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high price tag for nuclear (Read 5385 times)
lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #30 - Jun 30th, 2024 at 6:35pm
 
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 5:28pm:
Do you mean life span?



You were the one parroting about "the life cycle cost". Roll Eyes
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #31 - Jun 30th, 2024 at 8:34pm
 
lee wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 6:35pm:
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 5:28pm:
Do you mean life span?



You were the one parroting about "the life cycle cost". Roll Eyes


Yes. That is what is plotted in the graph. It's about 4 times as high for nuclear as it is for renewables. It is going up, while the cost of renewables is going down. If that is what you are asking me for, you should be able to figure out how to read the graph yourself.

Has Peter Dutton given you a price tag?
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #32 - Jun 30th, 2024 at 8:51pm
 
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 8:34pm:
It's about 4 times as high for nuclear as it is for renewables.


How many years did they use for the life cycle of nuclear? You are the one saying it is the most expensive, Or are you just wombling again. Not knowing what you are talking about? Strangely enough the CSIRO report doesn't mention how they calculated the life cycle of nuclear. Just said it was too expensive. Roll Eyes

And as I said 4 hours of battery storage for renewables is not enough.
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #33 - Jun 30th, 2024 at 9:10pm
 
Quote:
You are the one saying it is the most expensive, Or are you just wombling again.


It's right there in the graph. Do you not know how to read it?
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #34 - Jun 30th, 2024 at 9:35pm
 
Lots of very deep mines way out west.... old and vacant now.  The Long Drop.....

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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #35 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 4:13pm
 
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 9:10pm:
It's right there in the graph. Do you not know how to read it?


So you just accept the "expert opinions" without looking at underlying data. You believer you. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Lazard puts renewables as the cheapest...on 4 hours of storage. Wink
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #36 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 4:51pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 4:13pm:
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 9:10pm:
It's right there in the graph. Do you not know how to read it?


So you just accept the "expert opinions" without looking at underlying data. You believer you. Grin Grin Grin Grin

Lazard puts renewables as the cheapest...on 4 hours of storage. Wink


It's not an "opinion". It is what is actually costs - in countries that have actual experience with nuclear power..
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #37 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:02pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 4:51pm:
t's not an "opinion". It is what is actually costs - in countries that have actual experience with nuclear power..



Nope. They may be comparing costs to some extent. But a greenfields site means it is opinion that it will cost more. Comparing to USA, for example, gives the Greenies litigation which costs more. You do understand Green Tape? Roll Eyes
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #38 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:05pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:02pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 4:51pm:
t's not an "opinion". It is what is actually costs - in countries that have actual experience with nuclear power..



Nope. They may be comparing costs to some extent. But a greenfields site means it is opinion that it will cost more. Comparing to USA, for example, gives the Greenies litigation which costs more. You do understand Green Tape? Roll Eyes


You're a bit slow on the uptake Lee. It is not an estimate for greenfields sites. It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #39 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:58pm
 
freediver wrote on Jun 30th, 2024 at 9:10pm:
Quote:
You are the one saying it is the most expensive, Or are you just wombling again.


It's right there in the graph. Do you not know how to read it?



thats hilarious coming from you  Grin Grin
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lee
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #40 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 7:29pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:05pm:
It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.


"The GenCost report notes that some of the challenges in trying to pin down an estimation for Australian nuclear plant costs based on overseas data includes:"

...

"Whilst there is a risk of a FOAK premium for a nuclear build in Australia, the CSIRO has not included it for large-scale nuclear given it has not included a premium for other technologies that are also not yet deployed locally, such as solar thermal or offshore wind."

"The ratio of Australian to South Korean USC plant costs used is 3.0 when all costs are considered in the same currency.  To arrive at the Australian figure of $9,217/kW, the South Korean costs were multiplied by 3.0, inflated and converted from USD in 2018/kW to AUD in 2023/kW. The report notes that new large-scale nuclear costs are significantly lower than those for an SMR."

"As a result of these factors the CSIRO argues “there may be no meaningful comparison that can be made between overseas nuclear electricity prices and the costs that Australia could be presented with in building new nuclear”."

...

"Construction is considered to take 5.8 years based on an assessment by advisory firm Lazard. The CSIRO contends that with the additional legal and safety and security steps needed locally “the first nuclear plant in Australia will be significantly delayed”.

It points to the 15 years considered to be needed for an SMR as an indicator of the time needed. It notes that even in the US with a more developed legislative framework for nuclear, the now cancelled Carbon Free Power Project (an SMR project) would have taken 15 years from its formal launch to reach full operation."

https://www.energycouncil.com.au/analysis/large-scale-nuclear-costs-has-the-csir...


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« Last Edit: Jul 1st, 2024 at 7:37pm by lee »  
 
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #41 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 9:02pm
 
lee wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 7:29pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:05pm:
It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.


"The GenCost report notes that some of the challenges in trying to pin down an estimation for Australian nuclear plant costs based on overseas data includes:"


Correct. Australian costs are going to be much higher. Not just because the price is rapidly rising and they could be 20 years away. But also because we have no local experience.
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #42 - Jul 1st, 2024 at 11:00pm
 
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 9:02pm:
lee wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 7:29pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:05pm:
It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.


"The GenCost report notes that some of the challenges in trying to pin down an estimation for Australian nuclear plant costs based on overseas data includes:"


Correct. Australian costs are going to be much higher. Not just because the price is rapidly rising and they could be 20 years away. But also because we have no local experience.


Australia has signed Nuclear Non Proliferation treaty which means we can get help with nuclear power.

UAE took 7 years to build first nuclear reactor for power 5 years for the next. It's quicker when you ask for help.

$8.6 billion is the cost according to CSIRO.

The Snowy Hydro 2 pumped hydro was supposed to cost $2 billion and be finished in 2021. So far it has cost over $12 billion with finish date around 2028-2029.
Pumped hydro consumes more energy than it produces you will lose 20-40% from efficiency losses.

Did they mention snowy hydro 2 in Gen Cost or leave that out?

It's unlikely anyone would be considering investing in nuclear since it's illegal at present. Did Howard sneak in making it illegal with another bill late one night?
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #43 - Jul 2nd, 2024 at 7:42am
 
Baronvonrort wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 11:00pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 9:02pm:
lee wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 7:29pm:
freediver wrote on Jul 1st, 2024 at 5:05pm:
It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.


"The GenCost report notes that some of the challenges in trying to pin down an estimation for Australian nuclear plant costs based on overseas data includes:"


Correct. Australian costs are going to be much higher. Not just because the price is rapidly rising and they could be 20 years away. But also because we have no local experience.


Australia has signed Nuclear Non Proliferation treaty which means we can get help with nuclear power.


That's wonderful. I'm sure there will be plenty of highly paid people offering their assistance.
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Re: high price tag for nuclear
Reply #44 - Jul 2nd, 2024 at 8:56am
 
chimera wrote on Jun 24th, 2024 at 8:05am:
He probably is meaning to connect the nuke submarines to the grid. When the wind/solar are working OK, the subs will then be available to be a world policeman.



Funny  Grin......but hat actually points out the hypocrisy of this Labor govt.
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