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expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly. (Read 9153 times)
Dnarever
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #465 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 11:56am
 
JC Denton wrote on Jun 6th, 2023 at 11:19pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jun 6th, 2023 at 10:23pm:
Quote:
expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.


In March 2022 Russia took Much of the east of Ukraine and a corridor to Kiev as well as a lot of the North.

By Oct 2022 Ukraine had taken back the path through to Kiev and all of the north east.

March 2023 Ukraine had taken back a little more but much was locked down through winter.



do you ever think there may have been more in depth reasons for what occured in all of those circumstances

ukraine has taken back effectively nothing since kharkov and kherson, and in the latter circumstance the russians gave them back the city, you are lying

kharkov was a vacated front with a significant numerical advantage, the ukrainians were opportunistically seizing upon the fact that russia did not have enough manpower to adequately defend the entire front

manpower has been a significant constraint on operations for both sides in this conflict, in reality despite being the biggest war in europe since world war 2, it is a fairly small scale conflict in the grand scheme of things, with both sides fighting with armies that in total are smaller than most major eastern front ww2 battles


ukraine wasn't even close to kherson at the time of russia's withdrawal, all their kherson offensive yielded after months and months of flailing and sending reconaissance groups into direct artillery fire was a few podunk villages along the dneiper river

it was not remotely possible for russia to capture the kiev metropolitan region with the number of men it had around the city; at that time, the only hope of seizing an urban conglomoration of 3m with a force of about ~50,000 men was a rapid capitulation ala georgia, which was obviously the plan A the kremlins were hoping for

when it became clear that was no longer possible, those forces were withdeawn and redeployed, sensibly

you seem to believe that armies should fight stupid unwinnable battles to the death, and this is a smart way for wars to be fought

and in retrospect given what has happened with the destruction of the novaya kakhovka dam surovkin's decision to withdraw from kherson was absolutely the correct thing to do, as the destruction of the dam could have easily left all russian soldiers on the left side of the dneiper river stranded, inundated and cut off from supplies

a completely reasonable decision in hindsight

what this war has communicated to me more than anything is modern armies don't have enough infantry with fighting power to effectively conduct operations, and are overly reliant on ranged deep strike weaponry which has little capacity to take and hold positions


Quote:
do you ever think there may have been more in depth reasons for what occured in all of those circumstances


30% of the area that Russia originally took they couldn't hold.

Quote:
ukraine has taken back effectively nothing since kharkov and kherson, and in the latter circumstance the russians gave them back the city, you are lying


I provided an accurate timeline. How is it that providing actual factual data a lie ?

The fact is that following the original invasion Russia have either been going backwards or stagnant.


Have a look at the last image in this BBC article.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682
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« Last Edit: Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:22pm by Dnarever »  

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Dnarever
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #466 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:01pm
 
.
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Bobby.
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #467 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:34pm
 
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 10:26am:
Karnal wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 10:14am:
issuevoter wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 9:03am:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 8:14am:
Biden has said nothing about the dam.

This should be taken as a crossing of a red line - it's unacceptable.

How will the weak Biden respond?


And what would Jesus . . . sorry, Bobby do?



What would Bobby's Dear Leader do?

Oh, that's right - stop the war within 24 hours of being elected.

Ever get the feeling you've been ploughed?



I think you need to face the fact that vlad decided to attack
When he was emboldened by the presence of feeble biden
And the woke agenda of the military
Which indicated to vlad

The weakness softness and meekness of the United States

I don't recall him rolling into the Ukraine whilst the big fella was at the helm

Ever get the feeling you're confused
Maybe Dr Jill I could check you out for senility



Still not a word from old Biden -

he doesn't know what to do.
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issuevoter
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #468 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:43pm
 
Prigozhin isn't as confident of victory as some of the fascists here.
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No political allegiance. No philosophy. No religion.
 
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Laugh till you cry
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #469 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:47pm
 
Uncle Sam is determined to fight this war to the last Ukrainian.

Doesn't this situation have some connection to how the USA conquered Mexican territory and absorbed it into the USA.

How can the USA claim Russia's actions are illegal?

"This treaty, signed on February 2, 1848, ended the war between the United States and Mexico. By its terms, Mexico ceded 55 percent of its territory, including the present-day states California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, most of Arizona and Colorado, and parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Wyoming."
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Please don't thank me. Effusive fawning and obeisance of disciples, mendicants, and foot-kissers embarrass me.
 
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Bobby.
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #470 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:52pm
 
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:47pm:
Uncle Sam is determined to fight this war to the last Ukrainian.

Doesn't this situation have some connection to how the USA conquered Mexican territory and absorbed it into the USA.

How can the USA claim Russia's actions are illegal?

"This treaty, signed on February 2, 1848, ended the war between the United States and Mexico. By its terms, Mexico ceded 55 percent of its territory, including the present-day states California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, most of Arizona and Colorado, and parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Wyoming."



OK - why not go back to the Roman empire and we'll see what they did?   Roll Eyes

Once again the United Nations has failed to stop war.
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aquascoot
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #471 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:55pm
 
Karnal wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 11:25am:
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 10:26am:
Karnal wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 10:14am:
issuevoter wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 9:03am:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 8:14am:
Biden has said nothing about the dam.

This should be taken as a crossing of a red line - it's unacceptable.

How will the weak Biden respond?


And what would Jesus . . . sorry, Bobby do?



What would Bobby's Dear Leader do?

Oh, that's right - stop the war within 24 hours of being elected.

Ever get the feeling you've been ploughed?



I think you need to face the fact that vlad decided to attack
When he was emboldened by the presence of feeble biden
And the woke agenda of the military
Which indicated to vlad

The weakness softness and meekness of the United States

I don't recall him rolling into the Ukraine whilst the big fella was at the helm

Ever get the feeling you're confused
Maybe Dr Jill I could check you out for senility


Vlad didn't need to invade while Trump was in. He had a yes-man in the White House. He had a US prez withdrawing congressionally-approved military aid from Ukraine. He had the promise of an American withdrawal from the NATO alliance in term 2.

Vlad went into Ukraine when he lost that hope. Remember, Vlad doesn't want all that extra real estate for a lousy $2 worth of sanctions. He wants the security of knowing his own regime is safe enough to hand over to the next guy.

Vlad's real want here is retirement. He wants all his ducks in a row so he can move into Putin's Palace and live la dolce vita - in peace. He invaded Ukraine because he knew their democracy would spread to Russia, and it was. Navalny got a good ten million views on his Putin's Palace doco.

But I'm curious. Why do you keep mentioning Trump? He's the guy who stood next to Vlad and said he could see no reason why Vlad would interfere in a US election. He's the guy who tried to get congress to overturn Russian sanctions. He's the guy who said Putin's a genius, he knows him well, "very very well". He's the guy who's backed Vlad every step along the way.

Why do you think he's throw all that out and get tough on Vlad? You like Vlad, Dear Leader likes Vlad.

Great minds think alike, no?



i think you are confusing me with gweggy  Grin Grin Grin
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Bobby.
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #472 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:57pm
 
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:55pm:
i think you are confusing me with gweggy  Grin Grin Grin


The resident trans?


...
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Laugh till you cry
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #473 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:03pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:52pm:
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:47pm:
Uncle Sam is determined to fight this war to the last Ukrainian.

Doesn't this situation have some connection to how the USA conquered Mexican territory and absorbed it into the USA.

How can the USA claim Russia's actions are illegal?

"This treaty, signed on February 2, 1848, ended the war between the United States and Mexico. By its terms, Mexico ceded 55 percent of its territory, including the present-day states California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, most of Arizona and Colorado, and parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Wyoming."



OK - why not go back to the Roman empire and we'll see what they did?   Roll Eyes

Once again the United Nations has failed to stop war.


The UN has started more wars than it has stopped.
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Please don't thank me. Effusive fawning and obeisance of disciples, mendicants, and foot-kissers embarrass me.
 
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Bobby.
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #474 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:13pm
 
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:03pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:52pm:
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:47pm:
Uncle Sam is determined to fight this war to the last Ukrainian.

Doesn't this situation have some connection to how the USA conquered Mexican territory and absorbed it into the USA.

How can the USA claim Russia's actions are illegal?

"This treaty, signed on February 2, 1848, ended the war between the United States and Mexico. By its terms, Mexico ceded 55 percent of its territory, including the present-day states California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, most of Arizona and Colorado, and parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Wyoming."



OK - why not go back to the Roman empire and we'll see what they did?   Roll Eyes

Once again the United Nations has failed to stop war.


The UN has started more wars than it has stopped.



The UN should be closed down - it's hopeless.
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JC Denton
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #475 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:57pm
 
Dnarever wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 11:56am:
JC Denton wrote on Jun 6th, 2023 at 11:19pm:
Dnarever wrote on Jun 6th, 2023 at 10:23pm:
Quote:
expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.


In March 2022 Russia took Much of the east of Ukraine and a corridor to Kiev as well as a lot of the North.

By Oct 2022 Ukraine had taken back the path through to Kiev and all of the north east.

March 2023 Ukraine had taken back a little more but much was locked down through winter.



do you ever think there may have been more in depth reasons for what occured in all of those circumstances

ukraine has taken back effectively nothing since kharkov and kherson, and in the latter circumstance the russians gave them back the city, you are lying

kharkov was a vacated front with a significant numerical advantage, the ukrainians were opportunistically seizing upon the fact that russia did not have enough manpower to adequately defend the entire front

manpower has been a significant constraint on operations for both sides in this conflict, in reality despite being the biggest war in europe since world war 2, it is a fairly small scale conflict in the grand scheme of things, with both sides fighting with armies that in total are smaller than most major eastern front ww2 battles


ukraine wasn't even close to kherson at the time of russia's withdrawal, all their kherson offensive yielded after months and months of flailing and sending reconaissance groups into direct artillery fire was a few podunk villages along the dneiper river

it was not remotely possible for russia to capture the kiev metropolitan region with the number of men it had around the city; at that time, the only hope of seizing an urban conglomoration of 3m with a force of about ~50,000 men was a rapid capitulation ala georgia, which was obviously the plan A the kremlins were hoping for

when it became clear that was no longer possible, those forces were withdeawn and redeployed, sensibly

you seem to believe that armies should fight stupid unwinnable battles to the death, and this is a smart way for wars to be fought

and in retrospect given what has happened with the destruction of the novaya kakhovka dam surovkin's decision to withdraw from kherson was absolutely the correct thing to do, as the destruction of the dam could have easily left all russian soldiers on the left side of the dneiper river stranded, inundated and cut off from supplies

a completely reasonable decision in hindsight

what this war has communicated to me more than anything is modern armies don't have enough infantry with fighting power to effectively conduct operations, and are overly reliant on ranged deep strike weaponry which has little capacity to take and hold positions


Quote:
do you ever think there may have been more in depth reasons for what occured in all of those circumstances


30% of the area that Russia originally took they couldn't hold.

Quote:
ukraine has taken back effectively nothing since kharkov and kherson, and in the latter circumstance the russians gave them back the city, you are lying


I provided an accurate timeline. How is it that providing actual factual data a lie ?

The fact is that following the original invasion Russia have either been going backwards or stagnant.


Have a look at the last image in this BBC article.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60506682


no, russia has only made gains in the last 6 months, though small gains (because they have been fighting the bulk of the ukrainian army in highly urbanised areas which are actually difficult to capture). ukraine has made practically none; since the front has been rationalised, russia has raised a significant mobile reserve and ukraine is no longer able to walk into manpower absent areas like they did in kharkov.

i'm more than aware of the the 'map'; i'm just telling you it's a lot more complicated than the narrative presented, and ukraine's overall strategic long term picture is questionable even if i do believe they have a specific pathway to victory. we will see whether they can achieve this, but as i have said previously, it depends far more (on a base case scenario) on what russia itself does rather than what ukraine actually does.
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Laugh till you cry
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #476 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:00pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:13pm:
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 1:03pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:52pm:
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:47pm:
Uncle Sam is determined to fight this war to the last Ukrainian.

Doesn't this situation have some connection to how the USA conquered Mexican territory and absorbed it into the USA.

How can the USA claim Russia's actions are illegal?

"This treaty, signed on February 2, 1848, ended the war between the United States and Mexico. By its terms, Mexico ceded 55 percent of its territory, including the present-day states California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, most of Arizona and Colorado, and parts of Oklahoma, Kansas, and Wyoming."



OK - why not go back to the Roman empire and we'll see what they did?   Roll Eyes

Once again the United Nations has failed to stop war.


The UN has started more wars than it has stopped.



The UN should be closed down - it's hopeless.


Bobby is hopeless but he hasn't been closed down by his owner FleaDriver.

The UN is a forum for international communication and cooperation. Without the UN there would be even more conflict than there now is.
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Please don't thank me. Effusive fawning and obeisance of disciples, mendicants, and foot-kissers embarrass me.
 
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aquascoot
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #477 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:16pm
 
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:57pm:
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:55pm:
i think you are confusing me with gweggy  Grin Grin Grin


The resident trans?


https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/138/712/899/original/2a1486...



heres an admiral , biden appointed.

now that must have scared the russians  Grin Grin Grin

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« Last Edit: Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:22pm by aquascoot »  

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Captain Caveman
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #478 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:52pm
 
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:16pm:
Bobby. wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:57pm:
aquascoot wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 12:55pm:
i think you are confusing me with gweggy  Grin Grin Grin


The resident trans?


https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/138/712/899/original/2a1486...



heres an admiral , biden appointed.

now that must have scared the russians  Grin Grin Grin





Grin Grin Grin


The entire world is laughing at the united states of terrorism.
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Bobby.
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Re: expert - says Ukraine is losing the war badly.
Reply #479 - Jun 7th, 2023 at 3:02pm
 
Laugh till you cry wrote on Jun 7th, 2023 at 2:00pm:
Bobby is hopeless but he hasn't been closed down by his owner FleaDriver.

The UN is a forum for international communication and cooperation. Without the UN there would be even more conflict than there now is.



Close them down and start another UN where countries sign agreements to
make the votes of the new UN enforceable or not join at all.
Get rid of the veto powers of 5 countries - no more vetos.

Put sanctions on any country that doesn't sign up.
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