Australian Politics Forum - Liberals lost again

Labor majority government Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1233 Gender:	Liberals lost again Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:02pm Another election loss , just like Tassie soon and a sea of red
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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 101210 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #1 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:03pm Labor majority government wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:02pm: Another election loss , just like Tassie soon and a sea of red Bloody Labor. People keep voting for those commie arseholes.
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Captain Nemo

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #2 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:08pm

A significant swing (~ 3.8%) to the Libs but not enough to win this seat.

On the other hand, although the average swing in a byelection is around 3% ... in a first term Government it is only 1.3%

The swing in Dunkley of Around 3.8% if transferred Nationwide at the next General Election, would see Labor thrown out of office.

I don't think Labor should be very smug about this result.

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« Last Edit: Mar 3^rd, 2024 at 9:57am by Captain Nemo »

The 2025 election could be a shocker.

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John Smith

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #3 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:42pm

Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:08pm:

A significant swing (~ 3.8%) to the Libs but not enough to win this seat.

On the other hand, although the average swing in a byelection is around 3% ... in a first term Government it is only 1%

The swing in Dunkley of Around 3.8% if transferred Nationwide at the next General Election, would see Labor thrown out of office.

I don't think Labor should be very smug about this result.

Labors primary vote went UP. The libs only gained votes that would have otherwise gone to Clive or Pauline. They took nothing from Labor, which is a great result for a sitting govt. You can try to diminish the results for Labor if you like, but the reality is they exceeded even their own expectations.

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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Labor majority government Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1233 Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #4 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 8:44pm Average swing since federation is 4% and liberals couldn't even win that , not to mention Labor won on first preferences 🤣
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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 9526 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #5 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:06pm As I said, if this swing of about 4% is replicated at the next General election, Labor will be thrown out of office. Labor won the last General Election with a swing of 3.6%
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Labor majority government Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1233 Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #6 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:13pm Tassie next and a sea of red
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Captain Nemo Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 9526 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #7 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:16pm Having a sea of red states can work against the Federal party as sometimes people vote the opposite to the state to "achieve a balance".
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Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 101210 Melbourne Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #8 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:20pm Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:06pm: As I said, if this swing of about 4% is replicated at the next General election, Labor will be thrown out of office. Labor won the last General Election with a swing of 3.6% Good - but we'll still have mass immigration.
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Jasin

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #9 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:20pm

Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:16pm:

Having a sea of red states can work against the Federal party as sometimes people vote the opposite to the state to "achieve a balance". Wink

You beat me to it Nemo.

It's usually one Party ruling the majority or all States, while the other rules the National/Federal Level.

Australia is in a constant state of 'stalemate' mate.

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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.

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Labor majority government Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 1233 Gender:	Re: Liberals lost again Reply #10 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:25pm Spud atop the manure pile because you have no alternative
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Jasin

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #11 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:31pm

Labor majority government wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:25pm:

Spud atop the manure pile because you have no alternative Grin

No. It's just pretty sad that Australia 'lacks choice'.
The Public being nothing more than a ping-pong ball between Ping (NLP) and Pong (ALP).

We have x6 States and some Territories that could constitute a factor of x8.
Why we can't have x8 'major' Parties to vote for?
Well I do know - the ALPong and NLPing 'both' won't allow it because it means the end of the road for both parties.

Voting in Australia has become a complete BORE.

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« Last Edit: Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:53pm by Jasin »

AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.

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John Smith

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #12 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:31pm

Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:16pm:

Having a sea of red states can work against the Federal party as sometimes people vote the opposite to the state to "achieve a balance". Wink

Having a sea of red can work against a federal party. then again, it might not.

Having Dutton most definitely will work against a federal party . No ifs or buts

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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Bias_2012

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #13 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:33pm

Bobby. wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:20pm:

Captain Nemo wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:06pm:

As I said, if this swing of about 4% is replicated at the next General election, Labor will be thrown out of office.

Labor won the last General Election with a swing of 3.6%

Good - but we'll still have mass immigration. Angry

Yeah, and the Libs lost because they had a foreigner as a candidate, Scottish or Irish or something, certainly not Aussie. Whereas the Labs had a traditional Aussie

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Our Lives Are Governed By The Feast & Famine Variable

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Labor majority government

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Re: Liberals lost again
Reply #14 - Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:47pm

Jasin wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:31pm:

Labor majority government wrote on Mar 2^nd, 2024 at 9:25pm:

Spud atop the manure pile because you have no alternative Grin

No. It's just pretty sad that Australia 'lacks choice'.

You can vote independent Instead of liberal next fed election like everyone else is
The Public being nothing more than a ping-pong ball between Ping (NLP) and Pong (ALP).

We have x6 States and some Territories that could constitute a factor of x8.
Why we can't have x8 'major' Parties to vote for?
Well I do know - the ALPong and NLPing 'both' won't allow it because it means the end of the road for both parties.

Voting in Australia has become a complete BORE.

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Pack ya bags rightards

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