effects are less pronounced than those of better-studied carcinogens such as tobacco smoke or ultraviolet light, says Nik-Zainal.

To unpick the mechanism, cancer researcher Charles Swanton at the Francis Crick Institute in London and his colleagues mined environmental and
epidemiological data from the United Kingdom, Canada, South Korea and Taiwan. To diminish the contribution of tobacco smoke to the data, the team focused on lung cancers that carried mutations in a gene called EGFR. These mutations are more common in lung cancers in people who have never smoked than in those in smokers.

The team found that lung cancers bearing EGFR mutations were associated with exposure to air pollution in the form of inhalable particles with a diameter of 2.5 micrometres or less — less than one-tenth the width of the average grain of pollen. Such pollution is emitted by internal combustion engines, coal-fired power stations and burning wood.


Now let's have a look at pm2.5 -

"In 1996, the EPA’s CASAC concluded that the agency had not demonstrated that PM2.5 kills anyone. Over the next 23 years, the EPA rigged the CASAC review process so that such a conclusion wouldn’t be drawn again. But it did happen again. In 2019 after CASAC had be purged of its political bias, CASAC concluded that EPA’s health claims from PM2.5 were without a scientific basis."

...

"In 2012, a group with which I am affiliated, sued EPA for conducting illegal human clinical research experiments involving PM2.5. By the early 2000s, EPA had concluded that any exposure to PM2.5 could kill in a matter of hours and that elderly and sick people were most at risk. To prove its point, conducted numerous experiments on elderly and sick people in which diesel exhaust from a truck was pipelined into an actual gas chamber where the human guinea pigs inhaled very high levels of PM2.5 for hours at a time.This was illegal because researchers are not allowed to conduct Nazi-like experiments where the purpose is to cause harm, especially without the informed consent of the human guinea pigs.

In its defense to our lawsuit, the EPA stated that it conducted the PM2.5 experiments because the PM2.5 epidemiology was only statistics, and as all researchers know, statistics only demonstrate correlation and correlation is not the same as causation. "

"Despite exposing hundreds of elderly (as old as 80) and sick people (with asthma and heart disease) to extraordinary levels of PM2.5 (as high as 75 times the level in average US outdoor air), not so much as a gasp, wheeze or cough, much less any death, was reported. The clinical research, in fact, provided not an ounce of biological plausibility to the (dubious) epidemiology."

"Although PM2.5 levels in Chinese and Indian cities can reach quite high levels  e.g., 100 times average outdoor levels in the US  no actual deaths are ever reported. The reason for this is that the level of acidic gases always remains in a safe range. Simply inhaling PM2.5 alone kills no one.

Coal miners don’t die earlier"

"When smokers inhale, they inhale a lot of PM2.5. If you live in the US and inhale average air, you will inhale about 240 millionths of a gram of PM2.5 every day. And EPA claims that is a potentially deadly dose of PM2.5.

Now if you are a smoker, not only will you inhale that 240 millionths-of-a-gram every 24 hours, but for every filtered cigarette you smoke, you will inhale and astounding 8,000 to 10,000 millionths-of-a-gram in the five minutes or so it takes to smoke a cigarette. But no one dies from smoking a single cigarette. "

"The EPA invented PM2.5 as the most toxic substance known to man that is, any inhalation can result in death as soon as hours. Or, alternatively, PM2.5 may kill you after a lifetime of (unavoidably) inhaling it. No other substance known to man works this way and there is no body of science to support these claims. The EPA’s own courtroom admission undercuts its claims about the epidemiology and its own human experiments fail to provide any support to the motion that PM2.5 causes adverse health impact, let alone kills.

The EPA has refused for decades to produce the data so independent scientists can try to replicate its epidemiologic studies. The agency has essentially ignored the results of a large well-conducted epidemiologic study that directly contradicts its own. All real-world data contradict EPA’s claims and the smoking epidemiology demonstrates quite clearly just how ludicrous EPA’s claims are."

http://www.ozpolitic.com/forum/YaBB.pl?num=1678438132;start=2;action=threadpagedrop;reversetopic=0

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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #42 - Apr 15th, 2023 at 1:48pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 14th, 2023 at 9:16pm:
A La Nina pushes cold water to the top of the mid Pacific. This cools the atmosphere but, like the ice in an esky, the cold water heats up. This happened three times in a row—a LOT of heat has been absorbed!

Quote:
Climate models warn of possible ‘super El Niño’ before end of year

Climate researchers say magnitude of predicted weather event uncertain but if an extreme El Niño occurs ‘we’ll need to buckle up’


Climate models around the globe continue to warn of a potential El Niño developing later this year – a pattern of ocean warming in the Pacific that can increase the risk of catastrophic weather events around the globe.

Some models are raising the possibility later this year of an extreme, or “super El Niño”, that is marked by very high temperatures in a central region of the Pacific around the equator.

The last extreme El Niño in 2016 helped push global temperatures to the highest on record, underpinned by human-caused global heating that sparked floods, droughts and disease outbreaks.

Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology said in a Tuesday update that all seven models it had surveyed – including those from weather agencies in the UK, Japan and the US – showed sea surface temperatures passing the El Niño threshold by August.


BoM advise models applied to the Southern hemisphere are less accurate:
Quote:
There was a 50% chance of an El Niño developing before the end of the year, the bureau said.

A feature of El Niños is a rise in sea surface temperatures at least 0.8C above the long term average in a region of the central equatorial Pacific. Extreme El Niños feature temperatures in that region of 2C above average.


https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/apr/12/climate-models-warn-of-po...

If the models are wrong we will know that later this year.

Prepare for El Nino—heat, bushfires, destruction of some infrastructure—rail lines may buckle. With three wet years be a lot of vegetation that will be drying starting August. Backburning, clearing of weeds etc etc a must for those in rural areas.


Poor JM. Believes in the models. Bow down you heathens Models RULE. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And all this after BoM ruled that la Nina was ending...in 2021. Wink
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lee
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #43 - Apr 17th, 2023 at 11:24am
 
The latest -
Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 17th, 2023 at 11:06am:


What they do is use two models of earth, one with humans and one without. If it doesn't happen on the humanless model earth, humans done it.

Models RULE ok? Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Re: More from JM's tripe -IPCC
Reply #44 - Apr 17th, 2023 at 2:45pm
 
I wonder where the pollution really comes from?

Visual evidence that Australia is a pimple on the backside of the planet when it comes to population density and related CO2 emissions that are supposed to be the cause of "Climate Change".

Can you see Australia on this spike graph map??



...
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