Nate Silver and his website FiveThirtyEight did not predict a Donald Trump victory in the 2016 U.S. presidential election, but they were among the more cautious forecasters, giving Trump a better chance than many other outlets.

What Nate Silver Predicted:
In the final forecast before Election Day, FiveThirtyEight gave Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning and Donald Trump a 29% chance.

Other major models, like The New York Times Upshot, gave Clinton a higher chance of winning (around 85%-90%).

Silver's Caution:
Silver emphasized the uncertainty of the race and warned that Trump still had a meaningful