SadKangaroo wrote on Nov 5
th, 2024 at 1:47pm:
My election day predications:
I'm expecting members of MAGA to intimidate voters in areas that would generally vote blue.
I'm expecting members of MAGA to demand access to tallying rooms for which they have no right to be in there, using that refused entry as "proof" of cheating.
I'm expecting, sadly, some members of MAGA to end up killing their opponents or being killed by police or security because of it.
And I'm expecting Harris to win a clear victory once all the votes are counted, which includes postal votes.
This may not happen on election day, and given where the red states are geographically, it will look like Trump is "winning" early on given they'll report their counts sooner, so once the final tally is in, and he's lost, that early "lead" (which again, it's not a horse race so it doesn't work like that), will be used as "proof" the Dems cheated.
I would LOVE to be wrong, but that seems like what will happen given the pulse online, and past elections involving Trump.
How about everyone else?
Yes, would agree with most of that with one exception.
Trump will want to declare an early victory for sure. However, more republicans have voted early this time. Which could prevent trumps planned winner claim, for two reasons, 1st those republican votes wont be among the first votes counted . 2nd early exit polls had registered republicans voting for Harris at almost 10% in nearly all early voting states.
These republicans for Harris votes will skew the numbers that trump needs to claim an early victory.
My prediction
Harris 52 to a possible 54 %
Trump dropping from his 47% to maybe as low as 44%.
Democrats may win the house, it only needs 4 seats to change hands.
Dems may also pick up 2 extra senate seats.
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