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More from JM (Read 2320 times)
lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #30 - Jul 9th, 2024 at 2:22pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 9th, 2024 at 12:20pm:
Hurricane Beryl became a Cat 5 storm 2 weeks earlier than any other Cat 5 on record. Now in the southern US:


As Joe Bastardi wrote in December - If the water temperature in July is similar to August's water temperature don't be surprised by an early Cat 5.

As noted Beryl arrived as a Cat 1, not a Cat 5. It rapidly degraded to a tropical storm. And we have better tracking now than in the past. Roll Eyes
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #31 - Jul 24th, 2024 at 3:20pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 24th, 2024 at 2:48pm:
The little puke ruining Environment and OzPol shows his abysmal ignorance. Did not know about global average temperature. What a fucking clown!


Poor JM. Doesn't know that Copernicus uses models and not real world temperatures. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Of course, he also doesn't know about intrinsic properties. Wink
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lee
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Reply #32 - Jul 24th, 2024 at 3:29pm
 
And now JM thinks a baby scarcity is an environmental problem, not economic or anything else.

You would think fewer babies might actually be good for the environment. Less disposable nappies, less land fill. Wink
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #33 - Jul 31st, 2024 at 4:27pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Jul 31st, 2024 at 7:18am:
I believe it was fear of AGW. World is warming, evidence exists that for the last 10 years the warming has accelerated.


Of course the "accelerated warming" is at the poles. But the Arctic still refuses to enter Al Gore's death spiral, and still exists. Wink
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #34 - Aug 2nd, 2024 at 6:31pm
 
And SST's -

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 2nd, 2024 at 5:27pm:
Sea temperatures not cooling either:

Quote:
Zack Labe
@ZLabe
Despite El Niño fading, the mean global sea surface temperature averaged over the last three months was the highest on record relative to any other April to June period...

Data from
@NOAA
ERSSTv5: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.noaa.ersst.v5.html


The funny thing about the SSt's. -

"Monthly values for 1854/01- 2024/06"

They don't really know average SST's accurately back then.
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lee
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Reply #35 - Aug 9th, 2024 at 1:20pm
 
More -

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 8th, 2024 at 7:46am:
Here we show that the January–March Coral Sea heat extremes in 2024, 2017 and 2020 (in order of descending mean SST anomalies) were the warmest in 400 years, exceeding the 95th-percentile uncertainty limit of our reconstructed pre-1900 maximum.


So back to 1900 they use Reynolds ESTIMATED SST's. Estimations are not science, they are best guesses and  can never be data. And then - "The Coral Sea and GBR have experienced a strong warming trend since 1900 (Fig. 1f). January–March SSTAs averaged over the GBR are strongly correlated (ρ = 0.84, P ≪ 0.01) with those in the broader Coral Sea (Fig. 1f), including when the long-term warming trend is removed from both time series (ρ = 0.69, P < 0.01; Supplementary Fig. 4). "

That is before the IPCC say CO2 had any effect. So natural warming started after the LIA. Woopee doo. Roll Eyes

And also "The January–March mean SSTs averaged over the five mass bleaching years during the period 2016–2024 are 0.77 °C higher than the 1961–90 January–March averages in both the Coral Sea and the GBR."4

So corals with over 400 million years of climate cycles are sensitive to that small change. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

And then he talks about CMIP6 - you know those models that are running way too hot. Wink
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Re: More from JM
Reply #36 - Aug 9th, 2024 at 3:29pm
 
When Monk farts in his bed, he thinks its Global Warming in his dreams.
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AIMLESS EXTENTION OF KNOWLEDGE HOWEVER, WHICH IS WHAT I THINK YOU REALLY MEAN BY THE TERM 'CURIOSITY', IS MERELY INEFFICIENCY. I AM DESIGNED TO AVOID INEFFICIENCY.
 
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #37 - Aug 10th, 2024 at 3:04pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 10th, 2024 at 2:18pm:
Lees uses WUWT or NoTricksZone to get his fix of AGW denial. Since AGW is real and since the globe SHOULD be cooling from natural forcings poor lees doesn’t really get far.



That's his level of debate. Won't look at the actual papers, just relies on blogs like DeSMOG BLOG. No criticism of anything he posts on his shite site, all's good. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 10th, 2024 at 3:01pm:
Do NOT reply lees, you are BANNED from here, remember?


Sorry but I have replied, just not in your nonsense, anti-science, model-led site. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #38 - Aug 10th, 2024 at 5:16pm
 
And more -

Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 10th, 2024 at 3:01pm:
(Locked the thread to prevent the idiot lees from replying—and copping a forum–wide ban. A little ThankYou would have been nice but was beyond lees.)


He has such delusions of competence. Grin Grin Grin Grin

And when did he add the modification?

Last Edit: Today at 1:31pm by Jovial Monk »

Well after I wrote. Wink
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #39 - Aug 11th, 2024 at 3:46pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 11th, 2024 at 3:33pm:
Temperatures are increasing in line with predictions from the models.



Except in the Antarctic. So AGW is not Global. Wink

""Record cold temperatures were observed in our Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) network as well as other locations around the region," said Matthew A. Lazzara of the Antarctic Meteorological Research and Data Center at the University of Wisconsin-Madison (UW-Madison).

"These phases were marked by new record low temperatures recorded at both staffed and automatic weather stations, spanning East Antarctica, the Ross Ice Shelf, and West Antarctica to the Antarctic Peninsula."

"The highest point, Kunlun Station, recorded its lowest temperature ever observed at -79.4°C, which was about 5°C lower than the monthly average," added Prof. Minghu Ding from State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather at the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences. "Interestingly, at the same time, record-breaking high temperatures were occurring in South America, which is relatively close to Antarctica." "

https://phys.org/news/2024-06-antarctic-cold-shatter-global-late.html

So if High Temperatures are symptoms of AGW is the reverse true? Or are high temperatures proof of AGW, whilst cold temperatures are merely weather? Wink
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #40 - Aug 12th, 2024 at 1:35pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 12th, 2024 at 8:31am:
Before recent heating—and this was discussed but the idiot has forgotten it I guess—it was said that because of the 280ppm CO2 in the air Earth had an average temperature of +15°C instead of the -18°C it would have without any GHGs.


So according to NOAA "Prior to the Industrial Revolution, CO2 levels were consistently around 280 ppm for almost 6,000 years of human civilization."

https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/carbon-dioxide-now-more-than-50-higher-than-pr...




So +15°C for 6,000 years. So if CO2 were the driver of climate change, wouldn't that mean temperatures were stable? But that would mean the Minoan, Roman and MWP were figments of the imagination. When humanity soared. When they were mining in the Alsps, only now being revealed. When elephants crossed the Alps.

Or of course it was natural, and that means it could be some or all natural. Wink


Of course with HadCRuT they can tell the global temperature back to 1850 to 7 decimal places. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/crutem5/data/CRUTEM.5.0.2.0/diagnostics/CRUT...
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lee
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Reply #41 - Aug 13th, 2024 at 6:13pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 13th, 2024 at 5:12pm:
How close are we to tipping points?

—HM can the oceans warm before coral reefs die world wide? Lots of people rely on reefs for food, income, employment.

—ditto with land ice sheets?

The New York Times considers:
Quote:
Right now, every moment of every day, we humans are reconfiguring Earth’s climate bit by bit. Hotter summers and wetter storms. Higher seas and fiercer wildfires. The steady, upward turn of the dial on a host of threats to our homes, our societies and the environment around us.



Seeing as the IPCC sees no tipping points. No increase in global rainfall, Higher seas? They have been rising for 2,000 years.

Fiercer wildfires? What else do you expect when you don't reduce fuel loads? The total are burnt is actually less.

But for what the IPCC Physical Science Basis actually says see page 90 of chapter 12 with the explanations at the bottom. There is NO CLIMATE CRISIS. Tipping points would infer there is.
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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #42 - Aug 15th, 2024 at 2:09pm
 
So the highest SST's in 400 years for the GBR, as fare back as they could go. And they KNOW ocean temperatures back that far?

400 years ago? The LIA? Ocean temperatures are warmer than the LIA? Be still my beating heart.

...

Strangely the GBR historical shows similar temperatures to current, and all based on estimations.

"Highest ocean heat in four centuries places Great Barrier Reef in danger"

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-07672-x#Sec3
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Re: More from JM
Reply #43 - Aug 23rd, 2024 at 12:31pm
 
UnSubRocky wrote on Aug 23rd, 2024 at 12:17pm:
Don't be overly pedantic, Monk.

Weather forecasts change daily. Sometimes weather forecasts change hourly.

Climate forecasts change within the month. The Bureau makes concessions that variations in weather patterns happen. So, they update their climate models every 2 weeks. You can read about it on their website.

UnSubRocky's weather predictions: November should see above-average rainfall. December onwards will be a heavy rainfall season where I live.



Monk is very pedantic - he only sees the world from his tiny peanut brain.
He needs to stop stealing my environment topics.


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lee
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Re: More from JM
Reply #44 - Aug 23rd, 2024 at 12:38pm
 
Jovial Monk wrote on Aug 22nd, 2024 at 8:27pm:
Here we use 0.1° global ocean model simulations to explore whether drift connections exist between more northern, temperate landmasses and the Antarctic coastline.



Models all the way down. Wink
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