goosecat wrote on Sep 11
th, 2024 at 5:54pm:
thegreatdivide wrote on Sep 11
th, 2024 at 4:34pm:
goosecat wrote on Sep 10
th, 2024 at 11:49pm:
John Smith wrote on Sep 10
th, 2024 at 6:50pm:
goosecat wrote on Sep 9
th, 2024 at 8:45pm:
The reality is; these are the current tools we have and they wont/cant be suddenly changed no matter what your view. The RBA is doing exactly as it should.
The RBA needs to update it's tools. Raising interest rates puts more money in the economy for those with the most disposable income (self funded retirees). The only ones that tighten their belts are those with the least disposable income.
There are approx. 1.9m self funded retirees handed extra money to spend every time rates are increased. Thats a lot of extra money in an economy they are trying to slow down.
The changing age percentage of populace and reliance on interest earning vehicles does have an impact and is calculated into models.
We are not at a stage where it has become counter productive in the existing inflation/interest rate duality.
But we are at the stage where 2/3rds of the population who have mortgages or who are renters are expected to be cannon fodder for inflation control - a sick, dysfunctional system.
Deplorable.
Mortgagors, renters, the homeless, the poor etc etc, have always been most affected by supply and demand issues throughout all human existence, under every different economic system tried.
From a google article on inflation in the Soviet command economy:
"The Soviet system of price controls prevented inflation, but it also created persistent shortages of food and consumer goods".There's a clue to a functional economic system: if a nation can create
sufficient productive capacity (or even excess capacity , as in China which is now experiencing deflation), then price controls on essential goods and services will be a superior method of inflation cotrol.
Obsolete mainstream economic orthodoxy is accusing China of "overcapacity", which is nonsense; "overcapacity" means prices can fall, enabling living standards to rise, without inflation.
Unfortunately, China hasn't woken up yet that it's Treasury can subsidize Chinese consumption by low wage earners, to increase effective local demand while the West is trying to lock China out of its (US and EU) markets because the West can't compete eg in EVs and PVs.
Today Bernie Fraser (former RBA governor) has said the RBA is causing too much distress with its interest rate policy.
He's correct, but he didn't say what the RBA SHOULD be doing.
Such is the consequence of following flat-earth, obsolete mainstream neoclassical economics as some sort of
unchangeable law of nature, like gravity.