Do Australia's super tax concessions take from the poor and give to the rich?
Sun 22 Dec 2024
ABC News
In Australia's superannuation system, over two-thirds of the tax breaks flow to the top 20 per cent of income earners.
Last week, the Albanese government's budget update had some surprises in it.
One of the biggest involved big upward revisions to the size of Australia's superannuation tax concessions.
Let's take a look at them.
Earlier this year, the economist Chris Richardson said our super system was already acting like "a reverse Robin Hood" because it was taking money from poorer Australians and giving it to the rich.
Will higher tax concessions make that problem worse?
How much do they cost?
You can find Treasury's latest estimates of Australia's super tax concessions here: 2024-25 Tax Expenditures and Insights Statement.
In the document, Treasury officials explain what's happening.
The Albanese government has handed down its mid-year budget update.
At the beginning of this year (January), Treasury officials were forecasting that Australia's super tax concessions were going to cost the government $50.1 billion in forgone revenue in 2025-26.
But in their new estimates, published last week, they say those super tax concessions will now cost the government $59.5 billion in 2025-26, which is $9.4 billion more than they were forecasting in January.
And in 2026-27, they say Australia's super tax concessions will now cost the government $62.8 billion, which is $9.5 billion more than they were forecasting.
Treasury officials say the upward revisions to the size of the government's super tax concessions are being driven by a few things.
They're forecasting higher-than-expected employee earnings over the next four years, which will flow into higher superannuation contributions, and they're forecasting a stronger capital gains outlook, which will support higher earnings within superannuation balances.
Since super contributions and earnings are both taxed at a concessional rate (15 per cent), that means the "cost" to the government from its super tax concessions (via forgone revenue) will be $18 billion more than expected over the next two years.
Who will benefit most?
It's worth thinking about who will benefit from those tax concessions.
In 2023, the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) published a great explainer: How is super taxed?
If you're after an introduction to how our super system works, and how it's taxed, it's a great place to start.
As it shows, super systems can be taxed at three points:
When contributions are made
When super assets earn investment returns (earnings)
When withdrawals are made
Australia's super system is taxed concessionally, which means it is generally taxed at a lower rate than other forms of taxable income (e.g. it's taxed at a lower rate than an individual's marginal tax rate).
Should super tax concessions be wound back?
Australia's government taxes most super contributions and earnings at a flat rate of 15 per cent, and it generally doesn't tax withdrawals from super in retirement.
If those three taxing points are denoted as either T for taxed or E for exempt, Australia is said to have a "TTE" super tax model.
That's because we tax contributions, we tax earnings, but withdrawals are mostly exempt from taxes.
Australia is unusual in this regard.
The most common retirement scheme for OECD countries is the EET taxing model, which means their contributions and earnings are exempt from taxes, but their withdrawals are taxed.
Super systems in the OECD
Australia's 'TTE' tax model for its super system is uncommon among OECD countries. (Source: Parliamentary Budget Office budget explainer, 27 April 2023, "How is super taxed?" page 18.)
Why does Australia have a TTE model?
As the PBO explains, when Australia's compulsory super guarantee was introduced in 1992, the decision to tax contributions and earnings meant revenue would be raised sooner from the system.
Under an EET model, the government wouldn't have raised any revenue from young individuals entering the workforce until they retired, potentially decades later.
But under a model that taxed contributions and earnings, even with relatively low tax rates, Australia's government would collect revenue from an individual's super income throughout their entire working life.