Australian Politics Forum - The Keys to the White House

Frank

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #105 - Jul 27^th, 2024 at 8:01pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:52pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:16pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:03pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:01pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 5:16pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 5:15pm:

If Biden is not fit to run ...

He didn't say he's not fit to run.

True.

Nancy, Bazza O'bama, Soros, Big Media said.

Biden had no say in it. He never had a say in anything for 4 years.

So why do you keep blaming him for things like inflation and the border?

I'm curious.

He is a moth eaten sock puppet. 'Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like. He was 'sharp as a tack' until he had to have a camera on him for 90 minutes. Then the jig was up, the emperor-puppet had no clothes and so he was thrown over-board.

He has never been in charge except what ice cream he had. If that. He was managed, coddled, shielded, talked up to a ridiculous extent - until he was unceremoniously defenestrated.
A puppet all along.

So why do you keep blaming him for things like inflation and the border?

Look, moronic creep, look with all your eyes. Look.

It is highlighted for you, moron.

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Frank Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 44187 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #106 - Jul 27^th, 2024 at 8:03pm Quote: Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like
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Karnal

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #107 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 12:01am

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:16pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:03pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 6:01pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 5:16pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 5:15pm:

If Biden is not fit to run ...

He didn't say he's not fit to run.

True.

Nancy, Bazza O'bama, Soros, Big Media said.

Biden had no say in it. He never had a say in anything for 4 years.

So why do you keep blaming him for things like inflation and the border?

I'm curious.

He is a moth eaten sock puppet. 'Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like. He was 'sharp as a tack' until he had to have a camera on him for 90 minutes. Then the jig was up, the emperor-puppet had no clothes and so he was thrown over-board.

He has never been in charge except what ice cream he had. If that. He was managed, coddled, shielded, talked up to a ridiculous extent - until he was unceremoniously defenestrated.
A puppet all along.

All good. Should we include this in your concession speech on November 5?

You can congratulate Karmala on her victory, praise the American people for their decision and offer your thoughts and prayers to the next president of the United States of America.

After that, you can inform everyone that Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like, etc, etc, defenestration, feeling a little sore in the bottom, etc, so unfair.

I mean, we can change a few words around on the night, but are you okay with the gist of that?

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Karnal

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #108 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 12:16am

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 8:03pm:

Quote:

Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like

Good idea. Use it as a quote.

Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, as the late old boy said, “Biden” is a mere road sign. I think we can safely agree that no truer word has been uttered, no? Remember, we were out to win this erection and frankly we did win this erection, if you factor in our loss, rigged, witch hunt, so unfair, etc.

So let me conclude by saying that Karmala is one hell of a gal, even if she is a Mulatto or whatever the polite term for half-breeds is in these enlightened times. Either way, she is now our prez and we congratulate her on her victory.

God bless the USA, ja?

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MeisterEckhart

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #109 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 8:37am

With Lichtman's tentative prediction leaning toward a Harris win by 8-5, 2 keys (currently likely losses) could convert to wins:

Key 10 - No foreign or military failure - which could convert to a win with a ceasefire deal in Gaza

and

Key 11 - Major foreign or military success - which could also convert to a win with a ceasefire deal in Gaza or a major breakthrough in the status of the Ukraine war in US foreign policy favour.

On the other side of the ledger, key 4 (no 3rd party candidate) and key 8 (no social unrest) although unlikely, could convert to losses.

Key 4 would require RFK jr to poll at 10% or more (currently highly unlikely)

and

Key 8 - if the pro-Palestinian protests reach the level of Vietnam or BLM - currently unlikely.

The border issue currently does not figure as an issue that will have any effect on turning any key either way.

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Frank

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #110 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm

Karnal wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 12:16am:

Frank wrote on Jul 27^th, 2024 at 8:03pm:

Quote:

Biden' is a mere road sign, a shorthand label for the deep state, the establishment, the Uniparty, elder abuse, call it what you like

Good idea. Use it as a quote.

Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, as the late old boy said, “Biden” is a mere road sign. I think we can safely agree that no truer word has been uttered, no? Remember, we were out to win this erection and frankly we did win this erection, if you factor in our loss, rigged, witch hunt, so unfair, etc.

So let me conclude by saying that Karmala is one hell of a gal, even if she is a Mulatto or whatever the polite term for half-breeds is in these enlightened times. Either way, she is now our prez and we congratulate her on her victory.

God bless the USA, ja?

Kackela has been the Liar-in-Chief.

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins—is because of a lie. The reason the Democrats are going to scramble to whip a majority of their 3,936 delegates into line behind Vice President Kamala Harris—the reason the most basic elements of the Democratic (and democratic) process are being so dramatically challenged—is because of the lie that everyone around Joe Biden told themselves and then told the public.

By now, there is no denying that that’s exactly what happened.

Once the reality of Biden’s deteriorating condition became plain on that CNN debate stage, the question was only who was going to admit what they knew and when.
...

Now we are faced with the fact the very same people who last month insisted that Biden was at the top of his game have now shoved him into some Delaware basement and are sporting “Harris ’24” sweatshirts. How are we supposed to believe anything they say?

https://www.thefp.com/p/bari-weiss-the-era-of-the-noble-lie

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Frank Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 44187 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #111 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:46pm MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 8:37am: . The border issue currently does not figure as an issue that will have any effect on turning any key either way. Which doesn't mean that it is not a huge, even decisive issue for this election. It is unprecedented, that's why the 13 points have no angle on it.
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greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136150 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #112 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm: The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ... ... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention. Jesus, you're bad at this
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John Smith

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #113 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:07pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm:

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ...

... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention.

Jesus, you're bad at this Roll Eyes

I don't know how he can be such a cheerleader for the American elections, and yet at the same time be so clueless as to how they work. Cheesy

Surely he doesn't just rely on bitchute for his information? Shocked

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Our esteemed leader:
I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.

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greggerypeccary

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #114 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:16pm

John Smith wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:07pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm:

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ...

... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention.

Jesus, you're bad at this Roll Eyes

I don't know how he can be such a cheerleader for the American elections, and yet at the same time be so clueless as to how they work. Cheesy

Surely he doesn't just rely on bitchute for his information? Shocked

It's astounding how ignorant some of these people are.

The nominees are chosen at the party conventions.

The GOP had their convention a couple of weeks ago, and they subsequently chose their nominee.

The Democrats haven't had their convention yet, so obviously they haven't chosen their nominee yet.

This is basic stuff. I don't know why it's so difficult for some people to understand.

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Frank

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #115 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:33pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm:

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ...

... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention.

Jesus, you're bad at this Roll Eyes

No. Biden was the nominee, had all the delegates. Agreed to two debates, showed up for the first, chickened out of the second.

They lied about him shamelessly, led by Krackela, until they no longer could get away with the lie.

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins—is because of a lie. The reason the Democrats are going to scramble to whip a majority of their 3,936 delegates into line behind Vice President Kamala Harris—the reason the most basic elements of the Democratic (and democratic) process are being so dramatically challenged—is because of the lie that everyone around Joe Biden told themselves and then told the public.

By now, there is no denying that that’s exactly what happened.

Once the reality of Biden’s deteriorating condition became plain on that CNN debate stage, the question was only who was going to admit what they knew and when.
...

Now we are faced with the fact the very same people who last month insisted that Biden was at the top of his game have now shoved him into some Delaware basement and are sporting “Harris ’24” sweatshirts. How are we supposed to believe anything they say?

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greggerypeccary

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #116 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:39pm

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:33pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm:

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ...

... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention.

Jesus, you're bad at this Roll Eyes

No. Biden was the nominee, ...

Nope.

The nominee isn't chosen until August.

Joe was the presumptive nominee, but that's no guarantee of being the actual candidate.

Similarly, Kamala isn't the nominee yet - she's the presumptive nominee.

She still has to face a vote at the convention.

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MeisterEckhart

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #117 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:44pm

Lichtman’s keys have been retroactively and forward predictive through every US social and political trauma since 1860.

When it comes to the border issue… this has been a thing since the border states were taken from Mexico and Spain in the 19th century. It’s not for no reason that so many cities’ and regions’ names in the area are in Spanish!

For 150 years, southern border crossings bothered virtually no one.

What has turned the issue seriously bad is the US obsession with cocaine and the resultant interest in South American cartels controlling the border regions, combined with much of South America’s countries destabilised by decades of US involvement in crushing socialist movements and installing, then supporting, psychopathic dictatorships.

Every Yank knows this - it’s a problem created by Yanks.

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MeisterEckhart

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Re: The Keys to the White Ho
Reply #118 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:49pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:39pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:33pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:58pm:

Frank wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 1:43pm:

The reason there is no Democratic presidential nominee right now—27 days before the party’s convention in Chicago begins ...

... is because the Democratic nominee isn't chosen until the party's Convention.

Jesus, you're bad at this Roll Eyes

No. Biden was the nominee, ...

Nope.

The nominee isn't chosen until August.

Joe was the presumptive nominee, but that's no guarantee of being the actual candidate.

Similarly, Kamala isn't the nominee yet - she's the presumptive nominee.

She still has to face a vote at the convention.

That’s correct.

Biden and the Democrats are aware of Lichtman’s keys and are ensuring they keep the ‘no contest key’ by their unprecedented support of Harris such that her formal nomination in August is, well… merely a formality; as Biden’s would have been had he not bowed out due to old age.

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Frank

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Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #119 - Jul 28^th, 2024 at 3:52pm

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 28^th, 2024 at 2:44pm:

Lichtman’s keys have been retroactively and forward predictive through every US social and political trauma since 1860.

When it comes to the border issue… this has been a thing since the border states were taken from Mexico and Spain in the 19th century. It’s not for no reason that so many cities’ and regions’ names in the area are in Spanish!

For 150 years, southern border crossings bothered virtually no one.

What has turned the issue seriously bad is the US obsession with cocaine and the resultant interest in South American cartels controlling the border regions, combined with much of South America’s countries destabilised by decades of US involvement in crushing socialist movements and installing, then supporting, psychopathic dictatorships.

Every Yank knows this - it’s a problem created by Yanks.

The demographic transformation of the US and much of the Western world by barely controlled third world immigration is unprecedented.

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