freediver wrote on Jul 1
st, 2024 at 5:05pm:
It is actual cost trends from 2009 to 2022.
"The GenCost report notes that some of the challenges in trying to pin down an
estimation for Australian nuclear plant costs based on overseas data includes:"
...
"Whilst there is a risk of a FOAK premium for a nuclear build in Australia, the CSIRO has not included it for large-scale nuclear given it has not included a premium for other technologies that are also not yet deployed locally, such as solar thermal or offshore wind."
"The ratio of Australian to South Korean USC plant costs used is 3.0 when all costs are considered in the same currency. To arrive at the Australian figure of $9,217/kW,
the South Korean costs were multiplied by 3.0, inflated and converted from USD in 2018/kW to AUD in 2023/kW. The report notes that new large-scale nuclear costs are significantly lower than those for an SMR."
"As a result of these factors the CSIRO argues “there may be no meaningful comparison that can be made between overseas nuclear electricity prices and the costs that Australia could be presented with in building new nuclear”."
...
"Construction is considered to take 5.8 years based on an assessment by advisory firm Lazard. The CSIRO contends that with the additional legal and safety and security steps needed locally “the first nuclear plant in Australia will be significantly delayed”.
It points to the 15 years considered to be needed for an SMR as an indicator of the time needed. It notes that even in the US with a more developed legislative framework for nuclear, the now cancelled Carbon Free Power Project (an SMR project) would have taken 15 years from its formal launch to reach full operation."
https://www.energycouncil.com.au/analysis/large-scale-nuclear-costs-has-the-csir...