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Trump and tariffs (Read 3597 times)
greggerypeccary
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #135 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:36am
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:20am:
Frank wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:14am:
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:08am:
If Trump’s tariffs start a trade war, it would be an economic disaster

There is general agreement in the economic research on the effects of Trump’s trade and tariff wars in his first term as president, in which he placed tariffs on about $380bn of US imports. The overall impact on living standards for US workers and most Americans is found to be negative, with the cost of the tariffs being absorbed by US consumers. Employment overall did not increase, and may have fallen due to the negative impact of retaliatory tariffs.

The economic research looking at the expected impacts of tariffs that Trump has talked about going forward also finds the impact on the US economy to be negative. And there is potential for much more damage if other countries respond with more retaliatory tariffs than they did in 2018-2020.



So why did Biden impose tariffs on China, then?

Please explain. Feel free to call a friend, like Prattleman.



Tariffs aren't inherently bad, old boy.

Biden's tariffs were carefully targeted at strategic sectors. Good.

The rapist is proposing a blanket ban. Bad.




Biden is an expert when it comes to tariffs.

Trump, on the other hand, doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them.

"Today’s actions to counter China’s unfair trade practices are carefully targeted at strategic sectors—the same sectors where the United States is making historic investments under President Biden to create and sustain good-paying jobs—unlike recent proposals by Congressional Republicans that would threaten jobs and raise costs across the board. The previous administration’s trade deal with China failed to increase American exports or boost American manufacturing as it had promised. Under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, nearly 800,000 manufacturing jobs have been created and new factory construction has doubled after both fell under the previous administration, and the trade deficit with China is the lowest in a decade—lower than any year under the last administration."
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Leroy
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #136 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:02pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:36am:
on the other hand, doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them.

"Today’s —the same sectors where the United States is making historic investments under President Biden to create and sustain good-paying jobs—unlike recent proposals by Congressional Republicans that would threaten jobs and raise costs across the board. The previous administration’s trade deal with China  to increase American exports or boost American manufacturing as it had promised. Under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, nearly 800,000 manufacturing jobs have been created and new factory construction has doubled after both fell under the previous administration, and the trade deficit with China is the lowest in a decade—lower than any year under the last administration."


You do know this is not a fact sheet but a advertisement for the democrats, just like Biden says no one is above the law and he will abide by the jury's decision.

It all falls flat when you look at the actual numbers. In 2019 there were 15mil+ jobs in the manufacturing industry and now there is less than 15mil.

You have swallowed more democrat lies without even knowing.
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #137 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:10pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:02pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:36am:
on the other hand, doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them.

"Today’s —the same sectors where the United States is making historic investments under President Biden to create and sustain good-paying jobs—unlike recent proposals by Congressional Republicans that would threaten jobs and raise costs across the board. The previous administration’s trade deal with China  to increase American exports or boost American manufacturing as it had promised. Under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, nearly 800,000 manufacturing jobs have been created and new factory construction has doubled after both fell under the previous administration, and the trade deficit with China is the lowest in a decade—lower than any year under the last administration."


You do know ...



... that Biden is an expert when it comes to tariffs and Trump doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them?

Yes, I do know that.
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John Smith
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #138 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 1:27pm
 
Frank wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 6:08pm:
John Smith wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:53pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:48pm:
John Smith wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:40pm:
What he doesn't know is if YOU know how to look them up Cheesy


That is of no concern to me, however why the attention, have you some rules that I need to adhere to.


Rule? It's standard practice that when you make a claim, you support it with evidence. At least it is if you want to be taken seriously.





Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
Which is why nobody has ever taken you seriously, thicko as mince-o.




thats exactly what you are sore end, a nobody Grin Grin
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I hope that bitch who was running their brothels for them gets raped with a cactus.
 
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John Smith
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #139 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 1:28pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 7:00pm:
John Smith wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:53pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:48pm:
John Smith wrote on Dec 4th, 2024 at 5:40pm:
What he doesn't know is if YOU know how to look them up Cheesy


That is of no concern to me, however why the attention, have you some rules that I need to adhere to.


Rule? It's standard practice that when you make a claim, you support it with evidence. At least it is if you want to be taken seriously.

Your reluctance to provide any indicates that you most likely made it up.






Settle John, don't take me serious, I promise I'll get over it.

I seriously don't care if you think I made it up.



Rest assured, I definitely do not take you seriously.
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Our esteemed leader:
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greggerypeccary
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #140 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 1:31pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:02pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:36am:
on the other hand, doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them.

"Today’s —the same sectors where the United States is making historic investments under President Biden to create and sustain good-paying jobs—unlike recent proposals by Congressional Republicans that would threaten jobs and raise costs across the board. The previous administration’s trade deal with China  to increase American exports or boost American manufacturing as it had promised. Under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, nearly 800,000 manufacturing jobs have been created and new factory construction has doubled after both fell under the previous administration, and the trade deficit with China is the lowest in a decade—lower than any year under the last administration."


... It all falls flat when you look at the actual numbers. ...



Okay, let's look at the numbers.

Since President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris took office in January 2021, more than 775,000 manufacturing jobs have been added to the economy. The growth is expected to continue, with the Biden-Harris Inflation Reduction Act, Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, and CHIPS and Science Act estimated to create 336,000 manufacturing jobs a year until 2035.

In contrast, more than 200,000 manufacturing jobs were lost during former President Donald Trump’s single term. Even before the COVID-19 pandemic manufacturing job growth had all but plateaued under the Trump administration.
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #141 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 1:38pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:32am:
Same again, tariffs are good unless Trump wants tariffs then they are stupid.


No, 45's tariffs, as currently understood, are profoundly misguided. They fail to target industries where the United States possesses a domestic sector under siege by cheap imports, industries ostensibly in need of protection. The rationale behind tariffs is to render imports more expensive, thereby incentivising consumers to purchase locally produced goods. This, in turn, supports domestic industries, safeguards jobs, and fosters economic growth.

An alternative approach would be to subsidise those industries, providing them with the breathing room to enhance efficiency and achieve competitiveness without ongoing government intervention. However, this strategy requires public funding, and for 45's faction, anything resembling such "socialist" measures, unless it pertains to defence contractors, is kryptonite.

Instead, 45’s tariffs are being indiscriminately applied to all imports, including sectors where no domestic alternative exists. The result? Higher prices for consumers with no corresponding benefit to local industries, many of which are either non-existent or uncompetitive.

Stupid.

There are pathways to implement tariffs intelligently, without wreaking havoc on the economy. First, target tariffs towards industries with established domestic production, offering consumers viable local options. Second, utilise revenue from these tariffs to subsidise and expand emerging sectors, enabling them to compete with imports. Once these industries can meet a substantial share of domestic demand, extend tariffs to their competitors, allowing consumers the choice of paying the tariff or buying locally.

Of course, even this cursory strategy ignores the complexity of supply-chain dynamics and the compounding impact of tariffs on imported components. But such nuance is irrelevant in 45’s plan, which is as economically illiterate as his promise to build a border wall and make Mexico pay for it.

He claims these blanket tariffs will apply to Canada, Mexico, and China, with China bearing even steeper levies that, according to him, “they” will pay, not the American consumer.

...

The revenues, he asserts, will fund further tax cuts, predictably skewed to benefit the wealthiest. In reality, ordinary Americans, including those who voted for him, will shoulder the financial burden amid a cost-of-living crisis, without access to affordable domestic alternatives to mitigate the impact of these tariffs.

When prices soar, people will inevitably turn against 45. If he’s shrewd, he’ll exploit the backlash to argue for drastic deregulation, ostensibly to “rebuild” domestic industries. In practice, this would entail gutting workers’ rights, slashing wages, and dismantling environmental protections, all of which elevate the costs of local manufacturing.

At best, 45’s tariff scheme would yield a more polluted America with stagnant wages and higher consumer prices. At worst, it risks spiralling inflation, elevated interest rates, and a catastrophic recession that could leave the nation’s economy in tatters.

OR, you could just say Trump will put a tax on China, vote for him and walk willingly off a cliff.

Tragically, we’ve already seen how that choice played out. More alarming still are his prospective cabinet picks, handpicked sycophants and yes-men poised to ensure there are no guardrails this time, only blind obedience to his most destructive impulses.

That is why Trump's tariffs are stupid, not simply because it's Trump doing it.
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Frank
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #142 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:01pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:10pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 12:02pm:
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:36am:
on the other hand, doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them.

"Today’s —the same sectors where the United States is making historic investments under President Biden to create and sustain good-paying jobs—unlike recent proposals by Congressional Republicans that would threaten jobs and raise costs across the board. The previous administration’s trade deal with China  to increase American exports or boost American manufacturing as it had promised. Under President Biden’s Investing in America agenda, nearly 800,000 manufacturing jobs have been created and new factory construction has doubled after both fell under the previous administration, and the trade deficit with China is the lowest in a decade—lower than any year under the last administration."


You do know ...



... that Biden is an expert when it comes to tariffs and Trump doesn't even know how they work and thus has no idea how to apply them?

Yes, I do know that.



It is a sure sign of dishonest idiots like you, creepy groggy, to delete the second clause of a sentence, splice something else to it and then triumphantly grin at your own supposed cleverness.

This way you also avoid addressing the actual point that was made. Bbwianesque.
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #143 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:02pm
 
SadKangaroo wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 1:38pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 11:32am:
Same again, tariffs are good unless Trump wants tariffs then they are stupid.


No, 45's tariffs, as currently understood, are profoundly misguided. They fail to target industries where the United States possesses a domestic sector under siege by cheap imports, industries ostensibly in need of protection. The rationale behind tariffs is to render imports more expensive, thereby incentivising consumers to purchase locally produced goods. This, in turn, supports domestic industries, safeguards jobs, and fosters economic growth.

An alternative approach would be to subsidise those industries, providing them with the breathing room to enhance efficiency and achieve competitiveness without ongoing government intervention. However, this strategy requires public funding, and for 45's faction, anything resembling such "socialist" measures, unless it pertains to defence contractors, is kryptonite.

Instead, 45’s tariffs are being indiscriminately applied to all imports, including sectors where no domestic alternative exists. The result? Higher prices for consumers with no corresponding benefit to local industries, many of which are either non-existent or uncompetitive.

Stupid.

There are pathways to implement tariffs intelligently, without wreaking havoc on the economy. First, target tariffs towards industries with established domestic production, offering consumers viable local options. Second, utilise revenue from these tariffs to subsidise and expand emerging sectors, enabling them to compete with imports. Once these industries can meet a substantial share of domestic demand, extend tariffs to their competitors, allowing consumers the choice of paying the tariff or buying locally.

Of course, even this cursory strategy ignores the complexity of supply-chain dynamics and the compounding impact of tariffs on imported components. But such nuance is irrelevant in 45’s plan, which is as economically illiterate as his promise to build a border wall and make Mexico pay for it.

He claims these blanket tariffs will apply to Canada, Mexico, and China, with China bearing even steeper levies that, according to him, “they” will pay, not the American consumer.



The revenues, he asserts, will fund further tax cuts, predictably skewed to benefit the wealthiest. In reality, ordinary Americans, including those who voted for him, will shoulder the financial burden amid a cost-of-living crisis, without access to affordable domestic alternatives to mitigate the impact of these tariffs.

When prices soar, people will inevitably turn against 45. If he’s shrewd, he’ll exploit the backlash to argue for drastic deregulation, ostensibly to “rebuild” domestic industries. In practice, this would entail gutting workers’ rights, slashing wages, and dismantling environmental protections, all of which elevate the costs of local manufacturing.

At best, 45’s tariff scheme would yield a more polluted America with stagnant wages and higher consumer prices. At worst, it risks spiralling inflation, elevated interest rates, and a catastrophic recession that could leave the nation’s economy in tatters.

OR, you could just say Trump will put a tax on China, vote for him and walk willingly off a cliff.

Tragically, we’ve already seen how that choice played out. More alarming still are his prospective cabinet picks, handpicked sycophants and yes-men poised to ensure there are no guardrails this time, only blind obedience to his most destructive impulses.

That is why Trump's tariffs are stupid, not simply because it's Trump doing it.


Trump is a negotiator. America have nothing to negotiate with and have always been duped into bad deals because they have no leverage.

Trumps tariffs are there to give him some leverage when he negotiates.

China's strong economy is because they leverage everything, you should know that from watching them dominate Australia.

The fat is gone from the american economy and smarter trading needs to be done if they want to stay relevant.

Canada and Mexico have feasted on weak deals from America and Trump is going to turn that around.
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SadKangaroo
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #144 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:13pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:02pm:
Trump is a negotiator. America have nothing to negotiate with and have always been duped into bad deals because they have no leverage.

Trumps tariffs are there to give him some leverage when he negotiates.


So he's lying about the Tariffs?

Quote:
China's strong economy is because they leverage everything, you should know that from watching them dominate Australia.

The fat is gone from the american economy and smarter trading needs to be done if they want to stay relevant.

Canada and Mexico have feasted on weak deals from America and Trump is going to turn that around.


Neo-Liberalism, your problem is with Neo-Liberalism.

The shift to neoliberalism under Reagan, with its emphasis on free markets, deregulation, privatisation, and reduced government intervention, fundamentally reshaped the U.S. economy. Manufacturing declined as industries went global, jobs moved offshore, and economic power shifted to banking and services.

Tariffs won’t reverse this trajectory.

If tariffs are being used as bargaining chips, what is the goal? Trump claims it’s to bring back manufacturing, but where’s the strategy? Tariffs are the only tool he has articulated. How does he intend to challenge neoliberalism, the ideological foundation of the Republican Party itself?

In reality, the tariffs will likely deepen the neoliberal playbook. Deregulation will be repackaged as the "solution" to any economic fallout, with both "red tape" (labour protections) and "green tape" (environmental safeguards) on the chopping block. Rather than restoring industry, this approach entrenches the very system that hollowed out manufacturing in the first place.

Meanwhile, China will call Trump’s bluff because, frankly, he lacks alternatives. He’s betting everything, going nuclear, before he even has a viable hand to play. His approach is reckless brinkmanship, and sadly, China’s leadership appears more strategic and disciplined.

Making matters worse, Trump has systematically purged advisors who might challenge him or offer sound counsel, replacing them with sycophants. This leaves him isolated, incapable of crafting a coherent response to the high-stakes game he’s started.

I don’t think you fully grasp how precarious this situation is. Trump’s rhetoric is hollow, his strategy ill-conceived, and the stakes are enormous. If this is truly a bluff, as you suggest, then it’s a dangerous one. He’s unlikely to see it through, folding seems inevitable, unless, of course, he’s willing to gamble the financial stability of the entire economy just to “prove” something to China.

And of course, it's the people, including his base, that will have to bail him out, paying more for practically everything, while he sits back lying, saying "China" has paid billions in tariffs.

I really hope I'm wrong, because we'll suffer in that trade too, not just his supporters and the rest of the people in the US.
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #145 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:36pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:02pm:
Trump is a negotiator. America have nothing to negotiate with and have always been duped into bad deals because they have no leverage.




The US are the worlds strongest nation and strongest economy, They have strong professional negotiators and are working from a position of power in every negotiation.

The Australia trade agreement for instance is that heavily loaded to the US benefit that most people who examined it suggested Australia to not sign up. There is little for Australia in the trade agreement.

Look at sugar where Australia has a efficiency advantage and could sell under the price of US sugar farmers same with beef, Australia are excluded from both industries and almost anything else where Aus has a trading advantage, not so in the other direction. Most other countries have similar positions. The US are the clear winner in almost all of their trade agreements. The US only allow competition in the industries where they get to win.
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #146 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:37pm
 
SadKangaroo wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:13pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:02pm:
Trump is a negotiator. America have nothing to negotiate with and have always been duped into bad deals because they have no leverage.

Trumps tariffs are there to give him some leverage when he negotiates.


So he's lying about the Tariffs?

Quote:
China's strong economy is because they leverage everything, you should know that from watching them dominate Australia.

The fat is gone from the american economy and smarter trading needs to be done if they want to stay relevant.

Canada and Mexico have feasted on weak deals from America and Trump is going to turn that around.


Neo-Liberalism, your problem is with Neo-Liberalism.

The shift to neoliberalism under Reagan, with its emphasis on free markets, deregulation, privatisation, and reduced government intervention, fundamentally reshaped the U.S. economy. Manufacturing declined as industries went global, jobs moved offshore, and economic power shifted to banking and services.

Tariffs won’t reverse this trajectory.

If tariffs are being used as bargaining chips, what is the goal? Trump claims it’s to bring back manufacturing, but where’s the strategy? Tariffs are the only tool he has articulated. How does he intend to challenge neoliberalism, the ideological foundation of the Republican Party itself?

In reality, the tariffs will likely deepen the neoliberal playbook. Deregulation will be repackaged as the "solution" to any economic fallout, with both "red tape" (labour protections) and "green tape" (environmental safeguards) on the chopping block. Rather than restoring industry, this approach entrenches the very system that hollowed out manufacturing in the first place.

Meanwhile, China will call Trump’s bluff because, frankly, he lacks alternatives. He’s betting everything, going nuclear, before he even has a viable hand to play. His approach is reckless brinkmanship, and sadly, China’s leadership appears more strategic and disciplined.

Making matters worse, Trump has systematically purged advisors who might challenge him or offer sound counsel, replacing them with sycophants. This leaves him isolated, incapable of crafting a coherent response to the high-stakes game he’s started.

I don’t think you fully grasp how precarious this situation is. Trump’s rhetoric is hollow, his strategy ill-conceived, and the stakes are enormous. If this is truly a bluff, as you suggest, then it’s a dangerous one. He’s unlikely to see it through, folding seems inevitable, unless, of course, he’s willing to gamble the financial stability of the entire economy just to “prove” something to China.

And of course, it's the people, including his base, that will have to bail him out, paying more for practically everything, while he sits back lying, saying "China" has paid billions in tariffs.

I really hope I'm wrong, because we'll suffer in that trade too, not just his supporters and the rest of the people in the US.


Jesus mate you could get a show on MSNBC or at least a seat on the View.

All I know is Trump has a proven record and gets deals done, I think Soleimani was the last one to call Trumps bluff.


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greggerypeccary
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #147 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 8:24pm
 
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:37pm:
SadKangaroo wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 6:13pm:
Leroy wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 2:02pm:
Trump is a negotiator. America have nothing to negotiate with and have always been duped into bad deals because they have no leverage.

Trumps tariffs are there to give him some leverage when he negotiates.


So he's lying about the Tariffs?

Quote:
China's strong economy is because they leverage everything, you should know that from watching them dominate Australia.

The fat is gone from the american economy and smarter trading needs to be done if they want to stay relevant.

Canada and Mexico have feasted on weak deals from America and Trump is going to turn that around.


Neo-Liberalism, your problem is with Neo-Liberalism.

The shift to neoliberalism under Reagan, with its emphasis on free markets, deregulation, privatisation, and reduced government intervention, fundamentally reshaped the U.S. economy. Manufacturing declined as industries went global, jobs moved offshore, and economic power shifted to banking and services.

Tariffs won’t reverse this trajectory.

If tariffs are being used as bargaining chips, what is the goal? Trump claims it’s to bring back manufacturing, but where’s the strategy? Tariffs are the only tool he has articulated. How does he intend to challenge neoliberalism, the ideological foundation of the Republican Party itself?

In reality, the tariffs will likely deepen the neoliberal playbook. Deregulation will be repackaged as the "solution" to any economic fallout, with both "red tape" (labour protections) and "green tape" (environmental safeguards) on the chopping block. Rather than restoring industry, this approach entrenches the very system that hollowed out manufacturing in the first place.

Meanwhile, China will call Trump’s bluff because, frankly, he lacks alternatives. He’s betting everything, going nuclear, before he even has a viable hand to play. His approach is reckless brinkmanship, and sadly, China’s leadership appears more strategic and disciplined.

Making matters worse, Trump has systematically purged advisors who might challenge him or offer sound counsel, replacing them with sycophants. This leaves him isolated, incapable of crafting a coherent response to the high-stakes game he’s started.

I don’t think you fully grasp how precarious this situation is. Trump’s rhetoric is hollow, his strategy ill-conceived, and the stakes are enormous. If this is truly a bluff, as you suggest, then it’s a dangerous one. He’s unlikely to see it through, folding seems inevitable, unless, of course, he’s willing to gamble the financial stability of the entire economy just to “prove” something to China.

And of course, it's the people, including his base, that will have to bail him out, paying more for practically everything, while he sits back lying, saying "China" has paid billions in tariffs.

I really hope I'm wrong, because we'll suffer in that trade too, not just his supporters and the rest of the people in the US.


Jesus mate you could get a show on MSNBC or at least a seat on the View.

All I know is Trump has a proven record ...




... as a rapist and convicted criminal as well as the worst businessman & politician America has ever seen.

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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #148 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 8:25pm
 
greggerypeccary wrote on Dec 5th, 2024 at 8:24pm:
... as a rapist and convicted criminal as well as the worst businessman & politician America has ever seen.



If you or someone close to you is experiencing an emergency, or is at immediate risk of harm, call triple zero (000). To talk to someone now, call Beyond Blue on 1300 22 4636 or Lifeline on 13 11 14.
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Re: Trump and tariffs
Reply #149 - Dec 5th, 2024 at 8:26pm
 

11. Immediately following this rape, Defendant Trump threatened Plaintiff that, were
she ever to reveal any of the details of the sexual and physical abuse of her by Defendant Trump,
Plaintiff and her family would be physically harmed if not killed. Exhs. A and B.
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