Australian Politics Forum - The Keys to the White House

Sprintcyclist

Gold Member

Offline

OzPolitic

Posts: 40679
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #195 - Aug 24^th, 2024 at 12:16pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Aug 24^th, 2024 at 10:38am:

Seven swing states set to decide the 2024 US election

[url]https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/1024/cpsprodpb/31c0/live/fae22510-614f-
11ef-b970-9f202720b57a.png[/url]

Harris is ahead in 6 of the 7

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina...

Back to top

Modern Classic Right Wing

IP Logged

MeisterEckhart Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 11723 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #196 - Sep 6^th, 2024 at 10:05am So Lichtman has called it for Harris. He will expand on his prediction on his show in one hour. He was under contract to the New York Times to give them the first public release of his prediction for the 2024 race. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xE22XjWEyQE
Back to top	« Last Edit: Sep 6^th, 2024 at 10:29am by MeisterEckhart » IP Logged

greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136337 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #197 - Sep 6^th, 2024 at 10:37am Let's hope for everyone's sake that he's right. If Harris wins, the MAGA cult will go crazy and sadly many people will die. This is just a fact, but I wish it wasn't. However, the alternative is just unthinkable.
Back to top	IP Logged

MeisterEckhart

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 11723
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #198 - Sep 6^th, 2024 at 11:41am

Lichtman's final call:

9-4 in favour of Harris.

The Gaza issue turned key 10 - No foreign or military failure - to FALSE

Biden's support of Ukraine turned key 11 - Major foreign or military success - to TRUE.

However, even if keys 10 and 11 both turned FALSE, Harris would still be the predicted winner as the incumbent party, (the Democrats), has secured 8 of the 13 keys - i.e. lost fewer than 6 keys.

Back to top

IP Logged

greggerypeccary Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 136337 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #199 - Sep 29^th, 2024 at 2:21pm
Back to top	IP Logged

Frank

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 44366
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #200 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

Back to top

Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.

IP Logged

Frank Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 44366 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #201 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm greggerypeccary wrote on Sep 29^th, 2024 at 2:21pm: This mong of yours is as big a tendentious ijit as you, gweggy turd.
Back to top	Estragon: I can’t go on like this. Vladimir: That’s what you think. IP Logged

greggerypeccary

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 136337
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #202 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

Back to top

IP Logged

Frank

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 44366
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #203 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:37pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

You have ZERO credibility, lying creep.

Back to top

Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.

IP Logged

greggerypeccary

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 136337
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #204 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:51pm

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:37pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

You have ZERO credibility, lying creep.

I've just been proven correct about his system.

You, however, have made a fool of yourself by claiming that Trump won by rigging the election.

What evidence do you have to back up your claim?

I'm curious.

Back to top

IP Logged

Frank

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 44366
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #205 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:56pm

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:51pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:37pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

You have ZERO credibility, lying creep.

I've just been proven correct about his system.

You, however, have made a fool of yourself by claiming that Trump won by rigging the election.

What evidence do you have to back up your claim?

I'm curious.

You are lying, of course, despicable liar. Distorting, misquoting, misrepresenting, lying.

You cannot do otherwise.

Back to top

Estragon: I can’t go on like this.
Vladimir: That’s what you think.

IP Logged

Karnal

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 95203
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #206 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 8:05pm

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:56pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:51pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:37pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

You have ZERO credibility, lying creep.

I've just been proven correct about his system.

You, however, have made a fool of yourself by claiming that Trump won by rigging the election.

What evidence do you have to back up your claim?

I'm curious.

You are lying, of course, despicable liar. Distorting, misquoting, misrepresenting, lying.

You cannot do otherwise.

Nonsense. It's all RIGGED.

Dominion, Smartmatic, Hugo Chavez, the lot. Total false flag.

How do we know?

You said.

Back to top

IP Logged

greggerypeccary

Gold Member

Offline

Australian Politics

Posts: 136337
Gender: male

Re: The Keys to the White House
Reply #207 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 8:13pm

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:56pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:51pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:37pm:

greggerypeccary wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:35pm:

Frank wrote on Nov 6^th, 2024 at 7:32pm:

MeisterEckhart wrote on Jul 6^th, 2024 at 11:10am:

US historian Allan Lichtman's 13 true/false statements have successfully predicted every presidential election bar one since 1984.

The one he got wrong was Al Gore - which, given the circumstances, he gets a pass on.

The Keys to the White House is a checklist of thirteen true/false statements that pertain to the circumstances surrounding a presidential election. If five or fewer of the statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

To date, Lichtman has Biden at 7 of the 8 points needed to win, with the possibility of another 2.

Lichtman gives his final assessment in August of an election year.

Proved to be a load of bollockses. Thirteen bollockses.

As I said the other day, it's a good system but he oversells it a bit.

You have ZERO credibility, lying creep.

I've just been proven correct about his system.

You, however, have made a fool of yourself by claiming that Trump won by rigging the election.

What evidence do you have to back up your claim?

I'm curious.

You are lying, of course, ...

Not at all.

You said the election was rigged.

Your exact words were "Of course it's rigged. Everyone knows it's rigged."

Back to top

IP Logged

Frank Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 44366 Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #208 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 9:58pm Biden concedes https://x.com/saras76/status/1854068685930991952 Trump has beaten more women than Doug Emhoff -
Back to top	« Last Edit: Nov 6^th, 2024 at 10:04pm by Frank » Estragon: I can’t go on like this. Vladimir: That’s what you think. IP Logged

Bobby. Gold Member Offline Australian Politics Posts: 102827 Melbourne Gender:	Re: The Keys to the White House Reply #209 - Nov 6^th, 2024 at 10:00pm Trump has won the trifecta: the Presidency, the Senate & the House. https://edition.cnn.com/ May Q help Trump to start the vengeance.
Back to top	IP Logged