Leroy wrote on Dec 5
th, 2024 at 11:32am:
Same again, tariffs are good unless Trump wants tariffs then they are stupid.
No, 45's tariffs, as currently understood, are profoundly misguided. They fail to target industries where the United States possesses a domestic sector under siege by cheap imports, industries ostensibly in need of protection. The rationale behind tariffs is to render imports more expensive, thereby incentivising consumers to purchase locally produced goods. This, in turn, supports domestic industries, safeguards jobs, and fosters economic growth.
An alternative approach would be to subsidise those industries, providing them with the breathing room to enhance efficiency and achieve competitiveness without ongoing government intervention. However, this strategy requires public funding, and for 45's faction, anything resembling such "socialist" measures, unless it pertains to defence contractors, is kryptonite.
Instead, 45’s tariffs are being indiscriminately applied to all imports, including sectors where no domestic alternative exists. The result? Higher prices for consumers with no corresponding benefit to local industries, many of which are either non-existent or uncompetitive.
Stupid.
There are pathways to implement tariffs intelligently, without wreaking havoc on the economy. First, target tariffs towards industries with established domestic production, offering consumers viable local options. Second, utilise revenue from these tariffs to subsidise and expand emerging sectors, enabling them to compete with imports. Once these industries can meet a substantial share of domestic demand, extend tariffs to their competitors, allowing consumers the choice of paying the tariff or buying locally.
Of course, even this cursory strategy ignores the complexity of supply-chain dynamics and the compounding impact of tariffs on imported components. But such nuance is irrelevant in 45’s plan, which is as economically illiterate as his promise to build a border wall and make Mexico pay for it.
He claims these blanket tariffs will apply to Canada, Mexico, and China, with China bearing even steeper levies that, according to him, “they” will pay, not the American consumer.
The revenues, he asserts, will fund further tax cuts, predictably skewed to benefit the wealthiest. In reality, ordinary Americans, including those who voted for him, will shoulder the financial burden amid a cost-of-living crisis, without access to affordable domestic alternatives to mitigate the impact of these tariffs.
When prices soar, people will inevitably turn against 45. If he’s shrewd, he’ll exploit the backlash to argue for drastic deregulation, ostensibly to “rebuild” domestic industries. In practice, this would entail gutting workers’ rights, slashing wages, and dismantling environmental protections, all of which elevate the costs of local manufacturing.
At best, 45’s tariff scheme would yield a more polluted America with stagnant wages and higher consumer prices. At worst, it risks spiralling inflation, elevated interest rates, and a catastrophic recession that could leave the nation’s economy in tatters.
OR, you could just say Trump will put a tax on China, vote for him and walk willingly off a cliff.
Tragically, we’ve already seen how that choice played out. More alarming still are his prospective cabinet picks, handpicked sycophants and yes-men poised to ensure there are no guardrails this time, only blind obedience to his most destructive impulses.
That is why Trump's tariffs are stupid, not simply because it's Trump doing it.