Frank wrote on Dec 26
th, 2024 at 1:12pm:
The crucial point is this.
As Frontier Economics admits, under the opposition’s blueprint, “renewables continue to dominate the provision of electricity to consumers”, with wind and solar accounting for between 50 and 60 per cent of electricity generated in 2051 and nuclear between 38 and 29 per cent (depending on the demand scenario chosen).Given that wind and solar currently account for 32 per cent of electricity output, their system-wide share will rise significantly under the Coalition’s plan. This is a recipe for still higher power prices. It means that subsidies for renewables must continue to rise, new transmission networks built, and expensive system back-ups must be put in place for the inevitable renewable droughts and gluts.
Make no mistake, this amounts to an escalating negative supply shock to the economy, lowering living standards and growth rates. We are already experiencing this.
As their policies currently stand, both Labor and the Coalition want this to be our energy future, with the latter’s nuclear twist making only a marginal difference. Both parties’ adherence to net zero means they must ditch low-cost coal, which currently provides 60 per cent of our power.
But this need not be our fate.
As I have argued in these pages before, Donald Trump’s election has effectively killed off the Paris climate agreement and net-zero agenda. As John Maynard Keynes would say, “the facts have changed”. Regardless of your view on climate change, it therefore makes no economic or environmental sense for Australia and other small economies to cling to net zero: it’s a pointless act of economic self-harm.As Bjorn Lomborg has pointed out, there are better – less anti-growth – ways to deal with climate change. Our “road to Damascus” moment may still be some way off, but I dare say we are closer to it than our political elites realise.
David Pearl is a former Treasury assistant secretary.If not nuclear for that 40ish % then build new coal or gas power stations on existing sites. Sorted.