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high price tag for nuclear (Read 5391 times)
John Smith
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #165 - Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:36pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:19pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 6:09pm:
No where in any of that does it say that the jobs will last forever.


Ah, you do semantics. Wink



No  I just call out bullshit. You were the idiot that invented an excuse about jobs not lasting 'forever '. It's not my fault you made it up in an attempt to cover your stupidity.
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #166 - Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:41pm
 
From your wiki link -

Your batteries are listed as less than $200/KWh. Now that's not cheap, and batteries don't last. Neither do solar panels and wind turbines.

Levelized Cost Of Storage - "Regardless of technology, however, storage is but a secondary source of electricity dependent on a primary source of generation. Thus, a true cost accounting demands that the costs of both primary and secondary sources be included when the cost of storage is compared to the cost of generating electricity in real time to meet demand.[citation needed]

A cost factor unique to storage are losses that occur due to inherent inefficiencies of storing electricity, as well as increased CO2 emissions if any component of the primary source is less than 100% carbon-free.[11] In the U.S., a comprehensive 2015 study found that net system CO2 emissions resulting from storage operation are nontrivial when compared to the emissions from electricity generation [in real time to meet demand], ranging from 104 to 407 kg/MWh of delivered energy depending on location, storage operation mode, and assumptions regarding carbon intensity."

Cost Factors "While calculating costs, several internal cost factors have to be considered.[21] Note the use of "costs," which is not the actual selling price, since this can be affected by a variety of factors such as subsidies and taxes: "

https://web.archive.org/web/20220404150706/https://report.ipcc.ch/ar6wg3/pdf/IPC...

So the levelized cost of storage have their own "Non-trivial" CO2 losses. Roll Eyes

Cost factors don't include subsidies. And yet subsidies do affect cost, it simply hides a part of the cost. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Levelized cost of Electricity - "The LCOE "represents the average revenue per unit of electricity generated that would be required to recover the costs of building and operating a generating plant during an assumed financial life and duty cycle", and is calculated as the ratio between all the discounted costs over the lifetime of an electricity generating plant divided by a discounted sum of the actual energy amounts delivered.[3] Inputs to LCOE are chosen by the estimator. They can include the cost of capital, decommissioning, fuel costs, fixed and variable operations and maintenance costs, financing costs, and an assumed utilization rate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Levelized_cost_of_electricity

So once again it depends on ASSUMPTIONS made. Roll Eyes

Maybe you should do some further reading. Wink
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #167 - Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:43pm
 
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:36pm:
I just call out bullshit.


And yet you are the biggest bullschitter here. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin
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John Smith
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #168 - Jul 6th, 2024 at 10:39pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:43pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:36pm:
I just call out bullshit.


And yet you are the biggest bullschitter here. Grin Grin Grin Grin Grin


Don't cry,  just because you got caught lying again.    Grin Grin
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freediver
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #169 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 8:37am
 
lee wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 7:15pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 6:10pm:
It's all in the OP Lee.


It wasn't in the link you provided. Roll Eyes


Yes it is. It's still there in the wikipedia article. Wind with storage is cheaper and going down in price. Same with solar with storage. Nuclear power is the most expensive and is going up in price.
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #170 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 10:58am
 
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 6:10pm:
Gnads wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 5:02pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:10pm:
lee wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:03pm:
You mean like FIFO's? DIDO's? (


we've had a a mining industry to train and draw experience from for centuries. We don't have anyone to draw personnel from  in regards to nuclear



BS ...you're as thick as Booby.


What part is bs exactly? Apart from you pretending to have a clue  that is.


Speaking of who is clueless.

What part of any of the sciences, infrastructure engineering & construction projects wasn't garnered in Australia without OS assistance?

Railways, Sydney Harbour Bridge, Opera House &

the biggest one of all The Snowy Mountains Scheme......overseen by a NZ born engineer Sir William Hudson and it used 100,000 plus migrant workers.

Quote:
Construction of the Snowy Scheme was managed by the Snowy Mountains Hydroelectric Authority. It officially began on 17 October 1949 and took 25 years, being officially completed in 1974.

An agreement between the United States Bureau of Reclamation and Snowy Mountains Hydro to provide technical assistance and training of engineers was agreed between the United States and Australia in Washington, D.C., on 16 November 1951.[10] A loan for $100 million was obtained from the World Bank in 1962.[11]


You're clutching at straws like Booby crapping on we can't build nuclear because we have no one here with experience in the field.

Christ on a bike what seasoned experience would the Argentinians, Armenians, Bangladeshis, Brazilians, Bulgarians, Indians, Iranian, Pakistan, Romania etc had to have built or are building nuclear power stations????????

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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #171 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 11:57am
 
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 8:37am:
Yes it is.


It is in the OP, but not in the link provided yesterday which only goes to the graphic.freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 8:37am:
Wind with storage is cheaper and going down in price. Same with solar with storage.



And with threatened lithium supply... what would be the effect?

Trends do change. Wink
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freediver
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #172 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 2:57pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 11:57am:
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 8:37am:
Yes it is.


It is in the OP, but not in the link provided yesterday which only goes to the graphic.freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 8:37am:
Wind with storage is cheaper and going down in price. Same with solar with storage.



And with threatened lithium supply... what would be the effect?

Trends do change. Wink


What threats? Right now there appears to be an oversupply. There is a good chance some mines will close because the price has crashed.

Do you think renewables are going to suddenly start getting more expensive?
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #173 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 3:48pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 2:57pm:
Right now there appears to be an oversupply. There is a good chance some mines will close because the price has crashed.



There is a greater requirement for more batteries. There is already a forecast of short supply by 2026-27, If mines close that will limit supply further. What do you think that will do to price?

https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LMH24/futures-prices

Look at the later dates.

https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/ev-battery-demand-critical-mineral-outlook-...
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John Smith
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #174 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:06pm
 
Gnads wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 10:58am:
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 6:10pm:
Gnads wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 5:02pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:10pm:
lee wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:03pm:
You mean like FIFO's? DIDO's? (


we've had a a mining industry to train and draw experience from for centuries. We don't have anyone to draw personnel from  in regards to nuclear



BS ...you're as thick as Booby.


What part is bs exactly? Apart from you pretending to have a clue  that is.


Speaking of who is clueless.

What part of any of the sciences, infrastructure engineering & construction projects wasn't garnered in Australia without OS assistance?

Railways, Sydney Harbour Bridge, Opera House &

the biggest one of all The Snowy Mountains Scheme......overseen by a NZ born engineer Sir William Hudson and it used 100,000 plus migrant workers.

Quote:
Construction of the Snowy Scheme was managed by the Snowy Mountains Hydroelectric Authority. It officially began on 17 October 1949 and took 25 years, being officially completed in 1974.

An agreement between the United States Bureau of Reclamation and Snowy Mountains Hydro to provide technical assistance and training of engineers was agreed between the United States and Australia in Washington, D.C., on 16 November 1951.[10] A loan for $100 million was obtained from the World Bank in 1962.[11]


You're clutching at straws like Booby crapping on we can't build nuclear because we have no one here with experience in the field.

Christ on a bike what seasoned experience would the Argentinians, Armenians, Bangladeshis, Brazilians, Bulgarians, Indians, Iranian, Pakistan, Romania etc had to have built or are building nuclear power stations????????



Were not talking about the harbour Bridge dumbarse,  we're talking about the propsed nuclear power plants. The only bs is the crap you spew out almost every time you post..
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I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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freediver
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #175 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:41pm
 
And for the rather childish argument that we have to go nuclear because everyone else is doing it....

Nuclear only accounts for about 10% of the world's electricity production. There is a strong argument that it is only this high because it is being driven by military interest in nuclear technology, rather than purely financial interests.

When it comes to total energy consumption by source, nuclear is down to 4% - and this is using a method that overestimates coal and nuclear's contribution by a factor of 3 relative to renewables, because renewables are measured by electrical energy produced, whereas coal and nuclear are measured by heat energy produced in the power station.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_supply_and_consumption
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #176 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:46pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 3:48pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 2:57pm:
Right now there appears to be an oversupply. There is a good chance some mines will close because the price has crashed.



There is a greater requirement for more batteries. There is already a forecast of short supply by 2026-27, If mines close that will limit supply further. What do you think that will do to price?

https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/LMH24/futures-prices

Look at the later dates.

https://www.supplychaindive.com/news/ev-battery-demand-critical-mineral-outlook-...


No-one knows when or if that undersupply will come. Lithium prices were high 2 years ago and low now, and people assume it will be high again due to inevitable cycles in the market. That is, it is oversupplied now because of the high prices two years ago driving investment, and it "might" be undersupplied in a few years time due to the current low prices discouraging investment. That being said, there is still huge investment happening in ventures that are not profitable at today's prices. If the CCP stops subsidising electric vehicles, we might not see high prices again for a decade.

Bottom line is, you are confusing efforts by investment analysts to forecast both supply and demand of lithium far into the future, with the actual cost of producing lithium, which is entirely different. A market price that is far higher or far lower than the actual cost of production is not sustainable. It will inevitably be temporary.
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Gnads
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #177 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 6:13pm
 
John Smith wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:06pm:
Gnads wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 10:58am:
John Smith wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 6:10pm:
Gnads wrote on Jul 6th, 2024 at 5:02pm:
John Smith wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:10pm:
lee wrote on Jul 4th, 2024 at 3:03pm:
You mean like FIFO's? DIDO's? (


we've had a a mining industry to train and draw experience from for centuries. We don't have anyone to draw personnel from  in regards to nuclear



BS ...you're as thick as Booby.


What part is bs exactly? Apart from you pretending to have a clue  that is.


Speaking of who is clueless.

What part of any of the sciences, infrastructure engineering & construction projects wasn't garnered in Australia without OS assistance?

Railways, Sydney Harbour Bridge, Opera House &

the biggest one of all The Snowy Mountains Scheme......overseen by a NZ born engineer Sir William Hudson and it used 100,000 plus migrant workers.

Quote:
Construction of the Snowy Scheme was managed by the Snowy Mountains Hydroelectric Authority. It officially began on 17 October 1949 and took 25 years, being officially completed in 1974.

An agreement between the United States Bureau of Reclamation and Snowy Mountains Hydro to provide technical assistance and training of engineers was agreed between the United States and Australia in Washington, D.C., on 16 November 1951.[10] A loan for $100 million was obtained from the World Bank in 1962.[11]


You're clutching at straws like Booby crapping on we can't build nuclear because we have no one here with experience in the field.

Christ on a bike what seasoned experience would the Argentinians, Armenians, Bangladeshis, Brazilians, Bulgarians, Indians, Iranian, Pakistan, Romania etc had to have built or are building nuclear power stations????????



Were not talking about the harbour Bridge dumbarse,  we're talking about the propsed nuclear power plants. The only bs is the crap you spew out almost every time you post.. 


No we're not you complete phukwit ... we're talking about not having people with the experience or expertise to build nuclear ....

neither did we in days gone by have experience or expertise in anything much ... but we soon got it and what I posted were examples there of...

so wake the phuk up to your imbecilic self ...

we can get all the help we need to plan, build and supply the man power to build whatever we like ...

history speaks to that.

It doesn't however speak to the bollocks you can conjure out of your arse simply for arguments sake.
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Gnads
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #178 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 6:21pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:41pm:
And for the rather childish argument that we have to go nuclear because everyone else is doing it....

Nuclear only accounts for about 10% of the world's electricity production. There is a strong argument that it is only this high because it is being driven by military interest in nuclear technology, rather than purely financial interests.

When it comes to total energy consumption by source, nuclear is down to 4% - and this is using a method that overestimates coal and nuclear's contribution by a factor of 3 relative to renewables, because renewables are measured by electrical energy produced, whereas coal and nuclear are measured by heat energy produced in the power station.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_supply_and_consumption


It's not childish at all ... it's factual evidence that the technology is a viable & sensible option if this country & the Church of AGW/Climate change buffoons want to make a real difference to our CO2 emissions & reach our net zero emissions
target.

Otherwise you are just renewable dogs barking up the wrong tree & costing the country a fortune whilst lining the pockets of corporate energy companies involved who still have their fingers in the fossil fuel industry.
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #179 - Jul 7th, 2024 at 6:23pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:46pm:
No-one knows when or if that undersupply will come.


Exactly. So much for trend lines. Roll Eyes

freediver wrote on Jul 7th, 2024 at 5:46pm:
If the CCP stops subsidising electric vehicles, we might not see high prices again for a decade.


If the CCP stops subsidising EV's (including Batteries), it will cause higher prices. It is the CCP that caused the lithium price to drop. Roll Eyes

" Rare discounts offered by Chinese battery giant CATL (300750.SZ), opens new tab to automakers have accelerated a plunge in lithium prices, and the market is set to drop a further 25% with supply growth outpacing demand, analysts and traders say."

https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/lithium-price-slide-deepens-china-ba...
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