Jovial Monk wrote on Apr 23^rd, 2024 at 12:50pm:


This is the very same Terry Hughes who declared great patches of it "dead".

"Two-thirds of the corals in the northern part of the Great Barrier Reef have died in the reef’s worst-ever bleaching event, according to our latest underwater surveys."

Terry Hughes

Distinguished Professor, James Cook University, James Cook University

https://theconversation.com/how-much-coral-has-died-in-the-great-barrier-reefs-w...

Now apparently it has only changed symbionts. Something that is entirely natural; unless you really believe Terry Hughes.

Poor JM has been fooled more than once by Terry Hughes. It reminds me of a quote... something about being fooled once.

JM likes to show the aperture for CO2 in his climate function.

Now if CO2 is increasing, why is OLWR (Outgoing Long Wave Radiation) going up? Because according to the theory CO2 traps the OLWR and should therefore reduce the amount of OLWR.



Not seeing it.

OLWR -

Outgoing Longwave Radiation   -   Climate Model

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/1/10/1520-0442_1988_001_0998_aeo...

"For this figure I’ve picked off a few model simulations from the CMIP5 archive (just one realization per model), computed annual means and then used a 7 yr triangular smoother to knock down ENSO noise, and plotted the global mean short and long wave TOA fluxes as perturbations from the start of this smoothed series. The longwave (L) and shortwave (S) perturbations are both considered positive when directed into the system, so N = L +S is the net heating.  The only external forcing agent that is changing here is CO2, which (in isolation from the effects of the changing climate on the radiative fluxes) acts to heat the system by decreasing the outgoing longwave radiation (increasing L). But in most of these models, L is actually decreasing over time, cooling the atmosphere-ocean system.  It  is an increase in the net incoming shortwave (S) that appears to be heating the system —  in all but one case.  This qualitative result is common in GCMs.  I have encountered several confusing discussions of this behavior recently, motivating this post."

https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/blog_held/46-how-can-outgoing-longwave-increase-as-co2-increases/

What about all the cities and the activity and lights that light up the night-side like fires.
Is the warming being affected or increased by the night side of the planet, when it should be the cooling side?

And then -

Jovial Monk wrote on May 30^th, 2024 at 4:51pm:


The 52.3C as reported by Aljazeer was at Mungeshpur, so perhaps the NY times was wrong.

"People in northern India are struggling with an unrelenting, weeks-long heatwave, with temperature in India’s capital soaring to a national record-high of 52.3 degrees Celsius (126.1 Fahrenheit), the government’s weather bureau said.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD), which reported “severe heatwave conditions”, recorded the temperature in the New Delhi suburb of Mungeshpur on Wednesday afternoon, smashing the previous national record in the desert of Rajasthan by more than one degree Celsius."

https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2024/5/29/photos-north-india-swelters-as-new-d...


Never let a good crisis go to waste.

And the IMD is still blaming the AWS.

Jovial Monk wrote on Jun 3^rd, 2024 at 7:53am:

So let's see -

Iraq (actually Basra) supposedly recorded 50C in May. On May 31. Actually not.

31 May made 49C.

https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/iraq/basra/historic

Past two weeks. Oh dear.

Monk is a drunk who plays 'spin the bottle' with himself when making predictions.