aquascoot wrote on Nov 11
th, 2024 at 5:04am:
everyone is "over thinking" this tarriff stuff
ita all about the vibe
telling people that china is going to find it tougher to sell into the USA will encourage millions of americans who were wamking in their mummys basements to
"have a crack" at starting a business
and some will succeed
you get to be negative and a pessimist or you get to be rich
you dont get both
the figures and details mean nothing
and trump knows it
the market is moved by pyschology, not mathematics
This is more than a simple vibe; it's a consequential action-reaction chain.
In the short term, markets may remain stable. But if markets are all you’re focused on, you've only reinforced the arguments of those who criticise such narrow priorities.
Trump, driven by his indebtedness to donors, cares foremost about market optics. It's the indicator he kept pointing to throughout his whole first term, even as things were down the drain thanks to COVID. He doesn't really care about the actual situation on the ground for his MAGA faithful. Yet, those who elected him hoped for relief from rising living costs and economic strain.
Attempting to appease markets while executing his voter-driven agenda will ultimately come at the people's expense. The cost of living will only worsen, particularly for the very demographics that form the backbone of Trump's support. This is not what they voted for, they didn’t vote for inflated prices on goods with imported components, which includes almost everything from electronics to essentials.
They didn't vote for tax cuts for the rich and corporations, only to have to pay for it themselves via tariffs.
It’s time to stop downplaying the risks of Trump’s reckless economic plan. The simplistic assertion that "China will pay the tariffs" is unfounded; they won’t. And the idea that "tariffs will bring back manufacturing" ignores the immediate cost burdens this imposes. Reviving manufacturing through tariffs alone, without first rebuilding the domestic industry, will only make goods exorbitantly expensive. The smarter approach would involve rebuilding local manufacturing first, then protecting it with tariffs as it matures and modernises—thereby gradually enhancing efficiency and reducing the need for protectionism.
Trump’s plans have far-reaching consequences, some of which will inevitably affect us here in Australia. As our Treasury Department examines the potential fallout, the Treasurer is set to address these concerns tonight.
This is no longer a case of manipulating Truth Social stock; Trump is wielding influence over the world’s largest economy and a currency integral to global stability. The power of the U.S. economy lies in its predictability and stability, qualities Trump fundamentally lacks.